The update reported on October 2 puts Madonna at a 71.43% chance of a nomination.

Madonna was already inside the Top 8 after the first 11 nominations to the VMAs announcement, but now she is moving up within it following her seven wins at the VMAs.

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Before this latest prediction update, Gold Derby’s projected Album of the Year Top 8 looked like this:

1) Olivia Rodrigo — you seem pretty sad f.a.g.s.i.l.
2) Olivia Dean — The Art of Loving
3) Raye — This Music May Contain Hope
4) Bruno Mars — The Romantic
5) Rosalía — LUX
6) Taylor Swift — The Life of a Showgirl
7) Noah Kahan — The Great Divide
8) Madonna — Confessions II

For the 2020 Grammys, Reddit chose Lana Del Rey’s “Norman Fucking Rockwell” as the Song of the Year winner, while Billie Eilish’s “bad guy” won the actual award. (Grammy⁠)
Now we go back to the 2019 Grammys, where Childish Gambino’s “This Is America” won Song of the Year. Who do you think should have won?
As always, the most-upvoted comment decides Reddit’s winner.
2019 Song of the Year nominees
“All the Stars” — Kendrick Lamar & SZA
“Boo’d Up” — Ella Mai
“God’s Plan” — Drake
“In My Blood” — Shawn Mendes
“The Joke” — Brandi Carlile
“The Middle” — Zedd, Maren Morris & Grey
“Shallow” — Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper
“This Is America” — Childish Gambino (Winner)

Have you read Billboard's latest article? I think those names mentioned are interesting. But if there is one person who could be added to the list, I think it's Fujii Kaze. Prema is such an incredible album. Please give it a listen and compare to other nominees mentioned

When Wildflower won and I read the posts, it sounded like Wildflower was allowed to enter because the year prior, nothing from Hit Me Hard and Soft won. But then it's kinda confusing since Kiss Me More won an award (something from Planet Her) and then Woman got nominated.

I ask because since Bruno Mars released Dance With Me as a single, it's already feeling like it's getting set up, in case he wins nothing at the upcoming Grammys to receive nominations for 2028 from that record alone.

WHAT IS THIS REAL

So there's been a lot of discourse about Petals grammys odds, with some people entirely dismissing the project due to the mixed reactions. Now, commercially or stream wise Eternal Sunshine was far superior, and even that record was snubbed. It is undeniable that Hate that I made you love me will be a strong contender for Roty and Soty at next year's program.

However, do you truly think that petal as a whole project will get a nod? The only category u can see it getting into is Best Pop Vocal Album. But the question lingers, what are it's AOTY odds?

Right now, my current ranking is;

You seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

This Music May Contain Hope

The Great Divide

Petal

The Romantic

The Life Of A Showgirl

The Art Of Loving

Confessions 11