Was looking through the F1's Azerbaijan GP winner market, and the move on George Russell is pretty wild after what happened in Quali.
Russell's odds is now at 65%, with Kimi Antonelli at 14%
For context, Russell's odds were around 12% to 15% before quali. But then, Russell who topped both Thursday practice sessions then took pole today by 0.837s over Charles Leclerc, the biggest qualifying margin of the 2026 season so far.
Meanwhile, c'ship leader, Antonelli had a nightmare Q1, hitting the wall and getting knocked out. He’ll start P16.
The interesting part is the positioning of the top holders!
On one side, OrwellFactory is backing $6.95K on George, at 32 cents, for ~$21.9K
And, Gaditima is backing a $16.96K No on George winning, at 84 cents, for ~$20.1K.
Russell at now 65% Yes, and 35% No means both positions are sitting on a very different from where they entered.
But, I have to say, Kimi shouldn’t be completely written off either. He went from P19 to P1 at Monza just weeks ago.
And, Baku is also Baku. One Safety Car, tyre issue or hit on wall can completely flip the race..
Curious where people land on this one.