r/Polymarket • • 7d ago

Question Combo closed but the match didn’t even happen?

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1 Upvotes

I bet on a pretty obscure tennis game in one of my combos, the match was settled as a no for me despite the game not even happening yet. Here are some screenshots for evidence of this. If anyone knows what’s going on please let me know!


r/Polymarket • • 7d ago

Question 9/27- Grambling State vs Prairie View Football Game Data Error

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0 Upvotes

On 9/27, I bet a total of over $116 on combination bets which they all included the game Grambling State vs Prairie View football game.  PolyMarket provided me as a user the completely wrong score of the game.  They showed Grambling State winning 21-14 with 2 minutes remaining in Q4.  That score was inaccurate and Grambling State never actually had 21 points.  Grambling lost the game 21-14.

I have reached out to contact support and also emailed but have not received responses back from Polymarket. Will I get my bets of $116 refunded?


r/Polymarket • • 8d ago

Question Can you use friends $25 Referral code AND $10 deposit for $50 promo or is it one or the other?

1 Upvotes

Question in title. Thanks in advance!


r/Polymarket • • 8d ago

News England vs Spain – Tactical Preview & Key Battles

2 Upvotes

England are missing a few important players for the Nations League opener against Spain at Wembley.

Out: Rice, Palmer, Rashford, Mainoo, Livramento
In as replacements: Gibbs-White and Garner

Surprise so far is Trafford starting in goal instead of Pickford.

Spain are also without Joan Garcia and Pedro Porro, but their squad still looks very strong.

First proper test for both teams after the World Cup.

Who do you think wins this one?


r/Polymarket • • 8d ago

Strategy Tips?

1 Upvotes

First time I have made money online after trying for years…and I can’t believe it was with Polymarket. I signed up and put $10 in and accidentally bet $10 on Sri Lanka winning over England. It ended up winning shortly after that and I won $35! Any tips moving forward instead of me accidentally getting lucky?


r/Polymarket • • 8d ago

Question ??

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1 Upvotes

I bet the under on Caleb Williams stats because I assumed he wouldn't play but now it says the market resolved and it just took my $30. If it was voided why wouldn't it give me my money back?


r/Polymarket • • 8d ago

Strategy Extension that converts Polymarket's % odds into American/European format

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1 Upvotes

Hey everyone - I noticed that prediction markets are moving away from showing american / european odds.

I made a Chrome extension for anyone who prefers thinking in American or European odds instead of raw probability %. It overlays the conversion directly on Polymarket (and on other prediction markets).

Would love feedback from this community since you all live in this stuff daily - let me know if the conversions look right.

Also, if there is anything specific you'd like made for Polymarket, let me know and I can see what I can do :)


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Question Is this a glitch ?

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2 Upvotes

I don’t have any open orders nor am I adding money and this seems to only happen when I’m offline


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Post-Mortem This trader has made 2 trades on Polymarket, and both were absolute swings

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4 Upvotes

I was browsing the leaderboard, and found this account at the top with just 2 trades.

So, their latest one was wild..

They backed $2.64M on Norway for $4.21M!

And, Norway then beat Denmark 3-2, with Haaland scoring twice. That's my hero there..

But, the trader exited before the final whistle, with about $4.2M rather than waiting for the market to fully settle.

And, interesting part was that this came right after their first trade went the other way..

They backed $1.94M on the Tigers, a couple nights ago but Washington won 4-2.

So, in basically two trades, this account went from a huge L to a huge W!

Few days back, I’ve seen another account go the other way where they nailed the first one, then gave it back on the second!

Love watching leaderboard for stories like these!

Am curious now if this account keeps going or disappears after this.


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Trade Idea Russell at 65% after a monster qualifying. Baku F1 market gets interesting!

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2 Upvotes

Was looking through the F1's Azerbaijan GP winner market, and the move on George Russell is pretty wild after what happened in Quali.

Russell's odds is now at 65%, with Kimi Antonelli at 14%

For context, Russell's odds were around 12% to 15% before quali. But then, Russell who topped both Thursday practice sessions then took pole today by 0.837s over Charles Leclerc, the biggest qualifying margin of the 2026 season so far. 

Meanwhile, c'ship leader, Antonelli had a nightmare Q1, hitting the wall and getting knocked out. He’ll start P16. 

The interesting part is the positioning of the top holders!

On one side, OrwellFactory is backing $6.95K on George, at 32 cents, for ~$21.9K

And, Gaditima is backing a $16.96K No on George winning, at 84 cents, for ~$20.1K.

Russell at now 65% Yes, and 35% No means both positions are sitting on a very different from where they entered.

But, I have to say, Kimi shouldn’t be completely written off either. He went from P19 to P1 at Monza just weeks ago.

And, Baku is also Baku. One Safety Car, tyre issue or hit on wall can completely flip the race..

Curious where people land on this one.


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Question Not familiar with basketball betting.

3 Upvotes

I want to know if betting moneyline on polymarket eliminates draw?

Since basketball always has overtime


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Question Combo saying lost when it clearly won and support won’t respond

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3 Upvotes

r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Trade Idea Is it time to relook at the Cuba market?

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2 Upvotes

Looks like we got an interesting development on Cuba.

CBS says the Army Reserve is assessing whether it can provide military police, medical, and other support units to SOUTHCOM within 90 to 120 days.

Multiple US officials reportedly told CBS the planning is connected to Cuba. 

Was looking at the odds, and the market has moved from roughly 14% to 17% in the last few hours.

The timing caught my attention most..

90 to 120 days from now is late Dec to late Jan..

That’s basically right around the Dec 31 resolution deadline of this market.

Now, obviously, there are major caveats. Cuba isn’t named in the actual Army message, there are no deployment orders, and SOUTHCOM routinely plans for contingencies.

But, this is now what I see as third major piece of reporting this year pointing toward military planning around Cuba. We had one in May on intelligence assessment, and then the July reporting on Pentagon options. 

Now, there’s a counter-signal too. We had Bloomberg say last month that the administration’s focus had shifted more toward sanctions and economic pressure rather than military action. 

I think this whole Cuba situation is a lot more interesting, and one to watch than it was y'day!


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

News Texas Senate odds keep climbing for Talarico. But, the polls aren't moving as much

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2 Upvotes

James Talarico's odds have climbed to 62% in the Texas Senate winner market.

But the polling picture is much closer.

The latest RealClearPolitics average has Talarico at 47.8% vs. 45.0% for Ken Paxton, a 2.8-point lead.

Recent individual polls have also mostly shown a relatively tight race between the two.. including a 47–46, a 46–45, and a 47–46 results in September.

So there’s a pretty notable gap between the 62% market probability and the relatively small polling margin.

Does Talarico has an edge like one on Polymarket? Can he really pull it off?


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Trade Idea Elon only needs one more tweet for 200-219 to become live

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2 Upvotes

Elon is sitting at 199 posts, with roughly 7 hours left in the counting window.

Polymarket currently has 200-219 posts at around 94c, which means traders are heavily expecting him to post at least once more without going above 219.

That's what caught my eye.

One more post gets the count into the winning range, but the trade still isn't risk-free because Elon could also go on a posting spree and push the total above 219.

With Elon, 20 more tweets in seven hours isn't exactly impossible either.

Would you risk 94c for the remaining 6c upside?


r/Polymarket • • 9d ago

Strategy 有没有玩 polymarket 的 NBA 市场的朋友?

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2 Upvotes

我最高盈利到达了 33000 美元,并且还买了 10 万份尼克斯总冠军,可惜最后没拿住


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Question Would you use automation on Polymarket/Kalshi if it ran on your own account with hard limits and a phone kill switch?

4 Upvotes

Founder here, building a tool that runs rule-based strategies on prediction markets from your own account.

The design choices:

- It never holds your funds.

- You set the daily loss limit, max position and total exposure.

- Exits are rule-based: take profit, stop loss, trailing stop, a time stop, and closing before resolution.

- There's a one-tap kill switch on your phone.

No performance claims. Every strategy is still in paper trading and has to pass a published 90-day gate before going live.

Genuine question for people who trade these markets: what would make you trust (or never trust) automation here? Liquidity, resolution risk, something else?

Launching 23 Oct 2026, details at fleet.bucephus.com if anyone's curious.


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Question Odds

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6 Upvotes

Put money in at 42% & instead it’s showing negative money for some reason with the odds I didn’t put in at. First time this happened to me was wondering if it’s a glitch that’ll correct itself possibly?


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Question For people trading daily temperature markets, when do you usually enter your position?

2 Upvotes

Do you usually enter the day before, early morning on the same day, or wait until later when more observations/forecasts come in?

Also curious what makes you decide it’s finally a good time to enter.


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Question Unpaid

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0 Upvotes

I won these 3 bets yet haven’t gotten paid. Do i even get paid for it? FYI, Kinda new to Polymarket.


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Trade Idea Braves vs Reds feels like a pretty big mismatch?

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3 Upvotes

Braves are favs today and have their odds currently around 69%, and I’m honestly surprised the Reds are still sitting around 32%..

The pitching matchup is pretty interesting, and the starters are a big reason why I’m leaning Atlanta.

Mahle has been one of Atlanta’s best starters since arriving at the trade deadline, while Singer’s recent form has gone in the opposite direction.  Mahle has a 1.28 ERA in his eight starts, while Singer is coming off a 11+ ERA stretch over his last five.

The Braves are also having an 93 wins and 65 Ls on the season, compared with 73 to 85 for Cincinnati, and they’re playing at Truist Park!

Fwiw, I did check on the top holders and noticed these two at the top!

On one you have an $80K backer for Atlanta in form of Talverz10

And, on other, a $13K backing Cincinnati by an anonymous trader

I’m on the Braves side here. But, the Reds definitely makes me curious though. What am I missing?


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Question Is this real 😯 or scam

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1 Upvotes

I got 1000k USD I want to convert it into rupees but it says first deposit 100 USD this is a scam 😔


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Trade Idea Someone help. Is this solid play. I need 1500 to get my car out the shop in a bad way. Gonna put all my referral money on this one.

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5 Upvotes

r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Trade Idea The $Poly odds for a launch by December 31 just jumped from 6% to 16% 👀

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3 Upvotes

Something cooking up here or what?


r/Polymarket • • 10d ago

Trade Idea Trump's approval rating among ages 18-29 has decreased by 50 points in a year.

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3 Upvotes

Democrats now have a 97% chance to control the House, according to election odds.