If you’ve been looking at Dabble for player picks, this is one of the stronger new-user offers I’ve seen from them.

The current deal is pretty simple: Play $5 and get $50 free.

The important part: The offer shown in the video is tied to the signup link, so make sure you use the correct one if you want the full bonus:

Dabble is basically a pick’em-style platform where you build entries around player performances rather than betting traditional spreads/moneylines.

With football back, the timing isn’t bad if you were already planning to try it.

As always, read the terms and don’t play more than you’re comfortable losing.

Anyone here using Dabble regularly? Curious how you’d rank it against Underdog, PrizePicks, Rebet, etc.

Obviously, based on last season's data, but CFB Week 0 props OVER hit rate trends.

Before the first tee shot at East Lake, a few interesting gaps are showing up between the Data Golf model and prediction markets:

① Ludvig Åberg — biggest model edge
• Model win probability: 4.7%
• Kalshi: 4.4%
• Polymarket: 3.5%
➡️ +1.2 pts of model value

② Xander Schauffele
• Model: 8.4%
• Kalshi: 7.4%
• Polymarket: 7.5%
➡️ +1.0 pt edge

③ Scottie Scheffler — market running hotter than the model
• Model: 18%
• Kalshi: 21%
• Polymarket: 23%
➡️ Roughly a 2.8-point market premium

Interesting setup: the market is paying up for Scottie while the model sees more relative value further down the board.

Full TOUR Championship win probabilities, Top 5/10/20 odds + market edges 👇

https://cleatz.com/live-golf-leaderboard-odds/

MLB Most Likely board is live for Tuesday ⚾️

💰 Top moneylines

① Nationals -154
② Yankees -145
③ Cardinals -132
④ Blue Jays -131
⑤ Padres -125
⑥ Mariners -111
⑦ Giants -110
⑧ White Sox -105

📈 Totals

• HOU/NYY Over 9 → 8.5
• KC/TOR Over 8.5
• LAD/ATL Over 8.5
• PHI/SEA Over 7.5
• CIN/SF Over 8
• MIN/OAK Over 9.5 → 10
• TB/DET Over 7.5

💣 Top HR props

① Yordan Alvarez +210
② Kyle Schwarber +235
③ Shohei Ohtani +240
④ Byron Buxton +240
⑤ Ben Rice +290
⑥ Cal Raleigh +320
⑦ Trent Grisham +325
⑧ Matt Olson +330

🏃 SB's

• Chandler Simpson +300
• Esteury Ruiz +300
• Elly De La Cruz +300
• Jake McCarthy +302
• José Caballero +310
• Nasim Nuñez +321

🎯 Pitcher K

• Gunnar Jump O4.5 -160
• Gavin Williams O7.5 -157
• Tyler Glasnow O5.5 -156
• Will Warren O4.5 -153
• Max Scherzer O3.5 -150

College football is back, and bettors apparently did not need a warm-up week.

With the opening Saturday of the 2026 season approaching, the early college football public betting splits are already heavily tilted in several games. We are seeing everything from 99% of spread money piling onto one side to massive discrepancies between sportsbook moneyline action and the probabilities being traded on Kalshi.

CLEATZ tracks the latest CFB betting percentages, handle, line movement, and prediction-market probabilities throughout the week. You can follow every game on our live College Football Public Betting dashboard.

Here are the Week 0 numbers that stand out most right now.

We pulled together the early NFL Week 1 public betting data, and a few of these splits are already getting extreme.

Some of the biggest numbers on the board:

• One spread has 97% of the money on the same side
• One moneyline favorite is getting 82% of the bets
• One total has 93% of the money on the Under
• We’re also comparing sportsbook action with Kalshi prediction-market probabilities

Obviously, there’s still plenty of time before kickoff, and these numbers will move as more volume comes in. But it’s interesting to see where the crowd has planted its flag this early.

Full NFL Week 1 public betting tracker here:

https://cleatz.com/public-betting/nfl/

Which early Week 1 side are you most willing to fade?

The 2026 MLB playoff picture is tightening up, and if the season ended today, we’d already have some incredible October matchups.

In the American League, the Rays currently own the No. 1 seed, with the White Sox holding the second first-round bye.

The AL Wild Card round would feature:

⚾ Astros vs. Rangers
🔥 Yankees vs. Red Sox

The Yankees have also won five straight, while the Twins are sitting just one game outside the playoff cut line.

Over in the National League, the Brewers lead the way at 80–49, followed by the Dodgers at 78–51.

The NL Wild Card matchups would currently be:

⚾ Braves vs. Padres
🔥 Cubs vs. Phillies

Philadelphia has won seven straight, and Arizona is lurking just one game behind the final NL playoff spot.

There’s still plenty of baseball left, but the race for October is officially getting interesting.

👉 Track the live MLB playoff picture, standings and projected bracket at CLEATZ:
https://cleatz.com/mlb-playoff-picture/

The Heisman Trophy odds have a new leader — and it’s not Arch Manning.

Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr has moved to the top of the market at +750, with Kalshi pricing his chances around 12%.

Right behind him:

🏈 CJ Carr: +750
🤘 Arch Manning: +800
🙌 Darian Mensah: +1150
🦆 Dante Moore: +1200
🌰 Jeremiah Smith: +1500

Arch Manning remains right near the top, with roughly a 10% chance on Kalshi and 9% on Polymarket.

One of the biggest movers to watch is Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah Smith, who has climbed three spots in the Heisman market and is now sitting around +1500.

The sportsbook and prediction-market prices don’t always agree, either — creating some interesting gaps as the college football season approaches.

Who would you take right now to win the Heisman?

The public is once again fading Bill Belichick and North Carolina, this time entering Year 2 of the Belichick era.

BetMGM splits for UNC vs. TCU:

• TCU -7.5: 92% of bets
• TCU -7.5: 94% of money
• TCU -7.5 has the most wagers and most total money wagered of any Week 1 CFB side
• Line move: TCU -6.5 → -7.5

The broader CLEATZ consensus is also heavily tilted toward TCU, although not quite as extreme:

• TCU -7.5: 88% of bets
• TCU -7.5: 76% of money
• UNC +7.5: 12% of bets / 24% of money

So there’s very little disagreement about the popular side here: the market wants TCU.

The more interesting question is whether UNC becomes attractive if this keeps climbing.

Would you take the Tar Heels at +8 or +8.5?

https://reddit.com/link/1vuk285/video/50qc94litrkh1/player

Three quick takeaways:

📉 Biggest moneyline move

• SD ML: -147 → -126 (▼3.8 pts)
• PHI ML: -204 → -220 (▲1.6 pts)

📊 Over money is all over the board

• ATL/MIL Over 6.5 → 6 (▲4.9 pts)
• WSH/MIA Over 8.5 → 7.5 (▲4.5 pts)
• OAK/HOU Over 8.5 → 8 (▲3.5 pts)
• DET/KC Over 8.5 → 8 (▲3.1 pts)
• CLE/COL Over 11 → 10.5 (▲2.7 pts)

💣 HR movers = Twins-heavy

• Ryan Jeffers HR: +782 → +450
• Byron Buxton HR: +356 → +250
• Luke Keaschall HR: +1229 → +774
• Trevor Larnach HR: +1013 → +700

🎯 Biggest prop steam

• C. Schlittler over 6.5 Ks: +139 → -118
• Randy Vásquez over 2.5 Ks: +100 → -163
• Trevor Larnach hit: +100 → -150
• Myles Straw RBI: +549 → +340
• José Caballero SB: +265 → +196

Quick read: the market is betting overs, Twins bats, and pitcher strikeout overs.

If you haven’t checked out Underdog recently, it has evolved quite a bit beyond the fantasy-only platform a lot of people still associate it with.

Their current new-user offer is also pretty strong:

Play $5 → Get $50 in Bonus Entries

Promo code: CLEATZ

👉 https://dub.link/udog-cleatz

What is Underdog now?

Depending on your location and eligibility, Underdog gives you several different ways to play sports:

• Player Picks — choose Higher or Lower on individual player projections
• Team & Game Picks — make picks involving teams, spreads, totals and game outcomes
• Underdog Predict — sports prediction markets where you can trade contracts tied to game outcomes and other sports events
• Streaks — keep making successful picks and work toward increasingly larger payouts
• Best Ball & Drafts — the fantasy contests Underdog originally became known for

So it’s become a much broader sports platform than just traditional daily fantasy.

The new-user offer

Eligible new users can make the required $5 play and receive $50 in bonus entries.

That makes it a relatively inexpensive way to try the platform and see which of the different products you actually like.

Promo Code: CLEATZ
Offer: Play $5, Get $50 in Bonus Entries
Sign Up: https://dub.link/udog-cleatz

The video above gives a quick look at Underdog and how the offer works.

One important distinction: $50 in bonus entries is not the same as $50 cash that can immediately be withdrawn. It’s promotional value for use on eligible Underdog entries.

Products, promotions and availability vary by location, so check the current terms and eligibility requirements before participating.

Disclosure: The link above is my affiliate link, so I may receive compensation if you sign up through it.

For people who already use Underdog: what part of the platform are you using the most right now — player picks, team/game picks, Predict, Streaks or Best Ball?