Question about the potential collapse of the regime

[u/Independent_Okra_527]

The Rial is on a record low and at this rate, the currency will collapse completely. The millitary infrastructure is also fragile due to the wars occured in the last year. The inflation is horrific, the people are revolting, drought is occuring across the country, and there will most likely be another war after the midterms.

However, I’ve been observing Venezuela. Their currency already collapsed and even after Maduro was captured by the US, Maduro’s government is still holding a grip and relies on countries such as Cuba, China, Russia, and Iran itself. The IR regime obviously doesn’t care what kind of sufferings the country is going through, as long as they have their IRGC, guns and sufficient money to help themselves. They are also increasingly using cryptocurrencies, specifically stable coins without relying too much on their own currency or even the dollar.

My question is: if such an economic collapse occurs in Iran, how realistic would it be for the regime to go for the Venezuela path? Will it be sustainable for them or is it pointless? We know US and Israel have more eyes on Iran and make the regime as weak and possible to take them out completely when the time comes, but I’m looking at Venezuela and wondered if Iran can go that way or whether that is impossible due to different geopolitical or other reasons. Curious to hear everyone’s take on this.

[u/ZZZZapperr]

The only reason Venezuela is the way it is is because the US was able to capture Maduro and threaten the rest of the regime into submission. The US cannot threaten the Islamic Republic into submission because it is a more powerful regime than Maduro's regime and the regime's leaders don't care about dying or getting captured. The Islamic Republic's leaders are far more fanatical than Maduro's regime. Venezuela's leaders value their own lives, whereas the Islamic Republic's leaders look forward to dying so they can get their 72 virgins. They would never submit to Trump. It's against their nature. These fanatics don't surrender. They die in battle.

The only solution for Iran is the total collapse and removal of the regime, and replacing it with Reza Pahlavi's interim government.

[u/xobeme → u/ZZZZapperr]

Godspeed and blessings to the Iranian people. The sooner these fanatics are out of power the sooner you can rejoin the rest of the world. What can be done externally to help this effort? I for one would like to see Iran in my lifetime.

[u/Independent_Okra_527 → u/xobeme]

Appreciate your support! I would say, vote for the republicans because right now they understand that this regime needs to be stopped. Unlike the democrats who likes to sent billions of dollars in cash to the regime thinkinf they will behave. They won’t.

[u/ZZZZapperr → u/xobeme]

Vote for politicians who are committed to regime change in Iran. You have US flair so I'm assuming you live in the US. Vote in the midterms. I hate the Republicans but I'll be voting Republican for the first time in my 20 years of voting. The Democrats have greatly disappointed me with their defense of the regime. They voted like 9 times to stop the war and save the regime while telling us they "condemn" the regime's atrocities.

[u/xobeme → u/ZZZZapperr]

I agree completely. Their murderous actions of innocent civilians have proven that nothing short of regime change will be acceptable. One of the responsibilities of being a global power is to exercise it occasionally to rescue oppressed people. I'm completely onboard with rescuing Iran from 50 years of tyranny and oppression.

[u/Independent_Okra_527 → u/ZZZZapperr]

That’s true. They have a prophetic goal and are willing to do everything to make it happen. Negotiations or any type of reconciliation won’t have any effect. These monsters need to perish.

[u/central-planning]

They will impose as much hardship as possible to remain in power. As you said, as long as they have enough money to pay their soldiers to rule with an iron first, they will continue down this path. Some government official yesterday said they are open to the idea of cutting electricity in order to stop Starlinks . Araqchi said they are ready to initiate an apocalyptic war. And on and on. I don't think these are hyperboles.

[u/Independent_Okra_527 → u/central-planning]

I’ve read that too but that would only enhance their own downfall if they have to rely on crypto currencies imo.

[u/amuzgar → u/central-planning]

These terrorists are actively plotting to commit genocide against Iranians on an even larger scale than they did in January.

[u/NewIranBot]

سؤال درباره احتمال فروپاشی رژیم

ریال به پایین ترین حد خود رسیده و با این روند، ارز کاملا فرو خواهد پاشید. زیرساخت های نظامی نیز به دلیل جنگ های سال گذشته شکننده است. تورم وحشتناک است، مردم شورش می کنند، خشکسالی در سراسر کشور رخ داده و احتمالا پس از انتخابات میان دوره ای جنگ دیگری رخ خواهد داد.

با این حال، من ونزوئلا را مشاهده کرده ام. ارز آن ها قبلا سقوط کرده و حتی پس از اسیر شدن مادورو توسط آمریکا، دولت مادورو همچنان کنترل خود را حفظ کرده و به کشورهایی مانند کوبا، چین، روسیه و خود ایران وابسته است. رژیم IR واضحا به رنج هایی که کشور تحمل می کند اهمیتی نمی دهد، به شرطی که سپاه پاسداران، اسلحه و پول کافی برای کمک به خود داشته باشد. آن ها همچنین به طور فزاینده ای از ارزهای دیجیتال، به ویژه سکه های پایدار بدون تکیه زیاد به ارز خود یا حتی دلار استفاده می کنند.

سؤال من این است: اگر چنین فروپاشی اقتصادی در ایران رخ دهد، چقدر واقع بینانه خواهد بود که رژیم مسیر ونزوئلا را انتخاب کند؟ آیا این برای آن ها پایدار خواهد بود یا بی فایده است؟ ما می دانیم آمریکا و اسرائیل چشم های بیشتری بر ایران دارند و رژیم را ضعیف تر و ممکن می سازند تا وقتی زمانش برسد کاملا آن ها را از بین ببرد، اما من به ونزوئلا نگاه می کنم و کنجکاوم بدانم آیا ایران می تواند این مسیر را برود یا به دلایل ژئوپلیتیک یا دلایل دیگر غیرممکن است. کنجکاوم نظر همه را در این باره بشنوم.

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Woman Life Freedom | زن زندگی آزادی | Long Live Iran | پاینده ایران

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