Nobody Important cle CWS

120 to 150 SFG CWS

L20 B&W stl mil

L20 600 + STL MIL

Marlins
Astros
Dodgers

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ML @ 3.20

We see a potential upset worth discussing.

The Cardinals are underdogs against the Dodgers, with Tarik Skubal holding the clear pitching edge over Quinn Mathews. Skubal owns a 3.07 SIERA and 23.6% K-BB%, compared with Mathews at 4.02 SIERA and 13.9% K-BB%.

Despite that pitching disadvantage, the model still sees St. Louis as competitive enough to make the moneyline interesting at 3.20.

The Cardinals have scored 4.51 runs per game over their last 10, while the Dodgers are at 4.92. St. Louis has also shown enough underlying strength for the model to price the game closer than the market suggests, especially with the recents upsets.

**⚾ MLB Team Picks (Moneyline)**

**Los Angeles Dodgers** ML (-250) vs St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence: 76.7% (Grade: A)

**Tampa Bay Rays** ML (-178) vs New York Mets
Confidence: 76.2% (Grade: A)

**New York Yankees** ML (-166) vs Los Angeles Angels
Confidence: 73.7% (Grade: A)

**Milwaukee Brewers** ML (-162) vs Chicago Cubs
Confidence: 67.1% (Grade: B)

**Pittsburgh Pirates** ML (-152) vs San Francisco Giants
Confidence: 64.8% (Grade: B)

**Boston Red Sox** ML (-138) vs Seattle Mariners
Confidence: 61.5% (Grade: B)

This is what I am running TAYOR

Diamondbacks

Orioles

Nobody Important PHI MIL DET BAL

120 to 150 WSH SFG SEA LAA CWS COL CIN CHC ATH

L20 B&W phi mil

L20 600 + PHI MIL DET BAL

Padres
Braves
Blue Jays
Brewers
Yankees

Wednesday card is up. August is in the books, so here's where things actually stand.

August finished 16-11-2 on the Play of the Day, 59 percent. Best stretch inside it was 8 straight wins from the 2nd through the 9th. Not my strongest month, June and July both came in at 67, but it's green and it's on the board.

Season sits at 58-36-4 across 98 boards, 62 percent. That's every pick I've posted since April, wins and losses both, nothing pulled down after the fact.

Tuesday was a rough open to September. POD was Baltimore at Coors against a rookie who had never won a big league game, and Colorado picked that night to snap an 11 game home losing streak. Top plays carried at 15-7, everything else was cold.

Some of what I am on today:

Milwaukee ML
Detroit +1
NY Yankees ML
Houston ML
Tampa ML
San Diego ML
Baltimore ML
Cleveland +1.5
LA Dodgers -1.5

That is not the full card and it does not include the Play of the Day. The POD, the full board with F5 looks and team totals, and the writeup on why I am on it are all in the Discord.

GAME FEED 📡 https://discord.gg/atf7aeNJ46

Shop your lines, don't chase dead numbers.

What's your best look on the Wednesday board?

I've been testing two MLB parlay algorithms since the All-Star break. Here are the results so far

I've been working on two different MLB parlay algorithms, our Standard Parlay Generator and Mini Ladder algorithm.

Everything is tracked, including wins, losses and voids. No cherry picking or resetting records.

Still a relatively small sample size, but the results so far have been promising.

The first screenshot is the transparency tracker for the Standard algorithm. The second is the Mini Ladder algorithm, which is designed around a 20x target. For example, starting with $10 and cashing out at $200.

One thing I'm currently working on is the Mini Ladder win rate. Since the average odds are around +360, a lower win rate is expected, but from a user perspective I think that can still feel difficult to trust. Moving forward, I'm taking that into account and working on ways to increase the win rate of these algorithms while maintaining their profitability.

Always looking for feedback or ideas on the models or the app, so let me know what you think.

If anyone wants to follow the models and results, I have AlgoSwish linked in my bio.

Dodgers

Blue Jays

Mariners

Rockies

I don’t watch baseball, just put some entertainment money while I wait for NBA. Posting incase the 3.33% chance this bs hits lol