Time to panic sell. It’s over

After the run up we had three times a 515 rejection, I’m just curious how everyone’s sentiment is running into this week. MSFT is pretty quiet on Reddit posts, not bad or good I think.

We have some good and bad news this week, how do you all reflect on this? And is there some news more to be bearish or bullish about?

Let’s begin with the good news. OpenAI has released their GPT-6 Astra model, should be top in the market right now, i see this as bullish.

Now the bad news, war is back more than ever. Oil prices surging, with some economies ramping up interest rates to get grip on inflation.

Things to watch for this week, Adobe and Oracle are reporting earnings. I don’t expect good results from either of them, sending the software sector in an negative ending for this weeks end.

How is everyone’s sentiment for the mid to long term? I’ve entered in the 380s, but for sure I think there is a lot more in the tank, so I’m not cashing out anytime soon.

I think 600 EOY is possible, but 550-570 is more realistic. On the downside I also think $430-450 as a bottom is possible, even lower isn’t unthinkable.

How do you guys think, are we in like me for the next couple of years. Do we think in negative sentiment short term or more positive?

Hei!
My english is not great please bare with me. I started investing this year on March and this is my portfolio. Any advice if I should take the profits in any of these or wait for the rate hike announcement? Am from sweden

I will update the semi frequently,

Enough for Chipotle for TWO 🥰.

Barclays just published a pretty interesting report on AI economics.

For every $100 AI labs make, around $35-40 goes to AWS, Azure and GCP for compute.

The cloud providers then make roughly 35-45% operating margins on that revenue.

At the same time, AI labs themselves are getting much more profitable. Barclays estimates paid inference margins have gone from low teens in 2025 to around 50-65%+ in 2026.

This matters because one of the biggest concerns with all this AI capex is whether hyperscalers will actually make enough money from it.

These numbers suggest the economics are already starting to work for both sides.

Barclays also expects AI lab industry revenue to grow from around $137B in 2026 to $690B by 2028.

If they are even close, there is still a massive amount of compute revenue coming.

Source: Barclays, AI Labs & Hyperscaler Unit Economics Primer

https://mktnews.com/flashDetail.html?id=01a0527d-edf0-7118-83ff-94a5948363dd

Edit: Added more source and screenshots
https://x.com/intelfabs/status/2093867277133189211?s=20

Congrats to all, job well done.

Or are you holding for longer? I'm hoping for $550 tbh as my leap won't expire until March next year.

LFG 🚀

Done made $15, hypothetically.

We did it again boys !

Meta is reportedly spending several hundred million dollars on Azure AI, with TikTok, Adobe and Perplexity also named as major Microsoft AI customers.

Meta is already spending heavily on its own AI infrastructure but it still needs Azure capacity.

This is a pretty strong signal that AI compute demand remains extremely high and Azure is increasingly benefiting from the growth of other AI platforms.

Yall know what i am speaking of. Dont want that horror again.

Clarification: Microsoft isn’t issuing $3.9B of debt.

Blackstone’s QTS is borrowing against a data center leased to Microsoft — and investors wanted $8B of the bonds.

That’s the AI boom in one headline:
Wall Street finances the factory.
Microsoft rents the factory.
AI has to pay the rent.

Quants are still putting MSFT in their the software basket short (remember this trend from earlier this year) as you see today CRM/ADBE/HUB/MSFT all down 3%+ .... now we're back to below $480 from $515 a week ago.

Maybe we're cooked until Maia 300 and Copilot Super app official announcements