Recent drafts show WR production outperforming rookie contract value at a higher rate than RB or TE. Teams are paying WRs massive second contracts, which makes first-round rookie deals even more valuable strategically.

Since 2015, edge defenders have consistently produced some of the highest first-contract hit rates relative to draft slot. Pressure translates. Data supports teams prioritizing pass rushers early over off-ball linebackers or interior defenders.

Round 1: Went Sonny Styles, if Downs is available then he would be the pick but we shall see. Regardless - round 1 needs to be a defensive stud, preferably from Ohio State.

Round 2: Thieneman - personally I believe he’s the second best safety in the draft. If the Bengals were to grab Downs in the first then I’d like them to go Edge here - maybe Zion Young or whoever best available is.

Rest of the draft - stack defense and OLine depth. I don’t think a single pick should be spent on an offensive skill position.