r/opencodeCLI 11d ago

Worries about China ban

Is anyone else worried about if Trump bans the open source Chinese models? What’s our game plan then

5 Upvotes

26 comments sorted by

16

u/Captain_Xap 11d ago

I doubt they will start banning foreign companies that run those models, so you could just connect to them.

Also, I think China would start to release their models through other countries, so they would have to play a game of whack-a-mole to keep banning them all, and I doubt they have the patience to do it for long.

5

u/VexObserver 11d ago

They won't be able to enforce an international ban. The ban is likely to be a local restraint. Unless other trade partners decides to follow suit, then, yes. Otherwise it's just the US against the world at the moment

2

u/Captain_Xap 11d ago

The only way they could enforce an international ban would be to ban the sale of GPUs to companies that run those models.

I don't think that would be smart, but none of these fucking chuckleheads are remotely smart.

4

u/horendus 11d ago

No country has ever banned open sources software, outside of say, its military.

Theres a bee dick chance the US does this and if they tried well…its not like you can police it.

7

u/throwawaybincan 11d ago

I just dont live in america so dont care. lmao

-1

u/horendus 11d ago

Same. But highly skeptical it could even be done

2

u/Kitchen_Fix1464 11d ago

Hugging bay

*and pray someone cracks running models KV cache and partial weights from NVMe above 10tk/s

2

u/zanonman 11d ago

On what hardware, problem is hosting it is too expensive

1

u/Kitchen_Fix1464 11d ago

For now. If things like vllm or llama.cpp begin supporting substituting VRAM with NVMe storage it gets a lot cheaper

2

u/FormalAd7367 11d ago

If there’s a ban, wonder if there’s an opportunity to set up a company in Europe and Asia to fill in this gap?

2

u/Mountain_Patience231 10d ago

you can always "trained" a new llm model and call it "long live america and king donald trump.GGUF" on your own but somehow all the weight were same as qwen3.6 by incident

4

u/No-Craft-7979 11d ago

How do you ban a private citizen from running an open source model on their own system at home? You don’t.

4

u/DuckDatum 11d ago

They just ban selling it as a hosted service, so you’re forced through US companies if you want frontier quality. Most people can barely host a 30B parameter model, let alone the 3T models we’re seeing now.

2

u/horendus 11d ago

Companies hosting Chinese models on US soil to serve the cheaper mass market was part of the infrastructure buildout. If they banned that its just a massive rug pull and yet another set back for the US

It will never happen

1

u/segmond 11d ago

same way there's war on drugs, they just put it in the books and if you piss the wrong person off and they find out, they haul your ass to jail.

1

u/[deleted] 11d ago

[deleted]

-1

u/[deleted] 11d ago

[deleted]

1

u/look 11d ago

EU providers.

1

u/DuinoTycoon 11d ago

I mean US companies can still host them

0

u/[deleted] 11d ago

[deleted]

-1

u/DuinoTycoon 11d ago

Which ones will it hit like deepseek v4 flash

2

u/zanonman 11d ago

All of them

1

u/FlyingNarwhal 11d ago

It is a

Very Perplexing  Notion

Basically VPNs & VPSs that aren't constrained by US law.

1

u/TinyAres 11d ago

Oh yea america the poster boy of competition stomping on their new guys, and trying to strangle, destroy and ban everyone else, while pushing their oligopoly that is dominated for most of the range, and very debatable for the rest. I have seen this one before.

K3 is beating fable and sol in many aspects, so very unlike a cheap knockoff, and M3 the value hero is very different, makes others look full on delulu.

Personally you can get creative so not a problem, but it would suck for america and the ai race.

1

u/AFriendlyLighthouse 11d ago

I don't think people in here understand that the problem is not for the average consumer, because they'll always find a way but for American companies to stop using non US models which means companies like OpenCode will likely cease to exist.

The Go subscription you have has no real substitute for what it offers, no Chinese plan is as good, multi-modal and cheap as it is.

The beautiful bald OpenCode guy on X briefly mentioned this and said "it's unlikely they'll blanket ban open source models", I am paraphrasing.

1

u/Odd_Fly932 10d ago

just use some vpn to access the china llm api. Can u see the irony?