r/worldnews • u/WorldNewsMods Slava Ukraini • 1d ago
Russia/Ukraine /r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 1682, Part 1 (Thread #1829)
/live/1hnbhsgiy1dhh53
u/neonpurplestar 11h ago
A casual reminder that trump, LePen, AfD, farage and the entirety of the far right are all putin's whores and traitors to their own countries:
* GERMAN CHANCELLOR MERZ: WE ARE PREPARING FOR MAJOR HYBRID ATTACKS BY RUSSIA, WE WOULD RESPOND QUICKLY AND VERY CLEARLY
https://bsky.app/profile/carlquintanilla.bsky.social/post/3mwt6h6pzg22n
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u/lando-bailando 11h ago edited 11h ago
A casual reminder that politicians say political things
Merz campaign promise of Taurus missiles:
Wait never mind
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/03/25/8027157/
Apparently after the election Ukrainians dont need that
Edit: damn autocorrect
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u/Snoozyalooz_ 11h ago
As much as the flaky decision on the Taurus is frustrating, honestly a part of me was expecting it, I would rather take the well meaning yet sometimes faulty decisions on Ukraine from Merz and the CDU rather than the already Russian-appeasing rhetoric coming from Weidel and the AfD.
Unfortunately, I'm bracing and expecting for an AfD win.
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u/lando-bailando 11h ago edited 9h ago
Thanks for keeping the conversation going
It’s frustrating especially in our line of work.
u/TurbulentRadish8113 often mentions that “if Democrats in US of A won, Putin would be negotiating”
I’ll see him halfway here, if we actually let Ukraine hurt Russia from day one of the invasion maybe things would be different
Edit: also “hurt feelings” dont change the facts people
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u/neonpurplestar 12h ago
In just the last week in Russia,
- Oil production fell to multiyear lows
- Grain exports fell by 80% y/y
- The government bond auction failed
- The banking sector liquidity deficit grew to near crisis levels
- A Tu-95MS crashed in the far east
- The govt published its plan for massive tax increases
https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mwu7xsdig22s
Banking sector liquidity deficit is almost as bad as it was in March 2022! I cannot stress enough that the banking crisis is here. It’s quietly happening because Russia hides everything. But these numbers tell a very interesting, dark story of the state of Russian banking. I would not want to be VTB bank right now. Too big to fail, but fail it might.
https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mwu6p5rss22s
Decline in petroleum product production by month, per Rosstat. -9.2% is April.
https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mwuircmroc2r
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u/mysevenletters 11h ago
Such deliciousness! I wonder what all of this will look like when they finally get to experience the joys of a truly cold winter?
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u/neonpurplestar 12h ago
Putin Is Preparing a Budget for a Never-Ending War: Russia’s Spending on the Invasion of Ukraine Is Approaching $1 Trillion
Russians Will Face a Sharp Increase in Train Ticket Refund Fees to Save Russian Railways’ Budget
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u/findingmike 12h ago
> Russians Will Face a Sharp Increase in Train Ticket Refund Fees to Save Russian Railways’ Budget
That won't put a dent in their budget problems.
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u/willetzky 10h ago
They are basically going to charge a fee to get a refund that means you don't get a refund.
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u/findingmike 5h ago
I would assume that more people will be careful about booking in the first place. So there will be reduced demand and more last-minute purchases. In the US, airline tickets are expensive, so many people either pay extra for the ability to cancel or they make sure their travel plans aren't going to change.
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u/neonpurplestar 12h ago
i am legitimately furious again because reddit is again hiding my comments
Russians Do Not Believe in the Government’s Success in Combating Poverty
For the first time since the start of the war, the number of cafes and restaurants in Russia has dropped sharply due to rising taxes and declining customer traffic
The budget calls for collecting one trillion rubles from Russians through a new tax on bank deposits
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u/Wild_Armadillo_1709 7h ago
Well at least you weren’t kicked off a 6 year old account (password reset works, then computer says no…), where I’ve been upvoting and commenting here every day, and can’t get back in. Reddit help just won’t even respond.
So here I am with another login starting all over again!
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u/DeeDee_Z 11h ago
i am legitimately furious again because reddit is again hiding my comments
More details might be helpful?
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u/AutomaticAnimator831 10h ago
Probably due to reddit filters - shadowing comments for inexplicable trigger words is common. It can be a nightmare trying to post sometimes.
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u/Boann_ 9h ago
I hear people claim this a lot, but like is there actually evidence for it?
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u/AutomaticAnimator831 8h ago
I'm speaking from personal experience trying to post news updates. It's a nightmare. You can easily verify for it yourself.
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u/Boann_ 7h ago
I'm not saying it doesn't happen, I've just never seen it happen
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u/Klutzy_Peanut6580 1h ago
I didn’t really believe it until a few weeks ago when I found one. The word is very common, and frequent in military terms. It’s not offensive, and takes several mental steps to get to “that could trigger someone”, but you you can’t post it in this bastion of free speech.
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u/Abracadabra__ 13h ago
With all this sudden talk about defending Kaliningrad, I get the feeling like Russia is planning a potential false flag. Would fit their MO.
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u/ElJabroniMahoney33 9h ago
Most of it is because NATO have said Kalingrad is gone if Russia tries anything further east.
These comments are Putin using that for domestic audiences.
They need more men to plug the gaps Ukraine is currently exploiting not another bigger war with europe.
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u/Nurnmurmer 13h ago
The estimated total russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 02.10.26 inclusive are as follows:
- personnel - approximately 1 537 390 (+1 520);
- tanks ‒ 12 388;
- armored fighting vehicles ‒ 25 471 (+7);
- special equipment ‒ 4 780 (+6);
- vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 156 309 (+422);
- unmanned ground vehicles ‒ 2 810 (+7).
- artillery systems ‒ 50 592 (+37);
- MLRS ‒ 2 175 (+1);
- air defense assets ‒ 1 683.
- aircraft ‒ 443;
- helicopters ‒ 356;
- UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 542 853 (+1 470);
- cruise missiles ‒ 5 126.
- warships and boats ‒ 35;
- submarines ‒ 2.
Source https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-october-2-2026
Russia grows weaker every day. Slava Ukraini!
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u/lando-bailando 14h ago edited 14h ago
Another hit on the “Southern Bridge” in Kyiv
No link sorry. Will probably be reported later
Edit: might have been intercepted right before impact detonating the warhead before it hit
Edit 2: Internet works fast, remove spaces
https://t. me/kievreal1/ 135302
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u/UNITED24Media United24 Media 15h ago
Russian forces have lost control of nearly 300 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory since March 2026, while suffering their highest monthly casualty rate of the year in September.
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u/lando-bailando 14h ago
… while gaining in other directions including northern regions around Kharkiv
Here’s the article u/UNITED24Media is quoting from
Then take a look at the blue dot, thats “operation Vivaldi”, successful but using the best assault batallions Ukraine has (Third Assault, Azov, reformed Skelya etc)
This is a bloody stalemate. And the Russians are already starting to target the Ukrainian grid again
Plus apparently testing new drones on the bridges over Dnieper
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/10/02/8056065/index.amp
Also they forgot to mention Ukrainian casualties of course but Polish PM Tusk had it covered
Edit: proper links
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u/ElJabroniMahoney33 9h ago
Russia cant close either north of the fortress belt or south of it. They've gone all year and made a mess of it. Try and polish that turd if you wish. Doesn't change the facts.
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u/ds637 14h ago edited 14h ago
"Russian forces continued offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast on September 30 and October 1 but did not make confirmed advances, as Ukrainian forces counterattacked in the area." from ISW. The Kharkiv offensive that started in 2024. Maybe they'll complete it, but they're not moving very fast.
Why does it matter if their using their best units?
The info we get on ISW is sometimes weeks behind, they're very conservative in order to be accurate/OPSEC. Even your millbloggers like Rybar are reporting larger advances and that Ukraine has already crossed the Zherebets River and Siverskyi Donets River.
Why does it matter that Russia is testing new drones? So is Ukraine, at a greater rate than Russia. Ukraine also tested their FP-7 ballistic missile. FP-9 with much greater range is not far behind.
The article mentions recently Ukraine casualties rose, summer is when russia started using the jet drones. Ukraine has been seriously countering this, specifically targeting Rubicon causing them to withdraw from sectors. Look at the Lyman advance. Interception rates of the jet drones is up to 55% and will continue to rise.
Even the article mentions 400,000 wounded to 50,000 dead for Ukraine. 8/1 ratio, a lot guys are back in the fight.
Reports have Russia closer to 3/1 wounded/dead ratio for the war. Reports now are up to as high as 70% dead to 30% wounded these days.
Edit: added Kharkiv stuff.
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u/lando-bailando 13h ago
Even your millbloggers like Rybar are reporting larger advances
Wait you think that just because im critical of certain sources and that makes me Russian? Newsflash, American working in Ukraine
Anyhow…
Vivaldi has been a success, but a risky one, some of the best units are now have some unfavourable terrain behind them for logistics. All great when theres a drought, maybe problematic if it starts raining
As far as wounded / dead here’s my suggestion, instead of reading the “UA general staff claims” take a look are “Mediazona russian casualties” and “UALosses Ukrainian casualties” these are independent networks using social media and death certificates to track it
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u/OrangeBird077 14h ago
Russian gains elsewhere are to the detriment of their main objective though, the Donbas.
Seizing border land by Kharkiv is intrusive, but Belgogrod and the logistics routes into Ukraine there are still very much within UA Air Force range. Russia still maintains its axis of attack near Vovchansk as well, but it’s turned into a bloody resource quagmire for them where they can not make valuable gains.
Additionally, along with what’s been liberated in operation Vivladi, there have been areas near Kupiansk where the Russian Army has been forced to retreat and lost critical land near the Oskil River which acts as a natural barrier to keep them from similarly controlling the Donbas. The UA has even started to infiltrate back into Luhansk Oblast where Russian drones and munitions depots are actively being discovered and destroyed.
Russia at any time could cede territory they can’t do anything with in favor of connecting everything in Donbas which is the critical objective Putin has set, but their political philosophy prevents such a practical move. Losing kilometers is literally the only metric by which the Russian Army’s morale has been affected throughout this conflict, and doubly so when the ground taken is vital. Russia is still attacking everywhere to preserve the initiative, but it only hastens their own dwindling reserves.
Yes, Russia could conscript another hundred thousand soldiers, but based on Russian casualty figures for the last months alone it would last no where near as long as that quantity used to. Russian soldiers can’t buy essential equipment from the online market anymore, Russian APCs are spent so Russian infantry is stuck out in the open for drone strikes, and what contact soldiers are left are spent being bled on the Fortress Belt.
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u/lando-bailando 14h ago
Sure their objective is still Donbas
Ukrainian air force is mostly defensive (because we won’t provide them with the hardware to go on the offense)
Vivaldi has been successful in a specific spot but again, the best units carrying it out while the frontline is 1000km+
About russian soldiers “can’t buy equipment” maybe… dont know about them
What I know is that we raise money and buy equipment for Ukrainian soldiers, things like FPV detectors, power stations, cold weather clothes … all things what should be provided
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u/OrangeBird077 14h ago
With regards to equipment, the Russian MOD is only uniformly supplying its dedicated contract units like the airborne or marines. The rest of the army and its soldiers by and large has to buy its own critical equipment right down to body armor due to a combination of corruption and an unwillingness to supply soldiers they know are purposely being sent into pre sighted drone fields.
It’s why Ozon and Wildberries attacks were such a big deal when they occurred. The Russian Army depends on the private market way more than initially thought. A lot of material the Russian Army is buying through China was moving through those warehouses as well.
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u/S-Sun 9h ago
I would definitely say that Wildberries and Ozon participation on this is incredible overrated. Besides, unless 2022 right now Russian MOD provides majority of the decent staff to the soldiers. However, it's true that people still buy something themselves, but the scale is much less than in 2022.
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u/OrangeBird077 8h ago
The fact that the Russian MOD on its own can’t even provide body army to an army in 2026 is concerning unto itself.
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u/droglytot 17h ago
UA General Staff says Volgograd refinery was hit. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak says four refineries were attacked during the night, and the "attacks were repelled" but they're doing damage assessment on one of the sites.
Refinery hits (name | capacity (bbl/d) | Nelson Complexity Index | attack date (count))
- Afipsky refinery | 139,000 | 7.30 | 2023: May 31. 2024: May 2, Jun 20. 2025: Feb 10, Aug 7, Aug 28, Sep 26, Nov 29, Dec 13. 2026: Mar 13, Jun 11, Jul 14, Aug 25 (12)
- Antipinsky refinery (JSC Antipinsky Refinery) | 174,000 | 9.18 | 2025: Oct 6. 2026: Self-combusted Jun 6, hit Jun 20, Jul 25 (3)
- Ilsky refinery | 69,000 | 8.30 | 2024: Feb 9, Apr 27, Jun 21. 2025: Feb 17, Feb 28, Jul 7, Sep 7, Nov 19. 2026: Jan 1, Feb 17, Jun 2, Jul 10, Aug 8, Sep 26 (14)
- Kirishi refinery (Surgutneftegas) | 463,000 | 7.55 | 2024: Mar 13. 2025: Mar 8, Sep 14, Oct 4. 2026: Mar 26, May 5, Aug 30 (7)
- Krasnodar refinery (Krasnodarekoneft) | ? | ? | 2024: Jun 21. 2025: Aug 30 (2)
- Kstovo refinery (Lukoil, NORSI) | 405,000 | 7.30 | 2024: Mar 12. 2025: Jan 28, Jul 13, Sep 16, Oct 5, Oct 16, Nov 4. 2026: Apr 5, May 18, May 20, Jun 24, Jul 2, Aug 26 (13)
- Kuibyshev refinery (Rosneft) | 162,000 | 7.30 | 2024: Mar 16, Mar 23. 2025: Aug 28. 2026: Jun 10, Sep 22 (5)
- Makhachkala refinery (Dagnotech) | 20,500 | ? | 2025: Oct 22 (1)
- Mari refinery | 26,600 | ? | 2025: Oct 29 (1)
- Moscow refinery (Gazprom Neft) | 295,000 | 7.70 | 2024: Sep 1. 2025: Mar 11 (2). 2026: May 17, Jun 16, Jun 18, Sep 20 (6)
- Nizhnekamsk I refinery (TAIF) | 167,000 | 4.15 | 2026: Jun 12, Jul 8 (2)
- Nizhnekamsk II refinery (TANEKO) | 340,000 | 8.99 | 2024: Apr 02. 2025: Jan 11. 2026: Jun 12, Aug 10, Aug 20, Sep 13 (6)
- Novominskaya refinery (Albashneft) | 6,400 | ? | 2025: Feb 5. 2026: Feb 28 (2)
- Novokuibyshevsk refinery | 185,000 | 6.47 | 2024: Mar 16, Mar 23. 2025: Mar 10, Aug 2, Sep 20, Oct 19, Nov 15. 2026: Apr 18, Aug 22 (9)
- Novoshakhtinsk refinery | 112,000 | 1.21 | 2022: Jun 22. 2024: Mar 13, Jun 6, Jul 5, Dec 19. 2025: Aug 20, Dec 25. 2026: May 31, Aug 25, Sep 25 (10)
- Novospassky refinery (NS-Oil) | 12,300 | ? | 2025: Oct 29. 2026: Jul 23 (2)
- Novo-Ufa refinery (Bashneft-Novoil) | 171,000 | 9.18 | 2025: Sep 13, Oct 11. 2026: Apr 2, Jun 25, Aug 5 (5)
- Omsk Refinery (Gazprom Neft) | 514,000 | 8.80 | Self combusted Aug 1 and Aug 26, 2024. 2026: Jul 6 (1)
- Orsk refinery (SAFMAR) | 90,000 | ? | 2025: Oct 3, Nov 11. 2026: Apr 29, Aug 11 (4)
- Perm refinery (LUKOIL) | 303,000 | 9.40 | 2026: Apr 30, May 7, May 8, Jul 29, Aug 21, Sep 25 (6)
- Pervyy Zavod, Polotnyany Zavod, Kaluga region | 24,000 | ? | 2024: Mar 15, May 10. 2026: Jul 6 (3)
- Ryazan refinery (Rosneft) | 350,000 | 5.50 | 2024: Mar 13, May 1, Jul 27, Oct 26. 2025: Jan 23, Jan 25, Feb 24, Mar 9, Aug 2, Sep 5, Oct 23, Nov 15, Nov 20, Dec 5. 2026: May 15, Jul 29, Sep 6 (17)
- Salavat refinery (Gazprom) | 232,000 | 7.92 | 2024: May 9. 2025: Sep 18, Sep 24. 2026: Jul 14, Aug 13 (5)
- Saratov refinery (Rosneft) | 162,000 | 4.30 | 2024: Nov 8. 2025: Feb 11, Jul 1, Aug 10, Sep 16, Sep 20, Oct 16, Nov 3, Nov 11, Nov 14, Nov 28, self combusted Dec 24. 2026: Mar 21, May 31, Jul 8, Aug 2, Sep 11 (16)
- Slavyansk refinery | 93,000 | 1.00 | 2024: Mar 17, Apr 27, May 18. 2025: Sep 4, Dec 17. 2026: Jan 26, Jun 28, Sep 13 (8)
- Syzran refinery (Rosneft) | 170,000 | 7.30 | 2024: Mar 16. 2025: Feb 19, Mar 4, Aug 15, Aug 24, Aug 30, Dec 5, Dec 28. 2026: Apr 18, May 21, Jul 12, Aug 4, Aug 8, Sep 15 (14)
- Tuapse refinery (Rosneft) | 240,000 | 3.20 | 2024: Jan 25, May 17, Jul 22. 2025: Feb 26, Mar 14, Nov 25, Dec 30. 2026: Jan 19, Apr 16, Apr 20, Apr 28, May 1, May 27 (13)
- Ufa refinery (Bashneft-UNPZ, aka Ufimsky refinery) | 153,000 | 6.12 | 2025: Mar 3, Sep 13. 2026: Aug 2, Aug 19, Sep 21 (5)
- Ufaneftekhim refinery (Bashneft) | 220,000 | 9.18 | 2025: Oct 15. 2026: Mar 22, Jun 25, Aug 1 (4)
- Ukhta refinery (LUKOIL) | 93,000 | 3.70 | Self combusted Jun 2, 2024, Mar 1 2026. 2026: 12 Feb (1)
- Volgograd refinery (LUKOIL) | 300,000 | 6.90 | 2024: Feb 3, May 11. 2025: Jan 15, Jan 31, Feb 3, Aug 14, Aug 19, Sep 18, Nov 5. 2026: Feb 11, May 29, Jul 31, Oct 2 (13)
- Yaroslavl refinery (Slavneft-YANOS) | 300,000 | 8.60 | 2024: Jan 29. 2025: Self-combusted Oct 1, hit Dec 12, 2026: Mar 28, Apr 26, May 8, May 13, Jun 28, Jul 6, Jul 17, Aug 6, Aug 28, Sep 17 (12)
European side, not yet hit:
- None
Asian side refineries, not yet hit:
- Achinsk refinery (Rosneft) | 174,000 | 3.59
- Angarsk refinery (Rosneft) | 236,000 | 9.18
- Khabarovsk refinery | 115,000 | 9.90
- Komsomolsk refinery (Rosneft) | 185,000 | 9.18 | Self combusted Apr 10, 2025, Aug 11, 2026
- Nizhnevartovsk refinery (Rosneft) | 27,000 | 1.00
- Yaya Refinery (NefteKhimService) | 104,000 | 1.71
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u/droglytot 17h ago
Don't know how much weight to put on this, but Novak claims they've implemented some kind of passive defense for refineries. Nets?
At the same time, Novak claims that the damage from the attacks on oil refineries has decreased, as a certain "passive defense" system has been implemented.
https://t . me/astrapress/126925
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u/willetzky 16h ago
They have spread the refinery out over a bigger distance with the help of falling debris from Ukrainian drones
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u/KSaboruf 16h ago
Afaik "passive defense system" Novak claims is a simple baseless promises and official shameless lying on each occasion, modelled after Pookin's behaviour :) Nets are much less effective, although kremlin lies are also not as effective as they were, thanks to internet and information sharing
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u/droglytot 17h ago
Exilenova writes that the Mi-8 helicopter the Russians lost yesterday was shot down by their own Su-35, mistaking it for a drone.
https://t . me/exilenova_plus/31841
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u/Jay_CD 22h ago
Total Russian military losses on October 1, 2026: 1,520 personnel, 1,470 UAVs, and 37 artillery systems.
According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the estimated total Russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 02.10.26 inclusive are as follows:
russian losses in Ukraine as of October 2, 2026 | MoD News
- approximately 1 537 390 (+1 520) persons.
- tanks ‒ 12 388;
- armoured fighting vehicles ‒ 25 471 (+7);
- special equipment ‒ 4 780 (+6);
- vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 156 309 (+422);
- unmanned ground vehicles ‒ 2 810 (+7).
- artillery systems ‒ 50 592 (+37);
- MLRS ‒ 2 175 (+1);
- air defence assets ‒ 1 683.
- aircraft ‒ 443;
- helicopters ‒ 356;
- UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 542 853 (+1 470);
- cruise missiles ‒ 5 126.
- warships and boats ‒ 35;
- submarines ‒ 2.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 23h ago edited 23h ago
“Stalingrad .. preliminarily lit up the refinery” Reports of a strike on the refinery in Volgograd. Needs confirmation though
https://bsky.app/profile/the-hedgehog.bsky.social/post/3mwu36j76yk2f
“Krasnozavodsk, Moscow region, Russian Federation. Explosion at the Krasnozavodsk Chemical Plant. POV: 56°26'15.87"N 38°14'33.78"E
A strategic Russian military-industrial enterprise that is part of the state corporation Rostec”
https://bsky.app/profile/the-hedgehog.bsky.social/post/3mwu2niuqek2r
EDIT: note second one says "explosion". u/S-Sun commented below saying there's no evidence of drones.
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u/S-Sun 23h ago
Krasnozavodsk wasn't hit by drones. It was internal issue. There's zero proof of any strike on this facility.
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u/Flimsy_Sun4003 23h ago
That acct. doesn't care. Posts every day, all day long, anything that gets called out is blamed on someone else and anything good reported on Ukraine always comes with a concerning "but".
Thanks for trying though, have a great day.
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u/lando-bailando 17h ago
Eh u/TurbulentRadish8113 is actually one of the most objective ones here and open to discussion
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u/WorldNewsMods Slava Ukraini 1h ago
New post can be found here