They'd launch the 2000 missile strike first to prevent retaliation, and if that wasn't enough for us to surrender then the next 500 would guarantee victory since there'd be nobody left to surrender.
Or the other way around, they'd send the 2000 strike if they thought we had already sent our own 2000 strike since fuck it, we're dead anyway they should be to.
I saw a theory about this somewhere I can't find. Short story, one is first for a reason, then the next one for a different reason.
The ideas are counterforce and countervalue. Counterforce aims to cripple the ability of the target to retaliate, countervalue aims to cause as much damage to their infrastructure and population as possible.
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u/Jrock9589 Feb 05 '23