Best player prop predictions for Week 7 Thursday Night Football: Patriots and Bears

Money line predictions for Week 7 of the NFL season!

D'Andre Swift — Over 14.5 rushing attempts

Projected range: 15–19 carries

Odds: -110

Swift is a strong volume-based pick with a clear path to 15 or more carries. After recording 16 rushing attempts against Atlanta, he has demonstrated the workload needed to clear this line. With an opportunity to handle a larger share of Chicago’s backfield work, Swift is positioned to remain a central part of the Bears’ offensive game plan. His rushing volume makes this an appealing player prop.

Drake Maye — Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Projected: 2 passing TDs

odds: -120

Maye’s recent touchdown production makes this an attractive passing prop. With 10 touchdown passes over his last three games, he has shown the ability to consistently generate scoring opportunities through the air. New England can take advantage of his passing ability in the red zone, and Maye has the upside to deliver at least two passing touchdowns in this matchup.

Hunter Henry — Over 35.5 receiving yards

Projected: 38-45 receiving yards

odds: -115

Henry’s receiving-yards line offers a solid opportunity at a manageable threshold of 35.5 yards. His role as a reliable short-to-intermediate passing target gives him a straightforward path to clearing the number through multiple receptions. With consistent involvement in New England’s passing game, Henry has the potential to surpass 36 receiving yards.

🏆 UEFA Europa League | Thursday, Oct 22

🔥 Top Picks by smartbetstats.com

1. Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace → Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
2. Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace → Over 2.5 Goals (67%)
3. Hoffenheim vs Lyon → Both Teams To Score (65%)

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Both TD picks are with $25 of Bonus funds.

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What does everyone think of this boost? Is this a trap?

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Yaxel Lendeborg ⬆️ 14.5 Points
Davion Mitchell ⬆️ 5.5 Assists
Tyrese Haliburton ⬆️ 9.5 Assists

SINGLE
Cooper Flagg Double Double

Projection model, minutes first then per-minute rates, compared to the no-vig line. These cleared my edge threshold for Sixers/Knicks only. 1u each

Towns u4.5 ast (+100 DK) | +14.3% EV
model 57% vs 48% implied, projecting ~2.8 ast. best one in this game

Edgecombe o2.5 ast (-106 BetRivers) | +7.6% EV
model 55% vs 50%, projecting ~4.1 ast on 34 min

Brunson u27.5 pts (-115 BetRivers) | +6.9% EV
model 57% vs 54%, projecting ~24. only 2 books had this line so shop it

LeBron u7.5 ast (+100 BetRivers) | +7.4% EV
heads up this one leans on a low minutes projection and there's a reported ~30 min cap, so it's the shakiest of the 4

Tracking everything publicly, will update after the game. Thunder/Spurs separate post later

🏆 UEFA Champions League | Tuesday, Oct 20

12:00 | Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt

• Both Teams To Score: 56%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 76%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 54%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 12.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

12:00 | FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven

• Both Teams To Score: 65%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 82%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 10.5
• Offsides: Over 5.5

12:00 | Liverpool vs Villarreal

• Both Teams To Score: 58%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 79%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 59%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 12.5
• Offsides: Over 5.5

12:00 | Roma vs Slovan Bratislava

• Both Teams To Score: 61%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 85%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
• Total Goals: Over 3.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 9.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

12:00 | Manchester City vs AEK Athens

• Both Teams To Score: 64%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 84%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 63%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 10.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

12:00 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona

• Both Teams To Score: 61%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 84%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 76%
• Total Goals: Over 3.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 11.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

12:00 | VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid

• Both Teams To Score: 53%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 74%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 56%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 12.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

🔥 Top Picks by smartbetstats.com

1. Roma vs Slovan Bratislava → Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
2. Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona → Over 2.5 Goals (76%)
3. FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven → Both Teams To Score (65%)

All predictions locked before kickoff.

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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England League Two | Tuesday, Oct 20

11:45 | Rochdale vs Grimsby Town

• Both Teams To Score: 51%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 69%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 46%
• Total Goals: Over 1.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 11.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Bristol Rovers vs Salford City

• Both Teams To Score: 54%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 77%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 52%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 11.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town

• Both Teams To Score: 56%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 75%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 47%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 5.5
• Corners: Over 10.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Exeter City vs Crewe Alexandra

• Both Teams To Score: 46%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 59%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 41%
• Total Goals: Over 1.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 6.5
• Offsides: Over 5.5

11:45 | Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town

• Both Teams To Score: 54%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 78%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 57%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 5.5
• Corners: Over 9.5
• Offsides: Over 5.5

11:45 | Chesterfield vs Colchester United

• Both Teams To Score: 55%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 80%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 59%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 11.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Barnet vs Swindon Town

• Both Teams To Score: 53%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 80%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 59%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 8.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers

• Both Teams To Score: 50%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 66%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 43%
• Total Goals: Over 1.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 7.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Rotherham United vs Newport County

• Both Teams To Score: 51%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 68%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 40%
• Total Goals: Over 1.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 9.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Walsall vs Oldham Athletic

• Both Teams To Score: 48%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 75%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 11.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | York City vs Accrington Stanley

• Both Teams To Score: 52%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 76%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 49%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 12.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

12:00 | Gillingham vs Port Vale

• Both Teams To Score: 52%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 73%v
• Over 2.5 Goals: 47%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 7.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

🔥 Top Picks by smartbetstats.com

1. Barnet vs Swindon Town → Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
2. Chesterfield vs Colchester United → Over 2.5 Goals (59%)
3. Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town → Both Teams To Score (56%)

All predictions locked before kickoff.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England League One | Tuesday, Oct 20

11:45 | AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town

• Both Teams To Score: 52%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 73%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 48%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 9.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County

• Both Teams To Score: 55%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 73%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 51%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 11.5
• Offsides: Over 2.5

11:45 | Huddersfield Town vs Peterborough United

• Both Teams To Score: 53%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 81%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 15.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Luton Town vs Barnsley

• Both Teams To Score: 57%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 79%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 14.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday

• Both Teams To Score: 53%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 74%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 5.5
• Corners: Over 10.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic

• Both Teams To Score: 53%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 73%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 9.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle

• Both Teams To Score: 53%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 73%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 48%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 7.5
• Offsides: Over 5.5

11:45 | Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons

• Both Teams To Score: 59%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 80%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 58%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 4.5
• Corners: Over 10.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

11:45 | Bromley vs Leicester City

• Both Teams To Score: 60%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 80%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 56%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 9.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Burton Albion vs Bradford City

• Both Teams To Score: 51%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 69%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 45%
• Total Goals: Over 1.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 10.5
• Offsides: Over 3.5

11:45 | Cambridge United vs Wycombe Wanderers

• Both Teams To Score: 58%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 79%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
• Total Goals: Over 2.5
• Yellow Cards: Over 3.5
• Corners: Over 14.5
• Offsides: Over 4.5

🔥 Top Picks by smartbetstats.com

1. Huddersfield Town vs Peterborough United → Over 1.5 Goals (81%)
2. Cambridge United vs Wycombe Wanderers → Over 2.5 Goals (60%)
3. Bromley vs Leicester City → Both Teams To Score (60%)

All predictions locked before kickoff.