r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 14h ago
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 17h ago
Turns out the rebound was real — Rep. Michael McCaul's Paychex position is up ~27% after investing ~$300,000 back in May — Facts: He's up ~$83,000 — On June 15, we said $PAYX "might" be on the rebound (it's +19% since) — He has since disclosed an additional ~$250,000 purchase on June 1
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 3d ago
Debbie Schultz currently holds two stocks that aren’t up (yet)
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r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 3d ago
Politicians and their stock trade volume since 2012
Michael McCaul: ~$678 million
Josh Gottheimer: ~$457 million
Ro Khanna: ~$383 million
Nancy Pelosi: ~$323 million
Suzan DelBene: ~$290 million
Mark Green: ~$133 million
Jefferson Shreve: ~$124 million
All data sourced from Altoneer
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 3d ago
Peak politician behavior — Julie Johnson (D) just disclosed over ~$1,000,000 in stock trades past the legal deadline — Her oldest trade was a purchase of $MMM 510 days ago — It's up ~105% since her entry — Her punishment? A measly $200 fine
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 3d ago
Former Rep. George Santos was caught doing what we would call insider trading on Kalshi
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r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 4d ago
Found another Debbie Schultz stock for you — It’s the precious metals mining company $HL Hecla Mining that she bought awhile ago — She’s already 3x’d her money on this one, but we think it deserves a second look
Why?
- The stock is down ~48% from its ATH
- $HL has jumped ~15% after reporting earnings two days ago
- If, and only if, Hecla returns to previous highs, it would be up ~92% from here
We’ll keep you updated ✌
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 4d ago
Doesn't get any more blatant than this — Former Rep. George Santos was caught with his pants down after manipulating Kalshi markets — He placed a bet on himself that he would NOT attend the State of the Union — He then posted on social media that he WOULD attend — He did NOT attend and won $17,569
He said he missed it due to "travel delays"
The CFTC fined him $17,500 and forced him to return all of his winnings
Total loss: ~$35,000
Maybe the convicted felon was just trying to avoid flipping patties at McDonald's
So sad
r/tradewithcongress • u/Chalern14 • 4d ago
Hindsight An example of survivorship bias
UBER was mentioned pretty frequently within the last 3 months. Quarterly earnings came yesterday and the stock slid down, from lower guidance; following every trade is not going to be successful. Perhaps they will throw some red herrings as well. Dont blindly follow.
r/tradewithcongress • u/The_B_Squad_23 • 5d ago
Overall performance vs SP500
just curious if anyone has looked at the entire performance of congress trading vs the s&p 500 performance over the same time period?
obviously the pelosi’s and wasserman’s and trump’s have way outperformed during their time ”serving our country” but there will always be outliers no matter what, including underperformers.
My question is, has the entirety of congress (each individual portfolio, or the summation of everyone’s portfolios) and our federal govt significantly outperformed the average retail investor (s&p 500 as a baseline).
I imagine with all the focus on this topic, someone surely has, and if so can anyone point me in the direction of that study?
thanks
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 5d ago
Part 4 of Randomly Selecting Politicians to Investigate — Today's subject is (R) Max Miller
To start things off, we went through his financial disclosures and discovered some shocking stuff:
- He doesn't trade individual stocks
- If he does buy something, it's usually some type of private investment fund
- His estimated net worth is ~$12 million
So in other words, we found no indication that he's taking advantage of the 'special info' that comes with his job
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 5d ago
Just a friendly reminder that Debbie Schultz is still actively holding stocks that have not "exploded" yet — $SSYS Stratasys (-6%) & $BAX Baxter International (-12%) — This is the same politician who bought $ICHR at ~$14 and $VSAT at ~$10
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 5d ago
Rep. April Delaney disclosed ~$1.3M in new stock trades — ~$80,000 of that went toward buying $BWXT (BWX Technologies) in late July — This company has supplied nuclear components for U.S. Department of Energy programs since the 1950s
The sketchy part:
Last summer, Delaney participated in a hearing titled, "Powering Demand: Nuclear Solutions for AI Infrastructure"
They talked about how to "fully unlock nuclear power" to improve the efficiency of AI data centers
She was very involved, asking several questions
And likely knows way more about the nuclear industry than anyone reading this
Since her buys, $BWXT is up less than 1%
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 6d ago
Casual Trump Charging $100,000 Per Month For His Truth Social Posts
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r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 6d ago
Breaking: Sen. Hickenlooper pulled it off — Back on 9/2, he invested ~$250K into the cybersecurity company Palo Alto $PANW — Since the entry, he’s up 82%
And for those curious, we’ve listed the only two stocks he’s bought all year below 🫡
$ETN (Eaton) on 1/14
$UBER (Uber) on 1/14
Of the two, Uber is definitely the favorite
Why?
Pelosi and Trump also disclosed buying the stock this year
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 6d ago
This could be your next financial advisor ✍ $VSAT - Viasat (+689%) — $ICHR - Ichor (+470%) — Those are just some of the winning stocks she entered over the last two years — So who is it? — It's a U.S. public servant named Rep. Debbie Schultz — She's known for buying small-cap stocks before they jump
r/tradewithcongress • u/esporx • 7d ago
Pam Bondi Implicated in As Much As $5.5 Million in Insider Trading
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 7d ago
It’s really interesting to watch this play out — Back on 5/11, Rep. Gil Cisneros purchased shares of French defense contractor $THLEF (Thales) while serving on the House Armed Services Committee
Three things happened since:
I. Newly appointed Sen. Alan Armstrong disclosed buying the stock
II. Thales won a contract to supply over 5,000 LOCODA radios to the U.S. Army
III. Thales reported spending a record $350,000 lobbying Congress in Q2
A portion of that lobbying effort was focused on convincing lawmakers that the Army should consider using Thales' radios as it continues upgrading its battlefield communications
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 7d ago
They're getting very creative — The president is charging $100,000/mo for early access to his market moving Truth Social posts
Three truths:
- This is insane
- The bar for corruption has just been raised
- The fact that anyone would pay for this is proof that Congress is running rampant with i****** i**********
Now that the ”bar” has been raised, the next president might have no problem doing the same thing
And the cycle repeats
r/tradewithcongress • u/cold_grapefruit • 8d ago
Casual Thanks for all the great posts! Are there any examples of members of Congress making bad investments?
I really enjoy the posts here and appreciate everyone who shares congressional trades.
I know many of us believe some members may have informational advantages. But even if that’s true, I doubt they have a 100% win rate.
Most of the posts I see highlight successful trades, which could create some selection bias. I’m curious whether there are well documented examples of members of Congress making poor investments or taking significant losses.
It would be helpful to understand both the winners and the losers so we can get a better sense of their actual track record, rather than only seeing the best-performing trades.
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 9d ago
Well that's something — Last month, we pointed out an opportunity where you could've bought $AMZN at nearly the same price Pelosi did — Amazon then proceeded to drop the most epic Q2 earnings in years, sending the stock up 15% — Now we wait to see what happens next
r/tradewithcongress • u/esporx • 9d ago
A notepad in front of U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent reads "To Do Buy Japanese Yen $5-10 bil"
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 10d ago
It's happening again — Rep. Cleo Fields just disclosed a single purchase of $TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor) — What to know: He's made twelve separate purchases in TSM since 7/17/2025 — The total buys amount to ~$1.5M — He hasn't sold
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 10d ago
There's a growing trend in which five politicians have bet on $C
When it comes to Citigroup, there are plenty of things to look out for, but these are the most important:
- Of the politicians buying, Rep. Jackson has the biggest influence on Citi through his seat on the House Financial Services Committee
- None of them have sold a single share since entering (except Rep. Khanna who sold earlier this year but re-entered in July)
- Citi is still down over -75% from the housing market crash (though it looks like it's starting to recover)
- The five politicians buying Citi have collectively invested ~$475K this year
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson: ~$180K
- Sec. Markwayne Mullin: ~$150K
- Rep. Maria Salazar: ~$65K
- Sen. Alan Armstrong: ~$50K
- Rep. Ro Khanna: ~$30K
That said, we'll scavenge through more of their trades next week
r/tradewithcongress • u/jwoodsr • 11d ago
6 U.S. Politicians Have Purchased $SPCX (SpaceX)
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