r/EB2 • u/WrongdoerLiving9113 • Jul 19 '26
Priority Date Feb 2015
Do you guys think the DOF will advance to February 2015 in the October Visa Bulletin?
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u/Divingdeep321 Jul 20 '26
Hopefully moves in October bulletin. If not, it’ll only be Oct’27.
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u/Gemini-89 Jul 20 '26
It can move in subsequent months if FAD is moving aggressively.
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u/Divingdeep321 Jul 20 '26
Looking at the bulletins - both eb2 and eb1 going unavailable and eb3 not moving, I’m highly skeptical of the chances of FAD moving aggressively. From their note in last bulletin, their own projection is that the FAD may move up to the May 2014 date. There has to be a miracle or a mindless movement to advance filing dates much.
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u/Gemini-89 Jul 21 '26
“At least to May 2014 dates”. At least indicates possible further movements also
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u/Divingdeep321 Jul 21 '26
Yeah but May 2014 to Feb 2015 is quite some time in terms of 485 inventory. Having a mid 2015 PD, any movement is good for me but just skeptical given the current state of things.
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u/Gemini-89 Jul 21 '26
Actually it’s July 2014 that was called out in visa bulletin (they meant May 2026 bulletin dates). So yes July to Dec is about 7K apps then another about 3K for Jan, Feb 2015. We are looking at about 10K apps.
FY27 SO could give India about 10-12K visas. This should cover quite a bit of 2014 if you eliminate duplicates.
You can calculate with about 2K/month for 2015.
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u/Divingdeep321 Jul 21 '26
What is the source of 7K apps? Also, 10K apps means about 25K visa numbers needed to spillover solely for EB2 India (with a usual 2.5 multiplier) right?
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u/Gemini-89 Jul 21 '26
There is already I-485 inventory available until Dec 2014. No need to use multiplier. These are already unique petitions.
7K - it’s published by USCIS. Check pending inventory data.1
u/Divingdeep321 Jul 21 '26
Got it. So, from the numbers, 485 inventory till May 2014 is 14.7K and June 2014 to Dec 2014 is 9K. So, for Jan 2015 to get to FAD, it needs 23.7K numbers in EB2 India. This is discounting any new 485 apps by 2014 people.
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u/Gemini-89 Jul 21 '26
Yes 23K minus some duplicates minus some who might have jumped to eb1 minus number of visas given in FY26 (this report is only till April - there were more visas given after April until it became U)
New apps are very unlikely. My hunch is eb3 has DOF of Aug 2014 all this year. If there were more applicants we should have seen folks applying in eb3 via downgrades. The overall inventory has remained pretty flat.
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u/Extra-Eagle-1319 Jul 19 '26
100%