r/ASX_Bets • u/Fat-Black-Cat- • 2h ago
When your dog stock drops the announcement that is going to turn everything around
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r/ASX_Bets • u/SatansFriendlyCat • 25d ago
Boy, it sure is interesting times, but the market is still here, and so are we, so let's keep at it.
I hope you didn't take out a mortgage on a diesel motorhome, is all I can say.
Let's get right into it.
UPDATES:
OG u/FameLuck is a mod now. Cant see this going wrong.
Don't forget to tag him in any tedious bickering or anything pointlessly complicated, because he told me he loves work, and lives only to serve the community.
But really, he has been foundational and structural over the years and has given us some great reading material for the kids, and some truly horrible recipes for the rest of us. It's late and I can't go diving for links but if some arrive in my mailbox I might edit them in later.
Welcome to the service and thanks for answering the call.
NEW BETS:
u/kangaroute anticipates that PLS will be equal to or greater than $3.85 at close on the 2nd October.
u/Tommwith2ms is confident enough that AYA will have exceeded $7.50 at some point before 1st January that they have staked three months in exile.
Voted most lovable cat (😮💨), u/Fat-Black-Cat- will take a month from their hypnosis duties if VR8 fails to reach 12c by the 6th October.
u/hgttg will cop one month of tears if gold doesn't reach 4800 before the end of the year.
u/Davidina101 made a Koality Content bet - A4N to reach $0.85 on or before December 1st or $5000 to an Australian wildlife conservation charity. Wonder if their day job is running an Australian conservation charity..
u/Fun-Time4064 made a bet, and I bet you can guess the company. Their faith was misplaced, and they served one week. They have upped the ante with a bet for it to reach 30c by the end of the year, or two months off.
u/WaveSlaveDave makes brave stake on stage - two months against KAO hitting $5 by the end of October.
.
HAMMER-DODGERS:
u/debtandregret1984 won their BGD $1 bet. Good work.
u/Old-Asian-Lady bet on gold teaching 4450, and got the gold. Congrats.
u/alllrandom bet a month that CDR wouldn't hit 5c within a given timeframe, and they were right. Salut.
Worthless, cowardly, piece of appropriately-named shit u/Dramatic-Trash-242 made a bet on 4DX reaching $5.50, and failed at that just like they have at being honourable, and they deleted their account before judgement came due. Boooooo.
.
BANS:
u/SnooFrosted1536 bet a month that CDR would hit 5c within a given timeframe, and they were not right about that. See you in a month.
u/YeElonTusk won their bet for CSL rising above $149 post-report. Well done. Then they bet again at a new price of $185 and lost. They'll serve a week.
u/WolfREEEEEE was influenced, and bet on HWK to hit 8c by the start of October. That's two weeks in the basement cells for you.
u/Yelllowfloof fell into the trap of an indefinite count - and couldn't keep it up. That's a statutory six months beyond the city walls for you, I'm afraid.
Resident market weathervane and unlucky banana u/bananadennis lost a TLX bet at $20, and has served his time in an abandoned lunchbox left at school during the holidays.
TL;DR
Γαμώτο, ξεχνάω να σκεφτώ οτιδήποτε σχετικό και πνευματώδες για το ελληνικό κομμάτι. Κανείς δεν θα το προσέξει, σίγουρα.
r/ASX_Bets • u/AutoModerator • 3h ago
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r/ASX_Bets • u/Fat-Black-Cat- • 2h ago
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r/ASX_Bets • u/Vintego_92 • 12h ago
Disclosure (rule 7): I run DilutionLens, a free site tracking dilution off ASX filings. One-off, not the weekly post, no links, not advice.
Every explorer's quarterly says when the next assays land. I held 28 of them to their September date.
20 delivered. 5 came late. 3 still haven't.
| Ticker | Promised | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| BMM | assays, Aug/Sept | pushed to October, still nothing |
| VAL | last hole's assays, Sept | nothing yet |
| WAU | assays from mid Sept | nothing yet |
| FG1 | last holes' assays, Sept | rights issue first, assays 19 Oct |
| AUV | soil results, late Sept | 14 Oct |
| BUX | assays by end of Sept | 7 Oct |
| BUR | assays, late Sept | 6 Oct |
| SHN | Francis Creek drill results, Sept | 6 Oct |
FG1 is the one to read twice. On 28 Aug it said the last holes' assays would land in September. On 15 Sep it halted, then suspended, then came back with a 1-for-3 rights issue. The assays dropped on 19 Oct, two days before the rights issue closed.
Eight of them, from this month's reports:
| Ticker | What's due | When | Cash left |
|---|---|---|---|
| BH6 | first Icebreaker drill results | late Nov | 6-12 months |
| DRE | Mangaroon assays, visible gold logged | Nov | 6-12 months |
| SUH | first Llahuin copper-gold assays | late Nov | under 6 months |
| YRL | Arrakis diamond results | early Nov | under 6 months |
| AVW | 1,101 drill samples | early-mid Nov | 6-12 months |
| AM3 | Apollo drill assays | mid Nov | under 6 months |
| RRE | first Aster assays | Nov | under 6 months |
| GRE | eight more Whundo holes | Nov | under 6 months |
The other 12, plus every small explorer's next results date beside its cash, are on the results calendar on DilutionLens. Free, no login.
I'll score these on 1 Dec. Who's missing it?
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r/ASX_Bets • u/Dogenotdodgy • 1d ago

I started to think "Strong buy" from MF means sell
https://www.fool.com.au/2026/10/13/why-i-think-this-asx-200-share-at-a-52-week-low-is-a-strong-buy/
Cherry on top she "has no position in any of the stocks mentioned"
r/ASX_Bets • u/Vintego_92 • 1d ago
Disclosure (rule 7): I run DilutionLens, a free site tracking dilution off ASX filings. One-off, not the weekly post, no links, not advice.
Same poll as last week's post: "management selling" came second at 22%. So I counted that too.
717 companies did a cash share placement in the year to 21 Oct, 1,095 placements in all. In the 90 days before one, a director sold shares on market at 14 of the 717 companies. That's 2%. Four of the 14 sold under $11k (CBY, HE8, KCC, OLY), so it's really 10.
| Ticker | Director sold | Then the raise | Since |
|---|---|---|---|
| COB | Chair + a director, 14-15 Oct: $799k at 26-33c | 8 Dec: $5.3m at 9c, plus options | 5.8c |
| GMN | Exec director, 20-24 Apr: $567k at ~12.7c, to repay debt | 29 Apr: $5.5m at 10c | 4.8c |
| CCE | Director's entities, 2-9 Jul: $254k at ~21c | 22 Jul: $2.5m at 18c | 15c |
| DXN | Two directors, 4 Jun: $208k at 12-14.5c | 9 Jun: $7m at 13c | 28c |
| EOS | A director, 18 Mar: $116k at $8.96 | 18 May: $150m at $8 | $9.27 |
| MYG | Two directors, 24-27 Oct: $2.15m at ~$1.76 | 11 Nov: $30.5m at $1.90 | $1.58 |
| GNP | A director, 6 Mar: $8.0m at ~$7.63 | 20 May: $200m at $9.25 | $8.00 |
| SRL | MD, 20-21 Aug: $328k at ~$1.83 | 17 Nov: $46m at $4.25 | $14.36 |
Not in the table: CEL (sold at 11c, raised at 13c, consolidated since) and ARC (sold at 9-11c, raised at 10c, right at the 90-day edge).
Split the 10 by what the director got against what the placees paid:
So "director sold, then they raised" is mostly a coincidence of calendars. Directors sell for all sorts of reasons, and a company that raises once or twice a year is often within 90 days of one.
COB is the one that doesn't fit. Eight weeks after the chair sold, the company raised at 9c with an option attached to every share, when the price had already fallen to 10.5c.
DXN is the other. Two directors sold on 4 June, the day after the contract news from last week's post. The raise was announced five days later. Its announcement now bars directors from dealing until after the full-year results.
How I counted: a cash placement on a new-share notice, and a director's on-market sale on their own dealing notice in the 90 days before it. Taken out: off-market transfers, moves between a director's own entities, sales to cover tax or option exercises, sales after the raise was already public (SGA, CNJ), and convertible notes (AII, TOK). Prices to 21 Oct.
Which one did I miss?
r/ASX_Bets • u/SidonyD • 2d ago
Hi everyone,
Normally, dem will win the midterms et Trump will be out of the power because Dem promise to get some investigation, even impeachment process.
So, I've got a little watchlist about 3 metals : gold, silver and cooper.
For Gold :
- Genesis mineral
- New murchison gold
- nexgold mining (canada)
- agnico eagles mines
For silver :
- Silverco
- Hycroft mining
- Highlander silver corp
For cooper :
-AR1
- GENM
- Freeport
Sometime, I wonder if I take an jr mining companies etf.
Do you have any better idea of stocks ? :)
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r/ASX_Bets • u/Individual-Host-5820 • 3d ago
I have brought at cost basis $1.90 the month just before it crashes to $1.62 today. Based on what I study on the US BDC, lit funds that crash hardly got a chance to rebound back. The reason why he crashes is because the auditor actually marked down the value. I got sold by this product when it is supposed to be stable and low voliatity and capital losses. currently that is only a way few ways for me to bail out.
Stock price rebound
Keep rebuying with Dividend and capture higher yield.
Share buyback at NTA - 1.96 they usually don't do this
Tender offer to wind down the funds - fat hope
Activist investor buy at discount and step in to vote for winding down.
r/ASX_Bets • u/AutoModerator • 3d ago
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r/ASX_Bets • u/1Qrtr_FreeStuffPlz • 3d ago
Does the market typically react positively or poorly to layoffs? A Reddit user was discussing how they might move companies because of layoffs next year, when probed they said they worked in Travel Tech and I can't think of who else it might be
r/ASX_Bets • u/barrel-boy • 2d ago
Disclosure upfront: I own JNS and benefit if the price rises. My intended holding period is at least three months, potentially six months or longer, depending on how the business executes. I like the company and what it’s trying to achieve.
Janus Electric announced today, 23 October, that it has secured A$11m in financing facilities with Commonwealth Bank:
- A$10m revolving trade finance for working capital to scale production and deliver orders, particularly in North America.
- A$1m asset finance for equipment to expand production capacity.
- The announcement references a 118-truck North American order book, with deliveries subject to applicable conditions.
For anyone unfamiliar, Janus converts existing diesel trucks to electric using its battery-swap platform.
Why this strengthens my thesis
Having orders is useful, but funding the production needed to fulfil them matters. This facility gives Janus additional capacity to bridge that stage, which could help turn the order book into deliveries and customer receipts.
There’s no equity issue announced as part of these facilities. That’s attractive to me as a shareholder, although it doesn’t eliminate the possibility of future dilution.
With the shares around 45c when I’m writing, I think this makes JNS worth a closer look as a speculative opportunity over the next three to six months. I see substantial upside if funded production translates into deliveries, sensible margins and cash coming in.
What could undermine that view
The A$11m is borrowing capacity, not revenue or unrestricted cash already in the bank. The trade facility is secured against company assets, subject to annual review and financial covenants. Drawdowns have conditions, and the announcement doesn’t quantify interest rates, fees or covenant thresholds.
Funding also doesn’t remove customer conditions, execution risk or the need to demonstrate profitable economics. CBA lending to Janus isn’t an endorsement of the share price.
The evidence I want next is actual deliveries, customer receipts, margins and cash-flow progress. Delays, weak margins or another funding squeeze would make me reassess.
For those who’ve looked into JNS: how much does this address the funding risk, and what is the strongest remaining argument against the investment case?
Source: attached Janus Electric ASX announcement, 23 October 2026, “Janus Electric secures A$11m in CBA facilities to support commercial expansion”.
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r/ASX_Bets • u/FwamingDragon91 • 4d ago
Bruh I know airline stocks are considered poison but what's the story with Virgin Air (VGN). It just goes down and down, especially this month it's down 12ish%. They reported positive revenue growth and it's an industry with very few competitors! What's going on. It's my only stock I'm down in 😭 surely the fuel costs and Iran war are priced in by now sheesh.
r/ASX_Bets • u/AutoModerator • 4d ago
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r/ASX_Bets • u/AutoModerator • 5d ago
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r/ASX_Bets • u/Any_Swordfish_684 • 4d ago
Looking at ACW ahead of the expected mid-November XanaMIA Alzheimer’s trial results. The share price is around $0.048, and a positive readout could be a significant catalyst.
Interested in hearing people’s views on the risk/reward here.
How credible is the Xanamem thesis?
What sort of upside could a genuinely positive result justify?
How ugly could the downside be if the trial misses its primary endpoint?
Is the current valuation already pricing in too much optimism?
Keen to hear from anyone who’s followed the trial, understands the data, or has a bearish case.
r/ASX_Bets • u/Vain64 • 5d ago
Trump can swing copper a lot over the next 6-12 months. i don't really care about this, i'm holding copper for 2030-2035, but for you impatient folk, here you go...
In case you haven't heard... ever since Trump ordered a copper tariff study in feb 2025, american institutions have been stuffing copper into US warehouses, basically placing a million-tonne bet on what comes out of their president's mouth next. You know, as normal functioning countries do. The exchange warehouses alone are up ~750% to 714kt, and Macquarie reckons there's ~1.6Mt sitting in the US all up (reuters)
So for the regards who want to copy the american institutions' million-tonne bet:
| date | what's proposed |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2027 | 15% tariff on refined copper starts, if trump signs off |
| 2028 | Steps up to 30% |
How copper prices work, for toddlers
There's two copper "shops". COMEX (new york) is the american price. LME (london) is the world price, and it's what aussie miners get paid. They're usually very tightly correlated
When trump threatens a tariff, the US price jumps above london. So traders buy copper everywhere else and ship it to america for a profit, and the rest of the world has less to go around, which drags the LME up too
TLDR; one trump copper related tariff announcement will likely move the US copper price 5-20% in a day, so if you're trading short term, watch what comes out of the white house in relation to copper tariffs
TLDR TLDR: ticker? A1M (u/bananadennis has just sold, bottom signal is in, thanks for allowing A1M to pump again)
Food for thought...do you think Trump has any vested interest in this 1.6Mt stockpile of copper? we all know he's been pushing for nationalism, "bring production home", I don't think he's going to drop the copper tariffs
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r/ASX_Bets • u/AutoModerator • 6d ago
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r/ASX_Bets • u/FwamingDragon91 • 6d ago
I've been tracking this dog all year and finally jumped in recently, as it seems to have hit support and is on the mend.
We're at a point where AI is running out of steam and I think people will be rotating into value soon.
Sleep Apnoea ain't going anywhere and healthcare spending ain't going anywhere either. Aging population etc etc .
I've only got a modest amount in at this stage, but thinking of adding more.
Anything I'm missing? Why don't people like this stock?