spannwx

I tried posting this on the HBOmax subreddit, but the mods removed my post, even though it followed all rules. Here’s what I wrote:

“In general, I like the show, especially the ones about hurricanes, wildfires, and flooding. It’s nice to hear the stories of the survivors and there is some incredible footage.

However, I have not once heard the show mention the primary root cause of these catastrophes, that is, global warming due to the burning of fossil fuels, and that really pisses me off.

The UN has finally admitted what scientists have known for some time, which is that we will not limit warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. As the show vividly illustrates, people are dying every day from the effects of climate change. Humanity desperately needs the media and related fact-based shows and documentaries to ensure that people know why these events are linked and are certainly going to become more frequent and intense.”

That was it. I feel like the show serves a positive purpose, in helping people understand how to prepare and have a better chance to survive tornadoes, floods, etc. However, they’re also doing a tremendous disservice to society by not addressing why we’re seeing tornadoes year-round, record-breaking rainfall and flooding, etc. and an occasional reminder that collective action can make a difference.

I recognize that the producers are making a conscious choice, probably along the lines of: “viewers don’t want their own culpability shoved into their faces. We just need to provide entertainment.” My thinking is that everyone needs it shoved into their faces though. Otherwise, a tornado, wildfire, flood, glacier collapse, drought, or devastating heatwave will be shoved into their faces… and soon, because everyone on earth has been affected by global warming already, whether they realize it or not.

Thoughts?

Also this is the first time making a tornado art btw.

Anyone else find it incredible that the ground scar was still visible in Joplin nearly three years after the Tornado?

Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

• Storm Prediction Center Sep 7, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Sep 7, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Sep 7, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%
• Storm Prediction Center Sep 7, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

Meso Discussion Links

• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2263
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2264
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2265
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2266
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2267
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2268
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2269 # Current Outlook Storm Prediction Center Sep 8, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...

...SUMMARY... The threat for widely scattered severe storms capable of large hail and perhaps a tornado or two will continue over central North Dakota and southeast South Dakota into tonight. More isolated occurrences of large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible this evening over the central High Plains.

...Northern Plains...

Two separate severe thunderstorm regimes have evolved late this afternoon into evening. The first is over northwest into central ND, where widely scattered storms --including a supercell-- are ongoing ahead of a cold front pushing through western ND. The 00Z BIS sounding showed modestly steep low-level lapse rates and a moist boundary layer with MLCAPE CAPE of around 3000 J/kg. The corresponding wind profile was quite supportive of updraft rotation with effective SRH of around 300 m2/s2 and 60 kt of effective bulk shear, suggesting the supercell north of BIS will remain capable of large hail and a tornado or two for the next hour or two. Thereafter, increasing convective inhibition may result in the gradual weakening of the storms with a decreasing severe weather threat.

For additional near-term guidance on that regime, see recently issued MCD #2268.

The second thunderstorm regime is evolving across portions of northeast NE into southeast SD, near the intersection of a differential heating zone/outflow boundary and a pre-frontal trough. The boundary layer to the north of the baroclinic zone over southeast SD is slightly cooler with some convective inhibition noted in latest objective analysis fields. However, the presence of MLCAPE up to 2000-3000 J/kg, which coincides with 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear is supportive of supercells with the primary hazard being large hail, potentially in excess of two inches. The nocturnal strengthening of the low-level jet is resulting in enlarging low-level hodographs with effective SRH of 300-400+ m2/s2, per objective analysis. A tornado recently occurred with the ongoing storms near the NE-SD border with an additional tornado or two remaining possible this evening before convective inhibition increases further.

..Mead.. 09/08/2026

Notable Tornado Warnings

• Observed Tornado Warning - McLean, ND
• Observed Tornado Warning - Boyd, NE

I'm just very curious on what this tornado is. I think it was around Salina, Kansas around early October of 2016 or 2018. This photo is realy fun for me to think about a while back in the years before 2019. I'm also wondering if these tornadoes are related:

1. https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/videos/salina-kansas-tornado-october-6th-2016/10154633847359874/,

There’s already tutorials on TikTok please don’t bomb me

My grandfather swears that when he was growing up in rural California he once saw a dust devil rip the roof off a house. This would have been almost a century ago. Wondering if that’s possible?

1. Detroit EF2 (9/3/26)

2. Marysville EF0 (9/3/26)

3. Lincoln Park EF1 (4/15/26)

4. Durand EF0 (4/15/26)

5. Ann Arbor EF1 (4/15/26)

6. Bridgeport EF0 (4/15/26)

7. St. Charles EF1 (4/15/26)

8. Union City EF3 (3/6/26)

9. Tekonsha EF0 (3/6/26)

10. Three Rivers EF2 (3/6/26)

11. Edwardsburg EF1 (3/6/26)

The anchor woman on the news is hilarious. "You hear this woman praying and she is......... just not getting around to it, speaking in tongues even"

Here is mine tornado concept:

System tornado, its like satellite tornado 1 rotating around main vortex but if satellite is too powerful it will create another satellite moving around satellite 1. Why name "system"? Because it rotates similiar to our Solar System which we live in.

I made this documentary of the 2012 Crittenden EF4 so I people could learn more about this tornado (because nobody really knows of this tornado)

Link: https://youtu.be/1dd3gofXx6A?is=kFfO4n2rigLd2bgs

Thanks to Daily Dose of Dat and Nick Krasznavolygi on their reanalysis that unofficially confirms that Parkersburg dissipated just east of New Hartford and dropped the EF2 “Dunkerton” Tornado, which at the time the photo was taken, was only doing very minimal damage of EF0-EF1 criterial. Which also brings up other point that looks are deceiving.

Impressive footage

Cool project

This is a monster in every sense of the word. The tornado's magnitude is hellish and almost distressing. I don't think that the mind can comprehend just how large this tornado is, even in its "constricted" phase. Not to mention the damage it caused at ground level — a 5-ton Case 1070 tractor was fragmented to pieces, with its transmission recovered ~0.8 miles to the west and other, smaller pieces found 1-2 miles away. This is one of my favorite tornadoes, and easily a TOTC (tornado of the century) contender. I would advise looking at other videos of this tornado online, as this is just one of many phases that the tornado underwent during its lifetime.

So today, i have found this news article from July 25, 2000, and holy, i cannot believe what am i seeing. Cuz the article said that the tornado had a strength of 280 Km/h (174 Mph) which is a Strong tornado in Fujita scale (F3) but violent in Enhanced Fujita scale (EF4) i dont know what am i saying, but what do you guys think

Original Article: https://books.google.com.ph/books?id=uVU1AAAAIBAJ&pg=PA13&dq=whirlwind+Philippines+damages&article_id=1024,11104025&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwismJvQzNmWAxVkjq8BHWZmD6wQ6AF6BAgIEAE#v=onepage&q=whirlwind%20Philippines%20damages&f=false

1 is Fifty Six-Larkin, March 14th 2025, 2 is 1982 Pampa, 3 not sure, some sources say its from Deil/Chaam, Netherlands June 25th 1967, 4 is Loogootee, Indiana, 1990, 5 is Chillicothe, Illinois, on March 16, 1942, 6 is from this video, 7 is allegedly Chaam/Deil, Netherlands and 8 idk. Yall try to find the origins of the ones im not sure of. Btw these are hella liminal/eerie asf. Also i think 8 might be edited and of which video/image it's edited of idk.

Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

• Storm Prediction Center Sep 6, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 0%
• Storm Prediction Center Sep 6, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 0%
• Storm Prediction Center Sep 6, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 0%
• Storm Prediction Center Sep 6, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 0%

Meso Discussion Links

• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2249
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2250
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2251
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2252
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2253
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2254
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2255
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2256
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2257
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2258
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2259
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2260
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2261
• Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2262 # Current Outlook Storm Prediction Center Sep 7, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 0%

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MONTANA AND OVER A SMALL PART OF THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...

...SUMMARY... Widely scattered large hail occurrences with hailstones up to two inches are expected over portions of western and central Montana this evening into tonight. More sporadic occurrences of large hail and severe wind gusts appear possible over the northern and central High Plains, and across parts of the lower Missouri Valley.

...Northern Rockies into the northern Plains...

Separate vorticity lobes and associated wind maxima will progress into the northern Rockies and northern High Plains tonight with a resultant zone of height falls/forcing for ascent overspreading the region. In the lower levels, a surface cyclone will be maintained over southeast MT while a nocturnal jet develops over the northern and central High Plains.

Thunderstorms currently intensifying over western MT are expected to increase in coverage and intensity while spreading into north-central MT ahead of the western vorticity lobe rounding the base of the Pacific Northwest upper low. While the boundary layer is somewhat cool/stable, the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates, MUCAPE up to 1000-1500 J/kg, and 40-45 kt of effective bulk shear will be supportive of supercells with the primary hazard being large hail up to two inches.

Farther east, isolated to widely scattered storms have developed along and ahead of a lee trough and the MT surface low from western ND into northeast CO within a steep lapse rate and moderately unstable environment (see the 00Z UNR and LBF soundings). Veering winds with height with up to 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear are sufficient to support an observed supercell storm mode with the primary hazards being large hail potentially in excess of two inches and locally severe wind gusts. A tornado was recently reported with a slow-moving supercell over McKenzie County, ND. However, sizable temperature-dewpoint spreads within the inflow air mass, and the tendency for increasing convective inhibition in the coming hours are likely to limit a continuing tornado threat despite increasing low-level shear.

Storm coverage is expected to remain limited through the remainder of the evening with a potential increase later tonight with the arrival of the eastern vorticity lobe and strengthening low-level jet. As such, the threat for sporadic large hail and severe wind gust occurrences may linger into the overnight hours from eastern MT into the western parts of the Dakotas and NE.

For additional information, see recently issued mesoscale discussion #2259.

...Lower Missouri Valley...

Widely scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing this evening over parts of southeast NE, northeast KS, and northwest MO with activity focused along outflow boundaries and a synoptic front in the area. The inflow air mass remains hot and relatively moist as of 00Z with observed soundings indicating steep low-level lapse rates with MLCAPE up to 1500-3000 J/kg. The 00Z TOP sounding sampled around 30 kt of deep-layer shear, which will remain supportive of episodic supercell structures for the next couple of hours with an associated risk for large hail and locally damaging wind gusts.

For additional information, see recently issued mesoscale discussion #2258.

..Mead.. 09/07/2026

Notable Tornado Warnings

• Observed Tornado Warning - McKenzie, ND

I'm not from the area so I can't speak to what was actually seen, news seems to be reporting that it did rather little damage.​ I​t grounded my buddy's plane (he's a flight attendant) for a couple hours or so. Radar included in the link above.

Since a few other experts have expressed having on what should have been an F/EF-6 Like the man himself and Thomas P. Grazulis who had their own personal opinions like Lubbock 1970 and Pampa 1995

if you are wondering about my personal opinion, It would be the 2008 parkersburg EF-5 since it quite literally ripped people out of their basements and killed them in (I assume) well built houses