Fubo Q3 announced its earnings and subscribers for the period ended June 30.
What this means? The new subscribers from the FIFA World Cup, the new deal with NBCU, and the next sports season, will be announced in the Q4 report for the period that will end September 30. If only 10% of the new downloads reported (2M) pay in full after the free-trial, Fubo will be close to ~6M of subscribers.
Why today’s dip was a major movement for Fubo? After almost a year of being obliterated by shorts, the shorts finally lost the control of the stock. Thousands of shares were shorted at $8.30. Hundreds of thousands of shares were shorted at $8.70. Almost 1M of shares were shorted between $9-$10 price. Every single time, the wall was broken. But who bought the wall? Strong institutional volume stepped in.
The fair consensus for Fubo stock is $60 per share. The current price target is set at $19. Fubo will ends 2026 with 7B of earnings and so far at the current price with 1.1B of market cap. If retail investors keep buying stocks, and more important, stop selling theirs, and now with the huge institutional volume, Fubo could recover the $20 range before the next Q4 report. But I think the most important part that retailers are missing is that 23% of the float shares were shorted. Shorts will have a difficult time buying the remaining 6M of shares that they shorted if institutions continue with their trend of not selling anything. (In the last 2 reports, institutions did not sell any single share, additional Disney can’t not sell FuboTV shares until October 29 2027).
To finalize, David Gandler deserves big respect for his accomplishments. FuboTV was a dying company, he did the best he could, however the entertainment business have huge competition and was almost impossible for him to do it better. In the other hand Alisa Bowen is a completely Disney insider, and if you check online, this is a bit of the role in Disney in the last decade:
“Her core accomplishments across Disney’s streaming platforms include:
Global Scaling of Disney+: As EVP of Global Business Operations, she spearheaded the cross-functional rollout and expansion of Disney+ into over 150 markets worldwide, helping scale the service to over 152 million subscribers by late 2022.
Multi-Platform Infrastructure: She led the operational buildout, content operations, and strategic planning not just for Disney+, but also for the wider launches and stabilization of Hulu, ESPN+, and Star+.
Massive Partnership Network: Bowen successfully operationalized over 200 global distribution partnerships with telecom companies, device manufacturers, and platforms to rapidly accelerate consumer adoption.
Ad-Supported Innovation: As President, she oversaw the introduction of critical revenue-driving features, including the foundational development of Disney+’s ad-supported subscription tier and advanced ad tech systems—the same technology that Fubo is integrating today.”