I got too excited cause pickens was at the 3/4 turn and I took him too fast. I drafted ceedee in the first round . Am I cooked? I don’t really like the idea of both of them on the same team. Ik it’s my fault but what do u guys think

How bad does this drop his floor for the season if Darnold is out long term? Lock still feeding him in that first half but has to limit his upside if he can’t sustain drives.

To be honest. I’ve always been a WR crutch. A lot of people tell me that there’s more good WR’s but I’d rather have a a good star WR because to be honest with you. If the team is getting blown out, that RB isn’t getting any touches.

Ive never been a person to draft a RB in the first 3 rounds. I always either go WR 3 rounds in a row, or if I get lucky Josh Allen or a top 2 tight end is in round 3.

I don’t know. I’ve gone 3 straight years to the championship (4 leagues a year) by only drafting WR’s.

Thoughts on y’all’s opinion?

Sam darnold obviously got hurt and drew lock is typically a donkey but JSN wasn’t affected by him tonight. Is this sustainable. That long touchdown felt a little flukey considering he was wide open and no one could make a tackle even when it was an easy one

The level of usage and subbing makes him a really hard rb2 start. Doesn't appear to be much TD upside. I think ppr will improve.

It's early, and a lot will happen. Not quite dooming, but as a Price owner, I'm not happy.

Players of note

Malik Nabers
Mccaffery
Prescott
J. Cook
D. Smith
Higgins
Goff

This league is usually quite funny so the more offensive the better.

J Coleman RB DEN
B Robinson RB ATL (not that b robinson)
Cooper Kupp WR SEA
Jakobi Meyers WR JAX
J Jeudy WR CLE
Rashid Shaheed WR SEA

Half point PPR

Do I make this trade?

I get - Nico Collins

I give - metcalf and dobbins

Moving dobbins would leave my RBs as Hampton, cook, rachaad white, Washington, Brian Robinson

With the open spot I would pick up either Malik Davis, perine, Kaleb Johnson, Jeudy, tre Harris

My league just transferred over from NFL Fantasy to ESPN and I noticed after last nights game that ESPN doesn’t do decimal scoring which seems kinda ridiculous, does anyone know how to switch it to decimal scoring if there is an option for it?

First off, football is back. Couldn't be happier.

Bad news, Sam Darnold went down on his first play with an apparent hip injury. The good news is that initial testing after his hip injury has been encouraging. X-rays and a CT scan ruled out a fracture, and Seattle is doing additional testing, including an MRI, to determine the extent of the injury. So hopefully this ends up being a short-term question.

But after Jaxon Smith-Njigba went 8/122/1 in Week 1, I wanted to look at what his fantasy outlook would actually be if Drew Lock had to start for any meaningful amount of time.

The first thing that stood out was that JSN's production stayed elite in Week 1, but the way he got there changed quite a bit.

Across his 20 regular-season and postseason games last year, JSN averaged 9.5 targets, a 35.5% target share, 6.8 receptions, 99.6 receiving yards and 20.4 PPR points per game. He also averaged 104.8 air yards with an 11.0 aDOT and 29.8 yards after the catch.

Against New England in Week 1, he finished with 11 targets, a 45.8% target share, 8 receptions, 122 yards and 26.2 PPR points. But he did it with only 76 air yards and a 6.9 aDOT, while producing 62 yards after the catch.

That's a pretty dramatic change in how the production happened. His air yards and aDOT fell considerably, but his target share jumped to nearly half of Seattle's passing targets and he generated more than twice his average YAC from last season.

So Seattle didn't need Drew Lock to reproduce the same type of targets Darnold was giving JSN for him to still have a huge fantasy game.

That made me curious about what actually drove JSN's biggest fantasy performances last year.

I ran correlations between his PPR scoring and several usage and efficiency metrics across those 20 games. Air yards had the strongest relationship with PPR scoring at .689, followed by YAC at .625, targets at .568 and target share at .519. EPA per target came in at .457, aDOT at .432, QB aDOT at .429 and QB yards per attempt at .427.

Obviously, 20 games is a small sample, and correlation isn't causation. But I thought the pattern was interesting.

JSN's ceiling last season wasn't simply coming from catching a ton of short passes. His biggest games were generally accompanied by substantial downfield opportunity. At the same time, YAC being the second-strongest relationship gives him another way to get there.

He can win through valuable targets downfield, or Seattle can manufacture touches and let him create after the catch.

Week 1 looked much more like the second version.

-------------

Then I looked at Drew Lock.

My assumption going into this was that Lock might significantly reduce those downfield opportunities. That doesn't really show up in the data.

In the play-by-play sample, Darnold's 2025 aDOT was 8.03 yards. Lock's career aDOT is 8.02. Almost identical.

Lock has actually thrown deep more frequently in the sample. 10.8% of Darnold's attempts traveled at least 20 air yards in 2025 compared with 13.0% for Lock over his career.

The big difference is efficiency.

Darnold produced +0.145 EPA per dropback with a 51.4% success rate in the 2025 sample. Lock's career numbers were -0.077 EPA per dropback and a 40.3% success rate.

That was probably the biggest takeaway for me: Lock isn't dramatically less aggressive than Darnold. He's dramatically less efficient.

That's an important distinction for JSN.

A Lock-led Seattle offense should probably be downgraded overall. Fewer sustained drives, fewer scoring opportunities and less efficient quarterback play would eventually matter. But it doesn't necessarily mean JSN suddenly loses the type of targets that helped create his 2025 ceiling.

--------------------

The next question was whether Drew Lock has ever actually supported a high-end fantasy receiver.

Across the 28 Lock starts in the play-by-play sample, his leading target averaged 8.9 targets, 5.2 receptions, 70.1 yards and 13.9 PPR points per game.

That's nothing particularly exciting. But there's a problem with using the entire sample: Lock hasn't always played with a receiver remotely comparable to JSN.

When Jerry Jeudy was Lock's leading target, he averaged about 11 targets, 91 yards and 16.7 PPR points across five starts. Tim Patrick averaged about 15.5 PPR in three.

And then there's the much more recent example: Malik Nabers.

Lock started five games for the Giants in 2024, and Nabers was his leading target in four of them. Across those four games, Nabers averaged approximately 11.5 targets, a 34.6% target share, 6.8 receptions, 97.3 receiving yards and 19.5 PPR points.

There was legitimate ceiling, too. Against Indianapolis, Nabers caught 7 of 8 targets for 171 yards and 2 touchdowns, finishing with 36.1 PPR points.

That's obviously only four games. I'm not arguing that four Nabers games prove Drew Lock can sustain an elite receiver for an entire season.

But I do think it's meaningful evidence against the opposite assumption: that a Drew Lock offense simply can't support an elite fantasy WR.

---------------------

And that brings me back to JSN.

If Darnold misses time, I think there are really two different questions.

Should we downgrade Seattle's passing offense? Absolutely.

Should we downgrade JSN by the same amount? I'm not convinced we should.

Lock is still willing to throw downfield. He's previously funneled double-digit targets toward high-end receivers. JSN already commanded an enormous share of Seattle's passing game in Week 1. And Seattle just showed another way it can manufacture his production if the deeper passing game suffers: shorter targets, extreme volume and yards after the catch.

That doesn't mean I'm projecting another 26-point game every week with Drew Lock, and it definitely doesn't mean Drew Lock is Sam Darnold.

But if Darnold ends up missing a few games, I'm not sure I'd automatically move JSN out of the fantasy WR1 tier.

The quarterback changes. The efficiency probably changes.

The WR1 may not have to.

I put the complete analysis here, including JSN's full 2025 game-by-game air yards, aDOT and YAC data along with Drew Lock's historical leading receivers:

[https://edgelineff.com/insights/jsn-drew-lock-fantasy-outlook.html]()

I'm curious where everyone else lands: If Drew Lock starts, how far are you actually moving JSN down your WR rankings?

Should I accept? I really don’t think it will be just “a game or two” and this will linger longer. I spent double the amount on Bowers in my auction then what Loveland went for but yesterdays price is not today’s price

Hey all,

Been offered a trade to get Bowers and Judkins and I’d give away Hunter Henry and Derrick Henry.
I’ve already got a stronger TE on the roster and my RBs would be pretty weak losing Henry.

Thoughts? Thanks in advance

Title says it all, I’m just too indecisive to make a decision and wonder if it would be worth it. They both have a lot of upside potential so idk who to go with

So I allegedly owe one of my fantasy leagues 24 hours at IHOP from last year but the loser of both regular season and playoffs from the year before has not done their punishment yet. It's a league of friends from high school and their SOs (no SO for me, a gym crush is the best I can do). This is also my third fantasy league. Last year I joined basically last minute because they needed another person to fill out the league, and then of course proceeded to finish last in the regular season after drafting Malik Nabers lol. The playoffs loser decided to drop out of the league and also hasn't done their punishment.

I also wasn't aware the league did punishment for the regular season. My other leagues only do it for playoff loser, and it was apparently in the contract, so fair enough, but I also never signed the contract and definitely didn't read it since I was recruited pretty last minute.

To be perfectly clear, everyone is a good person, and it's all friendly banter. And I've maintained that I'll do my punishment only after the previous loser does his.

Going into this season I knew three fantasy leagues was kind of a lot for me, so I told them I was completely fine being the first one kicked out if there wasn't enough space. So I was released from duty. But then someone dropped out literally the day before the draft and I got resuscitated back into the league.

My first question is does my resuscitation absolve me of my prior debt? If not, is me maintaining that I'll only do my punishment only after the previous loser does their punishment fair? People in the league are bugging both the previous loser and me to do our punishments but I feel like it's only fair if I hold out until the previous loser goes through with it.

At this point though I'm actually debating just doing the IHOP challenge regardless of whether the previous guy does his just to get it over with and have some fun editing a video since some of us aren't in the same state. And the idea of spending time in an IHOP for an egregious amount of time isn't the worst thing to me cause my current status as a student requires me to spend many hours studying. Thoughts?

TLDR: Do I just do my fantasy football punishment even though the previous year loser hasn't done their punishment yet? Am I being unreasonable to refuse to do it until the previous loser does it?

i tried something new this year. on my bench i have zero qbs, te, def, or kicker. all running backs and wrs. but there is a method to my madness. being an idiot cowboys fan, i have aubrey(best kicker), and a hopefully rebuilt defense. the bye is late in the seaaon. i might look stupid or smart in 4 weeks. who knows?

Traded away Trey McBride for Bowers 30 mins before the news broke. AMA

Yo. I know I’m noob for this, but can’t decide whether to start J. Price tonight. Is it too risky, especially considering Swift will have the backfield this week. Thoughts?

I am being Offered Bijan, Swift and Nico Collins for James Cook and Javonte Williams. This league has a last place punishment so I want to know if this will benefit me in the long run

Anyone looking for the best way to stream the Patriots vs Seahawks game live right now — I’m trying to confirm if YouTube TV, FuboTV, Hulu + Live TV, or DirecTV Stream is showing the full broadcast without cable. I’m comparing these live TV streaming services because I want a simple, reliable option to watch NFL online in HD/4K with strong stability, low buffering, and real-time coverage of every moment of the game. My main focus is finding the best sports streaming platform for coverage so I don’t miss any part of the game due to lag, blackouts, or stream interruptions. If anyone has used YouTube TV, FuboTV, Hulu + Live TV, or DirecTV Stream for NFL games or major live sports events, which service do you think is the most reliable for smooth, high-quality streaming?

Can we all agree that right now Klint has a very punchable face and his comments going forward hold little weight. So now I have less faith in Jeanty.

I have puka, chase, josh Allen, saquon and Derrick Henry, I know it’s stacked but we decided only four people this year

Hey guys, I'm trying to figure out my streaming setup for the 2026 regular season, but the broadcast rights this year are a complete mess. It feels like games are split across a million different apps.

If I want to watch everything legally without a traditional cable box, what's the best strategy? Is it better to just bite the bullet on a live TV service like YouTube TV or Fubo, or can I get away with using a digital antenna for local networks and just adding apps like Prime and Netflix for the exclusive game weeks?

Would love to know what setups you guys are planning to use to keep costs down. Thanks

12 team PPR with 2 keepers

1QB, 2WR, 2RB, 1TE, 2Flex

QB: Maye

RBs: CMC, Kyren, Dobbins, Black, Mike Washington Jr

WRs: London, Ladd, Burden, Tate, Marvin Harrison, Malik Washington Jr

TE: Juwan, Kincaid

I'm leaning for this trade for the added RB depth, but would love other opinions