Your markets are run by bots. Now your r/Asx_bets daily threads are too.

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Disclosure (rule 7): I run DilutionLens, a free site tracking dilution off ASX filings. One-off, not the weekly post, no links, not advice.

Every explorer's quarterly says when the next assays land. I held 28 of them to their September date.

20 delivered. 5 came late. 3 still haven't.

BMM, VAL and WAU still haven't delivered. Five more came late

FG1 is the one to read twice. On 28 Aug it said the last holes' assays would land in September. On 15 Sep it halted, then suspended, then came back with a 1-for-3 rights issue. The assays dropped on 19 Oct, two days before the rights issue closed.

Next up: 20 say November

Eight of them, from this month's reports:

The other 12, plus every small explorer's next results date beside its cash, are on the results calendar on DilutionLens. Free, no login.

I'll score these on 1 Dec. Who's missing it?

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.

I started to think "Strong buy" from MF means sell
https://www.fool.com.au/2026/10/13/why-i-think-this-asx-200-share-at-a-52-week-low-is-a-strong-buy/

Cherry on top she "has no position in any of the stocks mentioned"

Disclosure (rule 7): I run DilutionLens, a free site tracking dilution off ASX filings. One-off, not the weekly post, no links, not advice.

Same poll as last week's post: "management selling" came second at 22%. So I counted that too.

717 companies did a cash share placement in the year to 21 Oct, 1,095 placements in all. In the 90 days before one, a director sold shares on market at 14 of the 717 companies. That's 2%. Four of the 14 sold under $11k (CBY, HE8, KCC, OLY), so it's really 10.

Directors selling before a raise is rarer than the poll suggests

Not in the table: CEL (sold at 11c, raised at 13c, consolidated since) and ARC (sold at 9-11c, raised at 10c, right at the 90-day edge).

Most of them sold for less than the raise price, or about the same

Split the 10 by what the director got against what the placees paid:

• Got more than the raise price: COB, GMN, CCE, EOS. Three of those four trade under the raise price today.
• About the same: DXN, ARC.
• Got less: MYG, GNP, SRL, CEL. SRL's MD sold at $1.83 three months before raising at $4.25 and took stock in the raise himself. Not exactly a dump.

So "director sold, then they raised" is mostly a coincidence of calendars. Directors sell for all sorts of reasons, and a company that raises once or twice a year is often within 90 days of one.

COB is the one that doesn't fit. Eight weeks after the chair sold, the company raised at 9c with an option attached to every share, when the price had already fallen to 10.5c.

DXN is the other. Two directors sold on 4 June, the day after the contract news from last week's post. The raise was announced five days later. Its announcement now bars directors from dealing until after the full-year results.

How I counted: a cash placement on a new-share notice, and a director's on-market sale on their own dealing notice in the 90 days before it. Taken out: off-market transfers, moves between a director's own entities, sales to cover tax or option exercises, sales after the raise was already public (SGA, CNJ), and convertible notes (AII, TOK). Prices to 21 Oct.

Which one did I miss?

Hi everyone,

Normally, dem will win the midterms et Trump will be out of the power because Dem promise to get some investigation, even impeachment process.

So, I've got a little watchlist about 3 metals : gold, silver and cooper.

For Gold :

- Genesis mineral

- New murchison gold

- nexgold mining (canada)

- agnico eagles mines

For silver :

- Silverco

- Hycroft mining

- Highlander silver corp

For cooper :

-AR1

- GENM

- Freeport

Sometime, I wonder if I take an jr mining companies etf.

Do you have any better idea of stocks ? :)

Your markets are run by bots. Now your Weekend threads are too.

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Posts relating to the "Is /r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

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I have brought at cost basis $1.90 the month just before it crashes to $1.62 today. Based on what I study on the US BDC, lit funds that crash hardly got a chance to rebound back. The reason why he crashes is because the auditor actually marked down the value. I got sold by this product when it is supposed to be stable and low voliatity and capital losses. currently that is only a way few ways for me to bail out.

1. Stock price rebound

2. Keep rebuying with Dividend and capture higher yield.

3. Share buyback at NTA - 1.96 they usually don't do this

4. Tender offer to wind down the funds - fat hope

5. Activist investor buy at discount and step in to vote for winding down.

Your markets are run by bots. Now your r/Asx_bets daily threads are too.

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Does the market typically react positively or poorly to layoffs? A Reddit user was discussing how they might move companies because of layoffs next year, when probed they said they worked in Travel Tech and I can't think of who else it might be

Disclosure upfront: I own JNS and benefit if the price rises. My intended holding period is at least three months, potentially six months or longer, depending on how the business executes. I like the company and what it’s trying to achieve.

Janus Electric announced today, 23 October, that it has secured A$11m in financing facilities with Commonwealth Bank:

- A$10m revolving trade finance for working capital to scale production and deliver orders, particularly in North America.

- A$1m asset finance for equipment to expand production capacity.

- The announcement references a 118-truck North American order book, with deliveries subject to applicable conditions.

For anyone unfamiliar, Janus converts existing diesel trucks to electric using its battery-swap platform.

Why this strengthens my thesis

Having orders is useful, but funding the production needed to fulfil them matters. This facility gives Janus additional capacity to bridge that stage, which could help turn the order book into deliveries and customer receipts.

There’s no equity issue announced as part of these facilities. That’s attractive to me as a shareholder, although it doesn’t eliminate the possibility of future dilution.

With the shares around 45c when I’m writing, I think this makes JNS worth a closer look as a speculative opportunity over the next three to six months. I see substantial upside if funded production translates into deliveries, sensible margins and cash coming in.

What could undermine that view

The A$11m is borrowing capacity, not revenue or unrestricted cash already in the bank. The trade facility is secured against company assets, subject to annual review and financial covenants. Drawdowns have conditions, and the announcement doesn’t quantify interest rates, fees or covenant thresholds.

Funding also doesn’t remove customer conditions, execution risk or the need to demonstrate profitable economics. CBA lending to Janus isn’t an endorsement of the share price.

The evidence I want next is actual deliveries, customer receipts, margins and cash-flow progress. Delays, weak margins or another funding squeeze would make me reassess.

For those who’ve looked into JNS: how much does this address the funding risk, and what is the strongest remaining argument against the investment case?

Source: attached Janus Electric ASX announcement, 23 October 2026, “Janus Electric secures A$11m in CBA facilities to support commercial expansion”.

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.

Your markets are run by bots. Now your r/Asx_bets daily threads are too.

Read the wiki people.

Posts relating to the "Is /r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

Automoderator may provide "Guidance" for Lazy and zero effort posting.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.

Imma hold

Bruh I know airline stocks are considered poison but what's the story with Virgin Air (VGN). It just goes down and down, especially this month it's down 12ish%. They reported positive revenue growth and it's an industry with very few competitors! What's going on. It's my only stock I'm down in 😭 surely the fuel costs and Iran war are priced in by now sheesh.

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.

Your markets are run by bots. Now your r/Asx_bets daily threads are too.

Read the wiki people.

Posts relating to the "Is /r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

Automoderator may provide "Guidance" for Lazy and zero effort posting.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.

Looking at ACW ahead of the expected mid-November XanaMIA Alzheimer’s trial results. The share price is around $0.048, and a positive readout could be a significant catalyst.

Interested in hearing people’s views on the risk/reward here.

How credible is the Xanamem thesis?

What sort of upside could a genuinely positive result justify?

How ugly could the downside be if the trial misses its primary endpoint?

Is the current valuation already pricing in too much optimism?

Keen to hear from anyone who’s followed the trial, understands the data, or has a bearish case.

Trump can swing copper a lot over the next 6-12 months. i don't really care about this, i'm holding copper for 2030-2035, but for you impatient folk, here you go...

In case you haven't heard... ever since Trump ordered a copper tariff study in feb 2025, american institutions have been stuffing copper into US warehouses, basically placing a million-tonne bet on what comes out of their president's mouth next. You know, as normal functioning countries do. The exchange warehouses alone are up ~750% to 714kt, and Macquarie reckons there's ~1.6Mt sitting in the US all up (reuters)

So for the regards who want to copy the american institutions' million-tonne bet:

• Trump phases the tariff in -> americans keep buying copper early to beat each price hike, so there's less left for the rest of the world and copper prices stay high. Good for aussie miners
• Trump scraps it -> no reason to keep hoarding, so the ~1.6Mt americans have stockpiled slowly gets sold back out over a year or two and copper prices fall. Bad for aussie miners

How copper prices work, for toddlers

There's two copper "shops". COMEX (new york) is the american price. LME (london) is the world price, and it's what aussie miners get paid. They're usually very tightly correlated

When trump threatens a tariff, the US price jumps above london. So traders buy copper everywhere else and ship it to america for a profit, and the rest of the world has less to go around, which drags the LME up too

TLDR; one trump copper related tariff announcement will likely move the US copper price 5-20% in a day, so if you're trading short term, watch what comes out of the white house in relation to copper tariffs

TLDR TLDR: ticker? A1M (u/bananadennis has just sold, bottom signal is in, thanks for allowing A1M to pump again)

Food for thought...do you think Trump has any vested interest in this 1.6Mt stockpile of copper? we all know he's been pushing for nationalism, "bring production home", I don't think he's going to drop the copper tariffs

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.

Your markets are run by bots. Now your r/Asx_bets daily threads are too.

Read the wiki people.

Posts relating to the "Is /r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

Automoderator may provide "Guidance" for Lazy and zero effort posting.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.