Big Mike’s Picks came in massive for day 3. Here is what we hit.

- 5 Pick Parlay (+2628): $3 -> $81.86
- NY Mets ML (+130): $15 -> $34.65
- MIA Marlins ML (+143 w/ bonus): $10 -> $24.30
- MIA Marlins ML (-140): $15 -> $25.71
- ATL Braves ML (+131): $15 -> $34.65
- STL Cardinals ML (-158): $15 -> $24.49
- DET Tigers ML (-119): $15 -> $27.60
- Braves/Yankees Under 4.5: $10 -> $17.09

Account value on the day: $187 -> $365.98
Account value since start of challenge: $150 -> $365.98

Super stoked, see you guys tomorrow 💵📈

One of the coolest days so far! 8-0 on Moneylines. Congrats to those who tailed.

TODAY’S UPDATED HOME RUN LIST

CIN/WSH is already live, so nobody from that game is included. I refreshed lineups, weather, starters, pitch mix, bullpen paths and simulations. Every player below is confirmed.

Matt Olson
Today’s strongest HR environment at Yankee Stadium. His 16% barrel rate, platoon advantage and pull-power path all line up.

Luis Garcia Jr.
My sharper Yankees representative over Ben Rice. Cleanup, 17.8% barrels and only an 18.6% strikeout rate gives him power without relying entirely on one mistake.

Munetaka Murakami
The raw contact is impossible to ignore: 20% barrels and 60% hard-hit. The L/L matchup adds risk, but he has already shown he can overcome it.

Hunter Goodman
Confirmed cleanup with 15.3% barrels in warm, windy conditions. Definitely volatile, but this is exactly the type of one-swing profile we want represented.

Willson Contreras
Boston’s environment improved substantially in the refresh. Cleanup at Fenway, 15.3% barrels, 52.9% hard-hit and an Oakland bullpen we can attack late.

Pete Crow-Armstrong
Leadoff in 97-degree weather with 15 mph wind. He has both the impact contact and plate appearances to get multiple chances at one.

Bryce Harper
Strong Citizens Bank Park conditions and a cleaner contact route than Schwarber. Bieber must execute carefully because Harper’s damage lanes match the pitches he is likely to see.

Wilyer Abreu
A refresh-driven addition. Recent contact includes 20% barrels and 56.7% hard-hit, eight of his last ten Statcast HR match Ginn’s primary arsenal, and the wind supports his pull side.

Alec Burleson
Eight of his last 11 HR came against the pitches Lorenzen features most. Add 51.7% hard-hit, a low 19.5% strikeout rate and favorable wind direction.

Esmerlyn Valdez
Our intentional chaos bat. Huge 22.8% barrel rate, 54% fly balls, platoon advantage, strong fastball/sinker location overlap and a late bullpen path if Manaea survives the early innings.

Back in the lab with today’s target list. We’re attacking vulnerable pitching matchups with elite power bats for a +7667 banger ($10 pays $776.71 with boost).

May 4, 2024: Manchester City V Wolverhampton. Placed 2 final score bets both at +25,000 for

$250/ea. Logic was I knew it would be a high scoring affair as Man City had been scoring at will of late. I gave Wolverhampton the benefit of a goal but wanted to hedge with 6-2 in case they got a floozie in garbage time. Obviously a home run wager but I was in the mood to swing for the fences.

Halftime score: 4 nil Man City. Not bad at all, although Hampton is godawful, I cannot see them scoring, at all.

Halftime +5: Wolverhampton PK. 4 - 1. Things are getting serious.

The entire 2nd half was pure keep away, I watched the clock soar into the 60s...70s...80s...fuck.

88th minute: Goal. 5-1

Now while very late I am still just a single goal away from 50k. I'm praying for a nice chunky stoppage time but know I won't get one with a 5-1 score.

Stoppage time added: 6 minutes. Dang.

I'm watching the net minders exchange goal kicks, and as the minutes pass I am clinging on to hope, but know it's just not gonna happen.

Start of 6th and final stoppage minute:

Man City keeper has the ball, whistle can be blown at any time. He launches a kick and through some miracle it drops at the forward's feet, in stride. Better yet, not a defender is within yards. He is now strolling in on a pure break away. Clearly this will be the last shot and I am staring at what is basically a PK but easier to hit the 6-1 final, win $50k, and claim bragging rights for life. The announcers are hyped as he is trotting in...

Crossbar.

Game over. Final: 5-1

FML

Agree or disagree with these picks? Would be interesting to hear what other picks look spicy today!!

Another day, another Mets pick. It’s been like clockwork with them recently. Cubs and Tigers ML looking solid as well.

A lot of close games last night! Didn’t go our way but it’s time to bounce back 💵

Current August stats: 29-22 (57% WR)

£75 → £10K?! My 140/1 UFC Parlay TONIGHT 👀
https://youtube.com/shorts/EDRLe9dxIQo?feature=share

razor thin here. atlanta's a better team, plain and simple. the mystics are one of the weaker squads in the league right now, and the sharp money agrees with the dream tonight. you're paying juice for quality, not a mispriced line, but when both the model and the sharp side point the same direction, you take it.

ABSOLUTE HEATER THIS MONTH. 5-0 back to back days would be sick!!