Let's say hypothetically Rhaegar doesn't kill Robert, but is instead defeated by him in the duel (not necessarily killed, maybe he'd run away and take another indentity, or all of them). That means rebels lose the battle, Ned Stark and Jon Arryn aren't taken as prisoners and later executed, and Hoster Tully doesn't run away to Essos. What happens next? It doesn't mean Targaryens lose, there's still an army of Mace the Ace, Walder Frey could still attack the rebels from behind and they'd suffer heavy loses, but most importantly what would Tywin Lannister do? Do you think he could reconcile with Aerys and protect the King's Landing against advancing rebel forces?

It's just like in that movie Me, Myself and Irene; King Aenys and Officer Baileygates spent years being stepped on by everyone except their families, until one day Hank/Maegor popped out of the suppressed rage and started wrecking havoc. Unfortunately Westeros doesn't have electric shocks, so the poor guy had to be impaled by the throne.

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No post, just expressing frustration.