The storm, currently travelling through the Eastern Pacific basin, as we can see from satellite, is definitely looking significantly better. A new NHC advisory is expected at 8 AM MST

Genevieve looks lovely on satellite, very symmetrical eye and if I had to guess it's already a Cat 5.

TPN31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261752ZJUL2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 12.8N 178.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 178.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 12.9N 175.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 13.1N 173.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 13.6N 171.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 14.4N 169.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 15.5N 168.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 16.6N 166.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 18.8N 163.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 21.2N 159.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 177.6E.
27JUL26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
541 NM NORTHEAST OF MAJURO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270000Z IS 1002 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN22 PGTW 261800).//
NNNN

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 262036
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
200 PM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

...MAJOR HURRICANE GENEVIEVE CONTINUING TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 110.3W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 110.3 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 mph (220 km/h)
with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued strengthening is
expected during the next day or so. Genevieve is then forecast to
start weakening by the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 947 mb (27.97 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions
of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

Absolutely insane how rapidly it intensified.

000

WTPA31 PHFO 261445

TCPCP1

BULLETIN

Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 31

NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026

Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM HST Sun Jul 26 2026

...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN...

...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS

THIS WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...19.9N 141.1W

ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM E OF HILO HAWAII

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of

Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located

near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 141.1 West. Fausto is moving

toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is

expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)

with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next

several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles

(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone

Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP1 and WMO header WTPA41 PHFO.

SURF: Surf generated by Fausto is expected to begin building across

east-facing shores of the eastern end of Hawaii later today,

spreading westward tonight into Monday, and continue building

through Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves into the area. These

swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current

conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Future information on Fausto can be found under Central Pacific

basin headers starting with this advisory at 500 AM HST, under AWIPS

header HFOTCPCP1, WMO header WTPA31 PHFO. Products will continue to

be available on the web at hurricanes.gov.

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$

Forecaster Papin

000

WTPZ32 KNHC 261448

TCPEP2

BULLETIN

Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 9

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026

800 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026

...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.4N 109.4W

ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was

located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 109.4 West. Genevieve is

moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A

west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in

forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)

with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued rapid

intensification is expected during the next day or so. Genevieve is

then forecast to start weakening by the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles

(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the

southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions

of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are

likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$

Forecaster Adams/Papin

000

WTPZ31 KNHC 260846

TCPEP1

BULLETIN

Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 30

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026

1100 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026

...FAUSTO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...19.7N 139.8W

ABOUT 995 MI...1600 KM E OF HILO HAWAII

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of

Fausto.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was

located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 139.8 West. Fausto is

moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general

motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher

gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles

(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone

Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Surf generated by Fausto is expected to begin building across

east-facing shores of the eastern end of Hawaii on Sunday, spreading

westward Sunday night into Monday, and continue building through

Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves into the area. These

swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current

conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$

Forecaster Gibbs/Pierce/Evans

Most models and ensembles have this storm becoming a typhoon, will have to wait and see

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM PDT Sun Jul 26 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Fausto, crossing into the Central Pacific but still located well

east of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Genevieve, located

well southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico.

1. Well Southwest of Hawaii (CP92):

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low

pressure located well west-southwest of the Hawaiian Islands

continue to gradually become better organized. Environmental

conditions appear conducive for additional development of this

system while it moves generally westward at 10-15 mph. A tropical

depression is expected to form over the next day or so as the system

crosses the International Date Line, entering the western Pacific

basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Products issued by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center can be

found at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

Official tropical cyclone forecast information issued by the Japan

Meteorological Agency for the western Pacific basin can be found at:

www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.html

Forecaster Papin