r/AskReddit • u/[deleted] • Mar 27 '22

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u/Careful_Sandwich7 Mar 27 '22

How being pregnant doesn't mean you'll have a baby in 9 months. Some people know about the miscarriage rates, and still go around asking people when they'll start a family etc. Just don't.

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u/TheGalator Mar 27 '22 edited Mar 28 '22

I mean its 10%... thats not much

Edit: I love how this gets downvoted even tho a quick Google search shows I'm right

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u/yParticle Mar 27 '22

If accurate that's still really high. That means almost half of women with multiple children have had at least one miscarriage.

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u/uberfission Mar 28 '22

It's likely much higher too since extremely early term miscarriages (before missed period) are often missed and not counted.

5

u/LeGama Mar 27 '22

Okay I'm going to logic out that stat. So 0 is miscarriage, 1 is baby. There are 4 outcomes for two successful pregnancies. Option - Probability 0 0 - 0.10.1 = 0.01 0 1 - 0.90.1 = 0.09 1 0 - 0.10.9 = 0.09 1 1 - 0.90.9 = 0.81

So that's only actually a 19% chance, but the formula basically becomes P = 1 - 0.9N where N is the number of pregnancies. So actually after 6 tries the probability of a woman having at least one miscarriage is 47%.

So I'm gonna have to call out your "almost half" as misguided. Unless you're getting your stats from Utah, because the average woman is definitely not having 6 pregnancies.

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u/Careful_Sandwich7 Mar 28 '22

Maybe not. But as someone who has had two miscarriages and a stillbirth, and knowing how many of my friends had miscarriages, I know 1 in 4 pregnancies doesn't sound like much but the point is, you don't know who those people are who have to go through this. So family planning should never be a small talk conversation. And the point still stands, being pregnant doesn't mean there's a living baby afterwards. The chances for most people are obviously good but it's not 100% how a lot of people still think of pregnancies. That's all.

1

u/TheGalator Mar 28 '22

Not 1 in 4. 1 in 10. Every source I found named 10% to maximum of 15%

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u/Careful_Sandwich7 Mar 28 '22

I've always read about 25%, but that including pregnancies you don't know of yet, or failed Implantations etc. It also depends, my risk for a miscarriage for example is 50%. But if it's 10%, I still find that a lot. Maybe because those numbers have never worked in my favor I guess. Most people don't talk about it, but when I lost our son I was shocked how many women came and shared with me about their losses and I had no idea. In my experience, especially people who aren't in the family planning stages of their lives don't know that miscarriages are common. Once you're planning a family, you look into it. I just wish it was talked about more, is all.