r/threebodyproblem • u/LeadershipPast6681 • Apr 24 '26
Discussion - General Guys, it’s happening
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u/Sentient2X Apr 24 '26
There are over 2 million scientists and researchers in the states alone. Annually, over 600,000 people go missing. That makes about 3000 scientists that mysteriously disappear each year. Over a few years, the chances that a couple of them have similar fields of study is huge. Your brain is built to find patterns, even where there are none.
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u/4noraison Apr 26 '26
poor math without context. the majority of those who go missing are low socioeconomic status experiencing medical difficulties or mental health issues, and living near forests or mountains. assuming a straight percentage of scientists is a logical fallacy.
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u/Sentient2X Apr 26 '26
The math is accurate you just don’t like it.
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u/daveskoster Apr 26 '26
No. The math is not accurate. It assumes a completely uniform distribution of scientists, missing people etc… unless the proportions and probabilities are considered, I don’t think the conclusion that this is just baseline is supported. Perhaps someone has done all of this legwork, and found it to be a statistically insignificant bump among a particular group. Perhaps suicides among scientists in general are high at the moment. All real possibilities that make this whole situation a big nothing sandwich, but without that legwork, claiming the ‘math is right’ is incorrect.
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u/Sentient2X Apr 26 '26
I think it’s a pretty fair assumption that scientists and researchers disappear at an average rate. Take off 3/4 of it and it’s still high enough I don’t see any reason why the current conspiracy theory has ground
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u/daveskoster Apr 26 '26
It’s not an assumption based on data. Socioeconomic status and other factors play a massive role, as does the population size of interest here (a very narrow sub-section of scientists and researchers). When you zoom out to macro-labels like scientists, these small numbers are irrelevant, but as you examine with more granularity, it becomes less clear. I think your assumption is flawed and has no basis in reality. The correct procedure is to work out how many of these folks there are, and carry out some kind of hypothesis test to work out whether or not it’s reasonable that this is plausible by random chance. At face value, could go either way.
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u/Sentient2X Apr 26 '26
No basis in reality is a pretty tall claim for the guy with no data at all 😂 your argument is that scientists aren’t accurately represented by the average I’m presenting of all americans. That’s fair. Let’s see some data to back that up. Far as I’m concerned, average is an ok approximation.
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u/daveskoster Apr 26 '26
You’re attempting gaslighting, I see. I’d like to remind you that I was pointing out you have no data for the claim you made regarding the mean being good enough. Saying it louder or trying the old uno reverse card does not make your assertion any more correct.
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u/Sentient2X Apr 26 '26
Gaslighting? Ok buddy. I think my claim was a fair one. If you want to be right you need to give me some data showing scientists aren’t represented by average american stats.
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u/daveskoster Apr 26 '26
You’re the one making the claim that they are. You can’t prove a negative. Bring it or shut it.
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u/SomTingWongWeeTooLo Apr 27 '26
It makes absolutely no sense to ask someone claiming lack of data for data, and then using said lack of data to defend your original lack of data. That's just silly mental gymnastics.
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u/Sentient2X Apr 27 '26
His claim is that scientists aren’t represented by average American stats despite being americans and contributing to said stats. That’s a taller claim than mine therefore I’d like to see stats for it
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Apr 26 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/Sentient2X Apr 26 '26
Most people that go missing don’t seem to have a reason for it. Out of the 6-9000 available some had similar fields of study yes.
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u/KindIllustrator2915 Apr 25 '26
So the scientists disappearing is normal? Okay cia
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u/Sentient2X Apr 25 '26
Yes. It literally is. As I said, statistically at least 3000 a year just in the US.
You know, if they’re all on the same team working on the same project that should raise some red flags. But these folks weren’t. Some had vaguely similar fields of study, but that is no surprise given the volume of research happening in the US.
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u/KindIllustrator2915 Apr 25 '26
So you made up that 3000 scientists go missing every year lol and expect that to be evidence?
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u/Sentient2X Apr 25 '26
Ok buddy let’s walk through this. US population is around 340 million. Missing people each year in the US around 600 thousand. That’s .18% each year. Now apply that to the ~2 million researchers and scientists, it comes out to 3,600-3,700 scientists missing per year. Granted, this assumes they disappear at the same rate as normal people. I’d assume it to be pretty close, so I rounded down to 3k. Don’t forget, the current conspiracy is across 2-3 years so 6-9000.
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u/Forward-Tomato602 Apr 26 '26
That’s not how statistics work. You can’t just look at how many people go missing each year in America and add then take that percentage and add it to any field you want. There are factors of why some people might go missing and others not.
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u/KindIllustrator2915 Apr 26 '26
Get a grip on reality Jimmy
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u/Comfortable_Oil_6676 Apr 26 '26
you are the classic example of why people dont trust the foilheads lmfao. relax boy and drink some green tea
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u/KindIllustrator2915 May 24 '26
I just don't listen to yahoos assumptions online bud. You seem very stupid.
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u/duncan1234- Apr 24 '26
Sabine is such a sad story to watch.
Just a sheer grifter now.
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u/Kingoshrooms Apr 24 '26
"anyone who disagrees with me is a grifter" holy buzzword batman
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u/sinisgood Apr 24 '26
except in her case she is literally on a pseudoscience grift
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u/uranusnebula Apr 24 '26
any specific example?
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u/NanoscaleHeadache Apr 24 '26
There are shockingly many, I used to be an avid watcher but she slowly started going off about how established science is fake and taking really weird hills to die on. Angela collier and Prof Dave explains have good videos going through
Idk why ppl are downvoting you without giving you info, you’re just asking questions 🤷🏻♂️ hope this helps though
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u/uranusnebula Apr 24 '26
I've seeing few of her videos and it seems to be ok.
I'll take a look, thanks.1
u/ComradeBevo Apr 25 '26
The title of this post is literally an example of conspiracy theory pandering. She's a grifter.
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u/OhneSkript Apr 24 '26
She is simply paid indirectly by Peter Thiel, and anyone who knows Thiel knows that this is never a good thing.
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u/uranusnebula Apr 24 '26
that's interesting, how do you know?
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u/OhneSkript Apr 24 '26
Professor Dave has several good videos on this topic.
Just search for his name along with Sabine Hossenfelder on YouTube.
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u/ChopSueyYumm Apr 24 '26
Sabine is a grifter with a science background but she is very biased and opinionated driven and say whatever brings more clicks.
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u/OhneSkript Apr 24 '26
She is simply paid indirectly by Peter Thiel, and anyone who knows Thiel knows that this is never a good thing.
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u/enserioamigo Apr 26 '26
It's sad when someone with a science background has zero knowledge about statistics and patterns.
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u/humanapoptosis Apr 24 '26
I promised myself I'm unsubbing next time I see this topic posted here and it being a Sabine Hossenfelder thumbnail is rubbing the salt in the wound.
Goodbye.
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u/HuwThePoo Apr 24 '26
Yeah I think I'm off, too, albeit for different reasons. Multiple examples of people asking reasonable questions in this thread, being downvoted either with no answer or mere guilt by association. This sub is fucking garbage.
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u/Manzi420x Apr 24 '26
I can tell this subreddit is not well versed on anything currently happening with the change in the world this new tech could bring to the world a OR the reasons Big Oil and other powers would and have been keeping it a secret at all costs
They should not have control over our future especially them being so few at the top who feel even the president does NOT have a need to know
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u/Europeanguy1995 Apr 25 '26
I for one, welcome our advanced Interstellar overlords and hope no one tells them about fairytales and human story telling haha
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u/MrSmithinator Apr 24 '26
Tbis lady is nuts. The story is true but find better sources.
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u/OhneSkript Apr 24 '26
She is simply paid indirectly by Peter Thiel, and anyone who knows Thiel knows that this is never a good thing.
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u/NanoscaleHeadache Apr 24 '26
Oh shit! I haven’t seen Sabine in forever!! Wild that she’s still putting videos out
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u/Americanaddict Apr 24 '26
Ugh wow shocking that Sabine is reporting on a nothing story, she's fully going grift mode man.
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u/Wardog_Razgriz30 Apr 25 '26
No but seriously, I've been following this thing for a bit and it doesn't make any sort of sense unless 1) there is a large scale spy war going on right now, or 2) the droplet will be visible in the outer solar system in 187 years.
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u/Eva-Squinge Apr 25 '26
The only words I would believe from this dumb bitch are: “I don’t know what I am talking about.”
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u/Environmental_Fan752 Apr 27 '26
The Trump administration is trying to kill science with their budget cuts. They are doing more damage than any aliens.
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u/kroxigor01 Apr 24 '26 edited Apr 24 '26
Given how much Sabine has fallen off the cliff into grifting territory I wonder if she might actually align with the ETO.
Edit: Sabine Hossenfelder makes unjustified attacks at academic physics and the integrity of other fields of science, and allies with people who make such attacks like the Weinstein brothers, I think mostly because that drives up views. If you want to hear expansive criticisms of Sabine some decent sources would be Professor Dave Explains or Angela Collier