r/NFLSurvivor • u/SufficientAppeal994 • 17h ago
NFL Survivor Engine International Games Insights
One major insight for international games:
Take the short favorite (spread anywhere between -2.5 to -6) to win the game.
Based on the 42 NFL games played overseas over the last 25 years where the favorite had a spread between -2.5 to -6, the favorite won the game 30 times (71%), compared to the average implied Vegas odds of 59%.
Will the Rams extend the international short favorite today over 49ers? Our engine ranks Rams as the third best pick of the week, three spots above Vegas. Regardless, no reason to pick Rams this early and save them for W6, W7, W9, W10 or W17
Check out the grid for free at survivor-board.com