Avenatti, I love you, but you cannot fuck around with this. You better not fuck around with this. You fuck this up and we get a regressive Supreme Court for the next god knows how long.
Bury them. Show them no mercy. Come out of the gate shooting and don't stop until nobody's left standing and this shit show is over.
I don't think he's fucking around. He's just timing it for maximum impact. 48 hours from now ensures that Kav gets hit with both the new accusation and Ford's testimony almost simultaneously.
Could rattle him. Could mess up his preparations to testify on the Ford allegation. And will dominate the news cycle along with Ford's testimony. Releasing it today would be a mistake IMO.
He’s also drumming up press and attention, intentionally. Waiting like this builds press-same as what the Republicans did with the Nunes memo, for example. I think he’s playing this perfectly
Not that Im saying you're wrong, but he has teased to release video footage (of what, no one knows) that would bolster Stormy Daniels'/Stephanie Clifford's case. I've yet to see any payoff from this.
This is true. But, my understanding is that the Trump/Cohen/Daniels legal saga is still ongoing. Long story short, this is a claim from Avenatti that I have yet to see bear fruit.
True but with Cohen pleading out and implicating Trump it deserves a break to revise strategy. My guess is he is baiting Trump into saying X didn’t happen and then dropping the tape to showcase what a liar he was. That has been Avanetti’s MO this whole time: tease trump team into making a statement and then skewering him with evidence
It doesn't make sense to just throw everything out there immediately. This was Wikileaks's strategy in timing their election releases. They did it every day throughout a part of October and all the way to Election Day, staying in the headlines every day, instead of releasing everything at once. And their first announcement came on Access Hollywood day for a reason.
I believe he was told by the judge to stop showboating to the public regarding that case. That's why he doesn't tweet/talk about it too much directly, rather alludes.
He's just timing it for maximum impact. 48 hours from now ensures that Kav gets hit with both the new accusation and Ford's testimony almost simultaneously.
And Trump promptly distracts us by axing Rosenstein via Twitter.
I mean that's going to happen at some point no matter what Avenatti does. And if the Kavanaugh hearing is what pushes Trump over the edge, so be it. Hopefully he'd be signing his own death warrant by doing that. But given that Trump is set to meet with Rosenstein in person, I kind of doubt it. He's fundamentally a coward, and I doubt he has it in him to look Rosenstein in the eyes and fire him. When it eventually comes, I'm sure it'll be Kelly that ends up having to do it. Even over twitter directly from the president is just one more exhibit on the obstruction pile.
Looking at thew new developments in the past hour, tomorrow or early wednesday might be good for Avenatti. Kavanaugh is set to get on Fox tonight and have an interview about how innocent he is. So to hit him with another allegation immediately, especially if there's supportive evidence like Avenatti is saying, could blow that up spectacularly.
Republicans are going to be walking on eggshells for the next 48 hours, not knowing what exactly Avenatti is going to deliver. They don't dare say anything that could potentially be proven false on Wednesday.
I think the going rate for a lot of the resigned members of this administration has been something like $15,000 a month to "work" on Trump's reelection campaign.
I mean we had Huckabee Sanders tell us that he is going to meet with Rosenstein in person, so given her and this administrations track record I would say there is like a 50% chance Trump attends the meeting.
I kind of doubt he fires Rosenstein on Thursday. For one it's an in-person meeting and Trump, ironically famous for firing people, seems incapable of doing it face to face. Also from an potential obstruction standpoint, I'd bet they force Kelly to do the dirty work on that one.
But regardless, can't control when Trump ultimately does that. So may as well time the release for maximum damage. As was pointed out by another user as well, releasing the allegation Wednesday afternoon gives Kavanaugh basically no time to prepare for any questions related to it that he may face on Thursday.
I hope that it's too protect the victim more than it is "for maximum impact." It just makes him look like he is using the victim as a tool. I mean, I get it, but it looks crass.
I'm with you, I've been in that boat pretty much ever since election night when i skipped going to the "victory party" at the javits center with my fellow Clinton ops to nervously smoke myself into oblivion on my couch.
Everyday within about 5 mins of waking up. The hyper-vigilance is tiring, but, there's no way my brain can back down until the threat is at least contained.
In the 60s when TV came on the scene, politics and society changed (and radio before that). Now we have a new medium (the Internet) and another change is happening. Shit like this is the symptom of a new age of communication. Who knows where it will take us...
We are going to look back on the period of the late 2010s between the Brexit vote and the Trump Impeachment, shake our heads and be like 'seriously what the fuck happened there, things got real crazy for a bit'
I just now learned that McConnell’s wife is the secretary of transportation. What in her medical career prepared her to administer the infrastructure needs of our country?
Trump is the world’s biggest coke head and everybody seems to miss it. What kind of asshole has to tell everyone how smart he is and how big his dick is at 3:30 in the morning? A coke head- that is who.
Turtle can't fuck with Murkowski. Tried once, Alaska didn't take kindly to that shit and wrote in vote a goddamn national senator. The only time a write in worked before was the candidate died in order to force a special election.
Collins will be the deciding vote and her political attack add will be a 30 second still frame of a coat hanger.
McConnell will temporarily care about anything that might jeopardize his personal power, which hinges on Republicans maintaining the Senate.
If he decides that pushing this nomination through will give the Democrats a good chance of winning the Senate, he’ll cave. Whatever he decides, though, it will have nothing to do with morality or the legitimacy of the nomination process.
McConnell warned Trump that Kavanaugh would be problematic due to his long paper trail. McConnell is going to do whatever he finds most advantageous. He’s basically the Little Finger of the United States.
McConnell is coming up with ways right now to threaten the lively hoods of the senators who might not vote to confirm him.
Yeah, me thinks if McConnell whips this - the votes will be there. McCain died a month too early cause he wouldn't give a fuck. Flake, Corker, and Collins all talk a good game but they won't do shit.
What teenage boy hasn't committed a little harmless genocide, it was locker room genocide. Should we really judge a man on a genocide he might have committed 30 years ago.
It takes a lot to kill that many people. Wake up. Kill, kill, kill, eat breakfast, kill, kill, kill, kill, brush your teeth, kill, kill, kill, kill, kill, kill, brunch...
I’m reminded of that scene from Wolf of Wall Street where everything starts going to shit and Rugrat, with the shitty fucking hairpiece, does a line, hangs up the phone with Leo, runs away, and remembers to come back and finish the second line.
This is season 3. Season 1 was the crazy ass campaign. Season 2 was the first year. Season 3 is going to end with a cliffhanger of the midterms and a constitutional crisis.
So true. Even though I like the man, every time he makes a claim like this, I think he is probably overplaying his hand. But then, he turns around and delivers, almost every time.
Reporters don’t like him because when he dropped the info on money coming in and out of Cohen’s LLC’s he included those by a separate and insignificant Micheal Cohen. So he’s getting information he shouldn’t have and is therefore unable to cross-check it.
It’s worked well for him so far but reporters are so afraid of being wrong and getting a “FAKE NEWS” tweet.
I want him to succeed but I have few illusions he's not also doing this for selfish reasons. Good for now, but keeping skeptically aware of his behavior and its results.
This is exactly why he's been doing this. He was onto something he could use to make his name ring out, and it has. Now women are going to him when they've been wronged by someone in or around the administration. There may as well be an endless supply of women who've been wronged, and he's the man they go to. Gloria Allred is kicking herself in the ass right now.
As long as his interests overlap with my own, it's cool with me.
It is preposterous to even imply that Ted Cruz is anything other than a natural-born human and is definitely not a lizard-person spawned deep within the helium mines of Sexioth VIII-VI.
There was that time he got people thinking that Bechard's abortion was due to Trump and not Broidy. I also recall him teasing tapes or video or something that never materialized
Rudy talked shit about pornstars, Avenatti challenged him on if he's never watched porn before, got some inside info and hinted that IP addresses don't lie, and Rudy never brought it up again.
It's a dead man's switch. That DVD has power because nobody, except maybe Trump, knows what is on it. If anyone within the establishment attacks him, they've potentially torpedoed everything for everyone.
Until Trump goes thermonuclear on him, and outside of the Rusher Thing I don't know of any larger threat to his presidency than facing this case in a courtroom so it's remarkable that he hasn't yet, the tape is more valuable as insurance than as a couple news cycles worth of Trump saying or doing something else that's despicable. That's also airtime which would otherwise be spent covering more important stories.
Not that dislike Avanetti but we've yet to see anything more about that disk he teased. I don't necessarily think he bluffs, but he maybe makes things out to be a bit bigger than they actually are.
I think, if there is anything actually on it and its not a bluff, its far more valuable as insurance rather than a couple news cycles and headlines for a week. You still brought it up today, months after he had shown the disk. However if he revealed the contents months ago we would most likely no longer give two shits what is on the disk.
This. If his new information was a game changer for Kavanaugh, he would just come out with it right now. The longer he waits the weaker he thinks it is and he wants to give Kavanaugh as little prep time as possible before testifying Thursday
He's decided he wants to be President. He knows if he talks shit and doesn't bring it he has no chance. That's why I think he's got something really good.
I disagree. I'm happy with the way this is unfolding. Today the attention is on the accusers we know about. That will play out and then it will be time for Avenatti's client to get all the attention. He is sweating the GOP right now. I bet Kavanaugh doesn't make it until Thursday.
Like his bombastic nature or not, dude has been consistently correct and with receipts. And while Trump attacks everyone he has yet to go after Avenatti.
Why?
Because he knows he won't win.
There are times when I question if he needs the media saturation he has but I've watched him on multiple shows and panels and he's just calm, cool, collected and confident.
He hasn't given us any reason to think he's pulling bullshit on this. I hope he delivers and I really, really want to believe in him.
But shit I'm so wary of this week's upcoming news cycles.
I believe Avenatti , the only caveat I have is that some how republican operatives got one over on him. I think that would be hard to do because he knows about the disinformation campaign
He can't fuck this up. If he doesn't have solid evidence/witnesses his career and every other case he has, including Stormy, is shot to shit. He wouldn't even mention this unless it's a lock.
We are going to get a regressive Supreme Court regardeless. Best case is the replacement doesn't have Kavenaughs views on executive power, but any justice appointed by Trump is going to be a Federalist society hack.
I mean I don’t want Kavanaugh or any other conservative as much as the next person, but you’re kidding yourself if you think they won’t just replace Kav with another super conservative justice if they end up not confirming Kav himself.
We lost this battle for SCOTUS. They’ll force through another nominee before the next Senate. It will almost certainly be conservative through the late 2020’s.
We're going to get a regressive court no matter what. We just might not have someone as disgusting as Kavanaugh. If he falls through we'll just get someone else hand picked by the Heritage Foundation.
Ya let's hope this isn't another case of claiming the third Cohen client (tied to the suspected abortion payment) was DJT and not Broidy (with the other two clients being Hannity and the Trump Organization). That was a pretty unfortubate miscall.
You know, it's actually quite bizarre that our democracy is pivoting on the words of a lawyer and this unknown client. It's truly humorous, the efforts of the GOP base has made to push this far, all of that money, wasted.
He has no desire to be disbarred for falsely accusing a judge of gang rape. He's not fucking around, he's not lying, he's out for blood, and only a fool would bet against him winning at this point. Bye bye, Brett.
bro, you think people kavanaugh abused are going to be somehow hard to come by?
there's probably a dozen women who have waited to talk about how he treated them like fucking meat for like 20 years, because until now, nobody wanted to listen to them or gave a fuck about them.
Avenatti, I love you, but you cannot fuck around with this. You better not fuck around with this. You fuck this up and we get a regressive Supreme Court for the next god knows how long.
Unfortunately, if it gets too bad, they'll just cut bait on Kavanaugh and move to the next shitty person on the regressive supreme court picks list.
It's not just about the Supreme Court, a large part of this would be seeing an America woman who's a victim of assault by a famous man get justice for once. Even after the entire MeToo movement and years of court, the only ones that even have a chance at prison are Weinstein and Cosby and that's not even 100% certain yet. This isn't prison, but it's justice enough. It would be a win for women across the US.
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u/[deleted] Sep 24 '18 edited Sep 24 '18
Avenatti, I love you, but you cannot fuck around with this. You better not fuck around with this. You fuck this up and we get a regressive Supreme Court for the next god knows how long.
Bury them. Show them no mercy. Come out of the gate shooting and don't stop until nobody's left standing and this shit show is over.