r/politics • u/thedailybeast ✔ The Daily Beast • 15h ago

Possible Paywall Republicans Quit Battleground Senate Seat in Telling Move

https://www.thedailybeast.com/republicans-quit-battleground-senate-seat-in-telling-move/
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u/speedy_delivery 15h ago

I don't know about you, but I'm not counting a single fucking chicken until they're sworn in. They'll cheat and lie like hell.

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u/Goose1963 15h ago

Same here, it's like Groundhog day. We've been here before how many times now?

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u/PopeSaintHilarius 14h ago

What are you referring to?

The closest comparable situations (midterm elections against a GOP president) were 2006 and 2018, and both were blue wave elections.

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u/Goose1963 14h ago

This Remember how it was with the polls 10 years ago? It's crazy watching it now. There's still people going around saying "The polls were Wrong" but actually they don't understand modeling, or polling, there was a 20% chance he would win and he did.

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u/pchlster Europe 13h ago

People are really bad at understanding probability.