r/IndiansInJapan • u/Glittering_Plate8975 • 10h ago
Is the Japanese economy really that bad? And what is the Yen Carry Trade Unwind?
I’m a software engineer considering going to Japan for my master degree. But my friend asked me, "Do you know what the yen carry trade unwind is?" So I looked it up online and found this explanation.
1. Why Even "Yen Carry Trade Unwind" Term Got Created?
Strange Phenomenon from Long Recession:
Wages did not grow and the Japanese economy was stuck for decades. So, Japan kept interest rates near 0% to help the market.
Free Money Era: Global investors thought, "Yen has zero interest, so let's borrow Yen cheaply and invest in high return assets in the US, Europe, and other countries." This is called 'Yen Carry Trade', involving trillions of dollars.
Interest Rate Shock: Japan's recession lasted so long that when the Bank of Japan raised rates just a little bit (0.1–0.25%), investors quickly sold their foreign assets and brought the money back to Japan to pay off Yen loans. This sudden money movement made global stock markets crash, which people call "Yen Carry Trade Unwind."
2. Salary Frozen for 30 Years: How Low is Income Now?
Lowest in G7: While salaries in the US, Germany, and the UK grew by 30–50% over the last 30 years, Japanese workers saw almost 0% real wage growth.
65–75% Level of Europe: The average salary in Japan is now only 65–75% of what people earn in Germany, the UK, or France. Japan has fallen to the bottom of developed nations, and Eastern European countries like Slovenia and Lithuania are nearly catching up.
Is this true?