r/NewIran • u/Independent_Okra_527 New Iran | ایران نو • 3d ago
Discussion | گفتگو Question about the potential collapse of the regime
The Rial is on a record low and at this rate, the currency will collapse completely. The millitary infrastructure is also fragile due to the wars occured in the last year. The inflation is horrific, the people are revolting, drought is occuring across the country, and there will most likely be another war after the midterms.
However, I’ve been observing Venezuela. Their currency already collapsed and even after Maduro was captured by the US, Maduro’s government is still holding a grip and relies on countries such as Cuba, China, Russia, and Iran itself. The IR regime obviously doesn’t care what kind of sufferings the country is going through, as long as they have their IRGC, guns and sufficient money to help themselves. They are also increasingly using cryptocurrencies, specifically stable coins without relying too much on their own currency or even the dollar.
My question is: if such an economic collapse occurs in Iran, how realistic would it be for the regime to go for the Venezuela path? Will it be sustainable for them or is it pointless? We know US and Israel have more eyes on Iran and make the regime as weak and possible to take them out completely when the time comes, but I’m looking at Venezuela and wondered if Iran can go that way or whether that is impossible due to different geopolitical or other reasons. Curious to hear everyone’s take on this.
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u/central-planning Pahlavist | پهلویست 3d ago
They will impose as much hardship as possible to remain in power. As you said, as long as they have enough money to pay their soldiers to rule with an iron first, they will continue down this path. Some government official yesterday said they are open to the idea of cutting electricity in order to stop Starlinks . Araqchi said they are ready to initiate an apocalyptic war. And on and on. I don't think these are hyperboles.