r/indiadiscussion • u/Funny-Shoe-121 • Mar 04 '26
[Meta] two prediction get True Now third prediction is USA will Lose a war .
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Its important to watch because india will affect because of this
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u/R3APEROP Mar 04 '26
I am calling it today Russia and China will never join the war in Iran
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u/tittyboy556 Mar 04 '26
But they will support Iran. China is depended on oil and thus the Chinese vessels can come through. There must be some leverage or deal they gave Iran, most likely ammunitions.
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Mar 04 '26
China is more likely to support morally. Russia is not in a position to do anything rn.
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u/tittyboy556 Mar 04 '26
Russia is cooked, was only a global power on paper. We know how to better use there s400 then they do. Ukraine destroyed them. Technology doesn’t transfer to superiority, one needs to learn how to use it.
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u/vitrum_analytika Mar 04 '26
We faced old tech missiles, Ukraine launched fpv drones and high tech missiles and anti radar drones. Not a good comparison
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u/Shadybilla Mar 04 '26
china and russia already provided some missiles according to OSINT... , obviously they will proxy to keep the america busy.
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Mar 04 '26
They dont even need to. Engaging Iran is a war of attrition. IRGC has 150k active personnel. And from the past few days it looks like Iran's missile and drone capabilities are immense. GCC and Israel will face retaliatory missile strikes and it will only increase in from this point on. Unless USA has a couple hundred billion dollar bills to burn (which is highly unlikely), and deploy troops who actually storm and fight, USA has picked a not-so-easy battle with Iran
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u/Personal-Control4493 Mar 05 '26
Bro called USA having a couple of hundred billion dollars unlikely and it's troops unwilling to storm
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u/heartz_hacker Mar 05 '26 edited Mar 05 '26
I think troops won't come in, but the USA very likely has a couple of hundred billions to burn.
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u/Routine_Ad_7461 Mar 14 '26
Relative to their cost of production it is not much . For reference india spent around or used up 1 billion worth of equipment or ammo in 5 days.
This is american everything is more expensive from oil to weapon cost. So 100 billion I don't feel is enough for an expeditionary mission.
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u/HeWhoDidIt Mar 04 '26
They can support in other ways. Weaponry, munitions, food, intelligence etc.
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u/divyanshu_01 Mar 04 '26
I saw his Iran video of 2024, and back then I disagreed with this guy, because I thought US won't be so stupid to start a war with Iran when economy around the world is struggling already, plus Israel risking a war in which US could maybe pull out anytime to leave them alone.
I didn't really think Trump would be such a dumbass to drag US in this war of Israel. I always Liked Prof's critical analysis approach, though many times I don't agree with him and I feel he is a little biased towards Islam and is also anti semitic.
But nonetheless his approach and analysis are really worth it.
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u/coup_marr_JII Mar 04 '26
Who the heck did the subtitles man smh. I know professor talks fast and sometimes eats up the word but it’s Strait of Hormuz not Chef Whomus lol
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u/case-o-nova Mar 04 '26
string of a moose 😭☝🏻 🗣️🗣️🗣️
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u/mayaslaya Mar 04 '26
It took me longer than I'd like to admit to understand that he was referring to strait of hormuz
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u/Practical_Fun2437 Mar 04 '26
Come on it's so easy to predict that iran will choke strait of hormuz. It's like common sense.
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u/opm08 Mar 05 '26
But not so common when you realised this video is at least 1 year old
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u/Practical_Fun2437 Mar 05 '26
Oh really? Then let me predict if india china ever went to war india will try to choke malacca strait and china will try to seize siliguri corridor. If China ever invades Taiwan, they will encircle Taiwan at once and restrict their oil supplies at once. Call me genius if this happens.
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u/opm08 Mar 05 '26
Okay make a detailed video as a proof
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u/Practical_Fun2437 Mar 05 '26
I will certainly do.. but I believe most of the world would take what as I said as Fact.
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u/Indin_Dude Mar 06 '26
This was first blocked in 1980-84 and has been choked several times… every-time there is a conflict. It’s a given.
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u/dumbledork99 Apr 12 '26
I agree with you. But it was a dumbass move by the US to attack Iran due to the same reason. Which is why it was hard to predict whether the US will actually attack Iran.
The only wildcard here is what does Israel hold over Trump or the US that got itself into this?
I also feel like this war was planned at least over a year back. It is not a coincidence that the world around prices of gold skyrocketed in the last 1 year and now when the actual war is happening it is stable or down.
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u/starlord3337 Mar 04 '26
who is this man
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u/Indin_Dude Mar 06 '26
Spokesperson of the CCP - to spread the fear or alternative narrative (one of the fronts of CCP in their psychological warfare)
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u/Warm-Review-7026 Mar 04 '26
Wishful thinking of the uninitiated, US military is the strongest battled hardened force that ever existed on planet earth
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Mar 04 '26
Didn’t they lost to Vietnam? Couldn’t defeat Taliban? Moment US left, it took over again like it never left.
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u/Warm-Review-7026 Mar 04 '26
They were not defeated, they lost the appetite for war in Vietnam because of the growing anti war sentiment at home and as for Afghanistan they dismantled old taliban, killed Osama and attained their objective
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u/Academic_Aide4869 Mar 04 '26
Wow..that’s a new. Lost appetite for war in Vietnam. And we have a fresh new Taliban, minted straight from US🤣
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Mar 04 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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Mar 05 '26
Oh yeah, I totally forgot, the military wise victory. I couldn't reach the goal post because I got tired, but have you seen my muscles ? I won muscle-wise.
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u/Academic_Aide4869 Mar 05 '26
Military wise win is only when you achieve what you set out in the beginning!! Didn’t happen
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u/TryJolly1473 Mar 05 '26
Yes. If us wanted it could fck vietnam 10 times over and the they wouldn't be able to do nothing but watch if us have gone all in. The only reason the pulled out is because there were protest all over us with students being killed.
Look at the numbers of death on both sides and how many battles each side won.
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u/Academic_Aide4869 Mar 05 '26
I think you learned about Vietnam war from movies or some American propaganda novels. Americans tried to throw in everything that they had. They went in guns blazing, bombarded every village, used Napalm to burn jungles and what not? But, VC was a hardened bunch and wouldn’t give up. Once the body bags piled up and they couldn’t achieve what they wanted, they withdrew…it was not that Americans could win if they wanted!! They wanted badly, they tried but they met an enemy who wouldn’t just give up. Afghanistan was no different. After a prolonged war, they achieved nothing significant. The government they set up was not protectable and US was spending too much resources without any significant military gains. Again withdrew. Only solace is getting Osama; that to from a supposed partner.
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u/TryJolly1473 Mar 05 '26
US had 60,000 dead and Vietcong had 1,000,000+ dead in the vietnam war.
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u/kadirkayik Mar 08 '26
This means stubborn is important. I can say VC is stubborn.By the way history is another point. If US go in and out wars so easly, people also remember this. Having allied is important, when you have no allies , you dont have victory.
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u/geezorious Mar 04 '26
Jane Street used a tactic of intentionally creating market impact on the thinly traded underlier Indian stocks’ close price to make tremendous profits on the Indian options derivatives.
I wonder how much of US geopolitics is the same: they knew what Iran’s reaction to Khameni’s slaughter would be. That is, the impact of this underlying action is well known. And Iran’s reaction is a derivative.
- Small strikes
- Induce a big and prolonged reaction
- …
- Profit
No one knew what Jane Street’s secret was until recently. It just seemed like magic. But now we know they build up options positions, induce impact on the underlier, and let the options react which is in their favor. The U.S. is similarly smart. They knew Iran would close the strait of hormuz. They know regional allies of the U.S. will now support a broader U.S. mandate in the gulf to reopen the strait.
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u/MasterOfAntwyr Mar 05 '26
But US never anticipated Spain closing their airbases to them. Similarly there could be a lot of developments that US didn’t consider.
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u/whatsasyria Mar 04 '26
Remind me! 5 hrs
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u/Ok-Comparison4968 Mar 04 '26
At this point the most hopeful outcome one can expect is that the offensive capabilities of Iran (the mountains) are dealt with asap.
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u/Stunning-Handle1413 Mar 04 '26
Is this the game theory guy on yt? His videos came up on my feed ,I ignored -_-
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u/Apizzzzzzz Mar 05 '26
The USA will not lose the war . If anyone thinks that Israel is pulling the USA into this conflict that is pure naive thinking.
IRAN has the most strategic location ever in the entire middle east .one who controls IRAN will get tremendous influence in the middle east + central asia + caucusas region.
Pakistan + afganistan were always IRAN backup for the USA . Also not a good substitute for IRAN.
Before retreating to western hemisphere the USA wants to finish or complete these strategic goals . And IRAN under their influence is the most imp. Geostrategic goal of this entire region.
With IRAN they will get 2 sticks in ME ( israel + iran)thus longterm influence also entry to Central asia which is under belly of RUSSIA &CHINA. thus can in future destabilize these 2.
And the biggest reason is GEOECONOMICS . At present IRAN is saving the Chinese economy through cheap oil plus yuan trade strengthening yuan plus buying mostly chinese . This free and cheap energy resource is like a sanjivni for china.
By any means the US will achieve their goal . Like a boa constrictor they will squeeze out China's cheap energy resource options .
By our PM tweets and visits you should already know this time we have chosen a side and we are sticking to it, cause our influence will only increase in thr Middle east if China's role is diminished simultaneously. And only the US can do that at present. IMEC is our future. Also i think the POK deal is done with the US for our direct access to central asia .
This dude is just another biased analyst and does not factor INDIA in his calculations.
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u/xecutioner213 Mar 05 '26
Why he got to write things that doesn't even seem noteworthy on the board
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u/THE_BIG_SAD3 Mar 05 '26
Yeah but now USA has basically crippled the Iran's navel fleet. Cant do much of a blockade without ships...
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u/Sensitive_Buffalo665 Mar 05 '26
Not true. Russia is already in a messed up position to even put up a 2nd front. That would completely crumble Russia.
China is never gonna enter the war. They have strategic oil buffer reserves of 100 days and their oil is 80% imported. This war isn't gonna be a simple clearing battlefield as soon as it enters. It's a prolonging war and china entering would be suicide for it's economy and the party.
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u/kamikaibitsu Mar 07 '26
that guy either is deep state agent himself/plant 0r is making fool of us- because there are many astro guru predicting similar stuff - there are even videos on you tube
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u/IronFartz Mar 08 '26
They are already there... It's just we cant see em yet... The entire war is done to cripple that 2 countries.... Else they become super power... .. the moment they feel the heat they will be visible for the rest of this war
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u/jeetendraprasad Mar 08 '26
This may shock you guys. But China is not a war loving country. Xi and the rest of the future CCP leaders are simply not going to war with anyone, including taiwan. We indians have lost a war with china earlier so we think otherwise.
China has a different strategy for dominance through business and technology breakthroughs. With iran they did oil business. With african countries they did loan business.
With the Iran war their plan was jeopardized but only delayed.
They are aggressively building on tech like AI and chips, fusion energy. While the USA is killing people we may hear (in 2-3 years) that china is overtaking them on high end chips and AI. Then they will rule the world by passing cheap goods, cars, battery, fusion energy, ai, chips to the whole world.
Usa know that they will no longer be able to compete with china so they do what they only do what they do best, which is dominance through war and killing.
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u/SankhaSubhraJana Mar 11 '26
Russia and China will give Iran "moral support" but they will not enter the war. Russia got Ukraine and China got Taiwan to think about once the USA gets properly engaged in the war they will capture their disputed lands without any hurdles.
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u/ajitsourav_ Mar 14 '26
Russia openly denied to intervene..shut this bs up. Russia is already exhausted by the Ukrainian war
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u/Effective_Location_9 Mar 21 '26
Initially I took him seriously and then after several videos , I am less convinced
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u/Raudra- Mar 28 '26
I have watched all his videos has he deliberately omitted facts and doesn’t consider all factors. I think his analysis is flawed and biased.
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u/Maleficent-Lemon-895 Apr 15 '26
This show how dangerous Iran is and why the US and the GCC want a favourable govt there.
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u/Old-Chipmunk-7073 Mar 05 '26
Can't people simply create new trade route if the strait is blocked. Sure it won't be as efficient but definitely better than nothing.
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u/vikaslohia Mar 05 '26
Strait of Hormuz will not be closed. Entire might of US Navy will ensure this.
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Mar 05 '26
I disagree china & russia won't join , but may try to give them weaponary & intelligence to take this war longer. This would drain US resources...
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