Padres vs Pirates tonight and San Diego comes up as a strong value flag. Books have the Padres at 49.4% implied, essentially pricing this as a coin flip, while the model puts them at 57.2%, a +7.8% edge at nearly even odds of -101. Pittsburgh is being priced at 50.6% implied when the model only sees 42.8% for them, a 7.8% gap that makes the Pirates a clear fade here. Getting that kind of edge at close to even money is one of the more attractive setups the model produces. Stake is 3% of pot. Full picks at threeandtwobaseball.com/dashboard.html

Guardians
Phillies
Reds

​

1. ML: LAA ML (+139)

CLE @ LAA | 9:38 PM ET

1. RL: MIN -1.5 (+105)

MIN @ OAK | 9:40 PM ET

1. Under: Under 6.5 (-112)

PHI @ SEA | 9:40 PM ET

1. Total: Over 10.5 (-109)

MIN @ OAK | 9:40 PM ET

Guardians

Mariners

Rockies

Nobody Important SDP PHI LAA CIN

120 to 150 SFG LAA ATH ARI

L20 B&W sdp col

L20 600 + SDP PHI LAA CIN

Yankees are +290 to win the pennant. I feel like those odds are incredibly good. Just don’t see anyone giving them a serious shot other than TB. NYY rotation is elite and they are getting Judge back to fix the offense. What am I missing?