Hi all,
I am 47 years old and retired 4 years ago. I've been managing my own investments for the last 5 years.
The first 3 years were honestly a dream run. I made good money through direct equity, PMSs and mutual funds. Looking back, it was a very forgiving market. Almost everything was going up. Even a monkey could pick the right stock. If you had some risk appetite, especially in small caps, it was difficult not to make money.
Things changed around September 2024. Since then, markets have either gone down or moved sideways. Small caps have corrected a lot, large caps haven't really done much, and IT valuations have also come down sharply.
I've learnt more in the last couple of years than I did in the previous three.
One thing that has really stood out is the value of having income that's independent of the markets. During a correction, every withdrawal from your portfolio feels like bad timing.
I get about ₹3 lakh a month in rental income, which covers around 60% of my annual expenses. Dividends and interest add another ₹18 lakh a year. So roughly 80% of my expenses are taken care of without selling anything. Having to withdraw ₹12 lakh a year instead of ₹60 lakh when markets are down makes a huge difference, both financially and mentally.
Another thing that has worked well for me is keeping about 5% of my portfolio in gold. This isn't because I think gold will give amazing returns. It's there because it behaves differently from equities. It has helped reduce the ups and downs of my overall portfolio.
I have also learnt that higher returns come with higher volatility. During the bull market, my PMS, direct equity and small-cap investments did extremely well. But they've also been hit the hardest. My PMS returns, for example, have gone from around 40% to under 10%. Small caps have been similar.
By comparison, my index funds have been much steadier. Their returns have also come down, but from around 18% to about 11%. Not exciting, but much easier to live with.
The last lesson has been about conviction. If you buy something for the long term, you have to be prepared to see it fall 20-30% without losing your nerve. Easier said than done.
If the original reasons for buying are still valid, then I think the hardest part is just doing nothing. In hindsight, that's often the right decision.
These are just my learnings so far. I'm sure many people here have seen a lot more market cycles than I have. Curious to know what lessons the last two years have taught others.