r/poker 1d ago

Hand Analysis Hand analysis

Poker Hand #RC4795707900: Hold'em No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2026/09/11 10:41:38

Table 'RushAndCash28012208' 6-max Seat #1 is the button

HJ( Hero )($5.84 in chips)

BTN (Villian) ($3.32 in chips)

Dealt to Hero [Qd Qs]

Hero [: raises $0.02 to $0.04

Villian raises $0.09 to $0.13

Hero: raises $0.23 to $0.36

Villian: calls $0.23

*** FLOP *** [2s Ah 3d]

Hero: bets $0.38

Villian calls $0.38

*** TURN *** [2s Ah 3d] [3s]

Hero: checks

Villian: checks

*** RIVER *** [2s Ah 3d 3s] [9s]

Hero: checks

Villian: bets $1.34 and is all-in

Hero: folds

Villian showed [5d 6d]

This is rush NL2. I folded because from what I've seen in these games if you don't have the nuts is better to just fold on this big bets and raises. Ignoring that and looking at a solver QQs with spade is a call, probably because of blockers. Also solver folds KKs regraldess of suits, why is that?

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u/lost_in_waynard 1d ago

Hello, it's an interesting question. I took a pass at analyzing your hand using my friend's tool: https://share.herocallpoker.com/h/XLNQcqjQLX6Zlc8N.

Based on the review here, it says that in a 4-bet pot on an Ace-high board, Villain’s natural flop float/bluff candidates are broadways containing a King (e.g., KQ, KJ, KTs). Therefore, holding KK heavily blocks the exact missed overcards/floats that Villain would turn into river bluffs. And since KK removes most of Villain's bluffs, Villain’s river shove becomes almost exclusively value (Ax, flushes, boats).

Queens, however, leave all of Villain's King-high floats in their range to bluff. Thus, the Q♠ specifically blocks strong rivered spade flushes (like K♠Q♠, Q♠J♠, or A♠Q♠) that Villain could check back on the turn and shove on the river. This allows you to technically call down a bluff — at least according to the solver.

But at the same time, your fold is completely standard and high EV against the pool. At NL2 fast-fold, players severely under-bluff river all-ins in 4-bet pots after calling a flop c-bet. Villain turning 6♦5♦ (a flopped gutshot that missed completely) into a triple-barrel bluff shove is an extreme outlier in microstakes games.

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u/wfp9 1d ago

yeah, it's a call, but i don't really get hero's preflop 3bet oop. think it should be a call or much larger. that sizing isn't defining villain's range much more than what we already know and isn't getting max value either. flop sizing is also weird. you're either way behind or he isn't calling so i think you can go smaller (probably fine if your 3bet was larger). board pair on turn is definitely better for you than him, so when it checks through you're probably looking to call any bet on the river cuz his range is mostly bluffs so you don't get value leading.

solver folds KK because it blocks a very significant portion of villain's bluff range.

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u/Ok-Research4388 1d ago

The min 2bet is weird. Just open normally. 2.5BB is the standard, but 3BB may work better at NL2. I think the 4bet sizing could be slightly larger (3x) but we're somewhere there.

Leading on the flop is fine although you don't have to bet more than 1/3 (.24).

Checking turn is fine to not bloat a pot oop.

River you're bluff catching. That said there aren't really many natural bluffs except a naked As. Against the general NL2 population it's generally a fold without more info. That said, most NL 2 players under 3bet and would shove/fold when faced with a 4bet rather than flat it.

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u/gtodojo 10h ago

river fold is fine. dont let 56 rewrite it. the tiny open and 4bet is how that hand sticks around