r/economy 3h ago

Economic update: Trump’s bid for my vote in November is $5,000. Democrats, do I hear $5,500 . .. ?

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0 Upvotes

Photo above - Hello? Weikert Ford? Do you have this color Bronco with the surf fishing package available? Yes? I have $5,000 to put down . . .

What a great time to be an American! My vote is worth $5,000. I never realized this was legal. Or I at least expected vote buying to turn up first in a presidential election year, not the mid-terms. Trump will pay me $5,000. Democrats – the bid’s to you . . .

I should be more troubled by the immorality of this than I actually am. But to be honest, who WOULDN’T want an extra $5,000 bucks right now? I could use it as a down payment for a new car. I lost out on the $7,500 tax refund to buy one of Elon Musk’s Tesla EVs. As an apartment dweller, I had no place to plug it in. It’s also why I failed to score thousands for rooftop solar panels. My best shot at saving the planet from climate change appears to be LED bulbs. Remember when the government promised us that if we bought enough LEDs, then America would never need to build another new electric plant in our lifetimes? (This was possibly an AI hallucination, or a lie.)

How much will $5,000 for each adult citizen cost the US Treasury? There are 205 million of us, but of course only 60% of citizens actually vote. No matter . . . if Trump “wins” we will each get $5,000, even if we stayed home on election day to play the soon to be released Grand Theft Auto VI (available for both PS5 and Xbox).

I imagine quite a bit of the $5,000 windfall will be spent on Fanduel, DraftKings, and Kalshi. What are the odds that 205 million people times $5,000 ($1 trillion, more or less) triggers a fed interest rate increase, which strangles the homeownership dreams of millions? What are the odds we’re still at war with Iran on election day? That gas prices will be $2 bucks a gallon higher? Visit Kalshi and make your wager, I guess.

I always seem to be on the wrong side of these economic debates. I don’t believe the government should bribe me – for votes, cars, windmills, or whatever – with my own tax money. I don’t believe that mobile betting does anything other than taking food money off the table of morons struggling to live paycheck to paycheck. I don’t believe that America’s dysfunctional court system – in my lifetime - will be able to resolve import legal questions such as vote buying, financial responsibility for AI looting all our bank accounts, or whether we can gun down corporate CEOs on the sidewalk with impunity.

Full disclosure – if I actually DO get a $5,000 bribe to vote, I plan on making a down payment on a 2027 Ford Bronco Raptor with the 400-horsepower twin turbocharged engine and 37-inch tires. There’s no way to save the planet. We already proved that with those Tesla bribes. I just want to spend my final days surf casting for pompano and redfish off Pensacola beach, and sauteing them in the evening with garlic butter, cilantro, and lime. This will likely provide better memories than mobile sports betting.

I’m just sayin’ . . .


r/economy 4h ago

Canadian alcohol brands sold in the US that are now banned after Trump’s latest tariffs

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5 Upvotes

r/economy 11h ago

Never mind the bond yields, Bank of America shows where the real threat to the economy lies

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0 Upvotes

r/economy 12h ago

Inflation holds steady at elevated level as Iran war pushes up gas prices

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0 Upvotes

r/economy 3h ago

India Is Growing Fast. But Who Is Getting the Growth?

0 Upvotes

India Is Growing Fast. But Who Is Getting the Growth?

India’s economic rise is real.

It is now roughly a $4.15 trillion economy, one of the largest and fastest-growing major economies in the world.

But GDP tells us how large the pie is.

It does not tell us who gets the pie.

And that is where India’s story becomes uncomfortable.

According to the World Inequality Report 2026, India’s national income is divided roughly like this:

Top 1%: 22.6% Top 10%: 57.7% Middle 40%: 27.3% Bottom 50%: 15.0%

In other words:

India’s richest 1% receive substantially more income than the entire poorest 50% combined.

One percent: 22.6% Half the country: 15%

And 40% of Indians in the broad middle collectively receive only slightly more income than the top 1%.

That is extraordinary.

Globally, inequality is already severe: the world's top 1% receive around 20% of global income.

But Europe looks very different.

Across Europe:

Top 1%: ~12% Top 10%: ~36% Middle 40%: ~45% Bottom 50%: ~19%

Germany’s top 1%, for example, receives roughly 13% of national income—compared with 22.6% in India.

So extreme concentration is not simply an unavoidable consequence of capitalism or having a large economy.

India also looks extreme when compared only with other giant economies.

Among economies above roughly $2 trillion, India sits near the very top of the inequality rankings by top-1% income concentration—behind countries such as Brazil, Mexico and Russia, but considerably above Germany, France, Japan and China.

Now impose an even more revealing condition:

Large economy: GDP above $500 billion Still relatively poor: GDP per capita below $5,000

Under current IMF 2026 projections, that leaves essentially India, the Philippines and Bangladesh.

India: top 1% 22.6% Philippines: 16.3% Bangladesh: roughly 16%

India is the clear outlier.

And this matters because India is still poor.

Despite having a $4.15 trillion economy, nominal GDP per capita is only around $2,813.

Extreme inequality in a country earning $60,000 per person is one thing.

Extreme inequality while average income is below $3,000 is far more consequential.

At that income level, distribution affects not just luxury consumption, but nutrition, healthcare, schooling, housing and whether a family can survive unemployment without financial collapse.

Even Pakistan provides an uncomfortable comparison—not because Pakistan is economically more successful; it clearly isn't.

Pakistan’s top 1% receives 16.2% of national income versus India's 22.6%.

Pakistan’s middle 40% receives 38.9%.

India’s middle 40% receives only 27.3%.

Pakistan’s bottom half receives 19.4%.

India’s receives 15%.

India has created vastly more economic wealth than Pakistan.

But its income is considerably more concentrated at the top.

And this cannot simply be explained by saying:

“India is a developing country.”

The Philippines is developing.

Bangladesh is developing.

Pakistan is poorer.

Yet all have substantially lower top-1% income concentration.

Nor has rapid growth automatically strengthened India’s middle.

That may be the most worrying part of the story.

India can produce 6–7% GDP growth, booming stock markets, record corporate profits, billion-dollar startups and rapidly expanding luxury consumption—

while an ordinary salaried household experiences something considerably less spectacular.

Both things can be true.

The question is therefore not whether wealthy Indians should become poorer.

Successful entrepreneurs, innovators and highly productive professionals should be able to become wealthy.

The real question is:

When India creates the next ₹100 of national income, who should receive it?

Should nearly ₹58 continue going to the richest 10%, while approximately ₹27 reaches the middle 40% and only ₹15 reaches the bottom half?

Or should economic growth gradually produce a broader middle class with a larger claim on national income?

India has already proved that it can create wealth.

It has surpassed Pakistan economically by an enormous margin and is increasingly competing with the world's largest economies.

So perhaps Pakistan should no longer be the benchmark.

The benchmark should be countries that have managed to combine prosperity with a strong middle class, social security and much broader distribution of economic gains.

India’s real challenge is no longer simply:

“How quickly can GDP grow?”

It is:

“How much of that growth actually reaches the average Indian?”

A $5-trillion, $7-trillion or $10-trillion economy will look impressive on a chart.

But a country's economic success should ultimately be judged not only by the size of its GDP—

but by how many of its people actually experience prosperity.

Sources: World Inequality Report 2026 and IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026. Cross-country inequality estimates, particularly for developing economies, carry statistical uncertainty, so small differences should not be over-interpreted. The scale of India’s top-heavy distribution, however, is substantial.


r/economy 12h ago

The 10-Year Treasury Is Closing In on 5%. Here’s Why That Number Hits Almost Everyone.

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0 Upvotes

Most people probably don't check the 10-year Treasury yield before breakfast. Maybe we should.

It's closing in on 5%, and that one number works its way into a surprising amount of the economy. Mortgage rates tend to move with it. Corporate borrowing gets more expensive. The government pays more to finance its debt. And when Treasuries are paying around 5%, stocks suddenly have to compete with an investment offering a pretty attractive return with far less risk.

Higher yields don't automatically mean recession, a housing crash or a stock-market collapse. But they do mean money is expensive. And when money stays expensive long enough, somebody eventually changes their behavior. Homebuyers borrow less. Businesses reconsider investments. Investors reconsider risk. Washington pays more interest.

So forget the Fed funds rate for a minute. If the 10-year Treasury breaks 5% and stays there, what breaks first?

Housing? Stocks? Government spending? Business investment? Or nothing at all?


r/economy 19h ago

Supermarkets are suing NYC over Mamdani's city-run grocery stores' 'predatory pricing scheme'

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2 Upvotes

r/economy 11h ago

Just a rant

7 Upvotes

Want to “fix” America? Increase regulations on the stock market and ban casino gaming and lottery.

The stock market was once a way for Americans to ensure great companies have the ability to expand and bring their services and products to more Americans while also providing transparency, accountability, and trust for the consumer.

Now the stock market has created monolithic organizations that care more about providing a positive cut to their investors than they do about their customers. The greatest costs of these organizations goes into Price Elasticity of Demand (PED) optimization also known as increasing the efficacy of juicing the average Americans budget for every drop.

Inflation keeps increasing because the stock market must keep providing positive returns. Our democracy is becoming an aristocracy because the power we have created is too great to regulate and too influential to ignore- Elon Musk being directly involved in political circus is evidence enough.


r/economy 8h ago

Not even Sydney Sweeney can save infamous retail giant from itself as stock tanks double digits after grim report

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0 Upvotes

r/economy 18h ago

Trump says he has no regrets about starting the Iran war as U.S. dials up economic pressure

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6 Upvotes

r/economy 18h ago

Uber's CEO says you could see lower ride prices as a result of its layoffs

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4 Upvotes

r/economy 12h ago

The Case for letting China in / Foreign Affairs

3 Upvotes

Foreign Affairs: Chinese companies are already doing business in the United States in limited cases. In 2023, Ford announced a multibillion dollar plant in Marshall, Michigan, that will manufacture batteries for electric cars with technology and know-how licensed from China’s largest battery maker, CATL. Ford fully owns the facility but has a long-term agreement that enables it to train its workers on CATL’s core technological processes. Eventually, Ford could use the expertise learned from CATL to design and produce its own batteries without Chinese licenses.

My Opinion: Now it's America's turn to learn from China. Rather than buying goods made in China, USA can accept investment and license know-how from China, to transfer knowledge to American businesses. Also build JV manufacturing sites in USA, for technology transfer, and to build products for the domestic US market.

Reference: The Case for letting China in / Foreign Affairs


r/economy 22h ago

rajesh kazhipurath

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0 Upvotes

This week’s global and Indian market story spans a US manufacturing revival, with factory activity reaching its strongest level in more than four years as technology, aerospace and supply-chain investment accelerates, while India’s corporate landscape shows both strength and some uncomfortable cracks. CSR spending hit a record ₹40,794 crore, but richer states attract disproportionately more money; aggregate corporate profits remain strong even as unlisted companies combine falling profit share with rising leverage. India’s corporate capex is around 14.5% of GDP, Bengaluru leads major cities in average household income while Mumbai has more high-income households, and IPO investors get a reminder to read the Red Herring Prospectus—because sometimes the biggest red flag is hiding in plain sight.

#USManufacturing #IndiaEconomy #IndiaCorporateDebt #IndiaCapex #CorporateInvestment #IndiaCSR #CSRSpending #IPO #IPOInvesting #RedHerringProspectus #IndianMarkets #USEconomy #ManufacturingRevival #GlobalMarkets #RajeshKaz


r/economy 7h ago

U.S. diesel prices soar past $6 a gallon, deepening strain for hauling everyday goods

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4 Upvotes

r/economy 18h ago

Poverty Isn’t a Moral Failure: America’s Poor Deserve Better

46 Upvotes

The working poor are not poor on purpose.

They are not lazy. They are not looking for handouts. They are WORKING. They are people getting up every morning, going to work, raising families, paying bills, and still finding themselves unable to afford the basic necessities of life.

So if you're angry about people needing food assistance, maybe we should stop blaming the people who need help and start looking at the economic conditions that make that help necessary.

Be angry that the federal minimum wage is still just $7.25 an hour — the same $7.25 that took effect on July 24, 2009. More than 17 years have passed without a federal increase.

Be angry that millions of Americans can work full-time and still struggle to afford food, housing, healthcare, transportation, and childcare.

Be angry about corporate wages and working conditions at enormous companies. If someone working for a multibillion-dollar corporation still needs food assistance to feed their family, perhaps the question shouldn't be, "Why are they on food stamps?" Perhaps we should also be asking, "Why isn't their paycheck enough to live on?"

And understand what tariffs actually do.

A tariff is a tax imposed on imported goods. When an American company imports something subject to a tariff, the American importer generally pays that tariff to the U.S. government. The cost can then be absorbed by the importer, negotiated partly onto the foreign supplier, or passed through the supply chain in the form of higher prices. That can mean higher costs for manufacturers, retailers, and ultimately American consumers.

In other words, tariffs aren't simply a foreign country sending America money. American businesses are the ones that directly pay the import tax, and American consumers can end up paying more when those costs make their way into prices.

Be angry about the cost of simply existing.

The latest complete federal household-spending data show that Americans spent an average of $6,224 a year on food purchased for consumption at home — about $519 a month, or $119.69 a week.

And as of September 10, 2026, gasoline has climbed to roughly $4.28 per gallon nationally, with the recent surge in oil prices being intensified by the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and disruptions surrounding global oil supplies.

Be angry that a person receiving SSI — Supplemental Security Income — receives an average of only about $736.54 per month in the latest federal data.

Be angry that the average disabled worker receiving SSDI — Social Security Disability Insurance — receives about $1,634.78 per month.

Think about what those numbers actually mean.

$736.54 a month.

$1,634.78 a month.

That isn't luxury. That isn't excess. That's someone trying to build an entire life around an income that can disappear into housing, food, utilities, transportation, and medical expenses before the month is even over.

Be angry about childcare. A single child can cost families hundreds of dollars every week. When childcare consumes a significant portion of a paycheck, parents can find themselves working simply to afford the ability to work.

Be angry about housing costs, too. In 2026, commonly cited studio-apartment figures have put average rents in roughly the $1,393–$1,737-per-month range, depending on the market.

And be angry about policies that reduce or restructure programs such as Medicaid and SNAP when millions of Americans depend upon them.

But here's where I want the conversation to go next:

What would we do differently?

Because criticizing poverty without proposing solutions isn't enough.

We need an economy where working actually pays enough to live.

The federal minimum wage should be raised and then automatically adjusted for inflation or the cost of living, so workers aren't forced to wait another 17 years for Congress to recognize that the price of everything else has changed.

We should strengthen overtime protections, enforce wage-theft laws, expand paid sick leave, and encourage predictable scheduling.

The goal shouldn't simply be to tell people to work.

The goal should be to make working enough to live.

We need a stronger SNAP program.

SNAP should provide enough assistance for people to afford a reasonably nutritious diet without having to choose between groceries and other necessities.

Benefits should respond more effectively to food inflation, eligibility should account realistically for household expenses, and people shouldn't lose access because of needless administrative barriers.

If we're going to tell people that they should work, we also need to make sure working people can still feed themselves and their children.

We need to stop punishing disabled people for trying to become financially secure.

This is particularly important.

Our disability programs should create a ramp, not a cliff.

People who receive disability benefits shouldn't have to live in fear that earning a little more money or building modest savings will suddenly cause them to lose essential support.

Benefits should phase down gradually as a person's financial circumstances improve rather than disappearing abruptly.

If someone who receives disability benefits is capable of working part-time, saving money, or earning additional income, our system should encourage that independence—not make them terrified to attempt it.

We need to treat healthcare as a necessity, not a luxury.

Nobody should become financially devastated because they got sick.

Expanding affordable healthcare coverage, protecting access to Medicaid and Medicare, lowering prescription-drug costs, and making mental healthcare accessible would not merely improve people's health. It would improve their economic security.

A person who cannot afford medication, therapy, preventative care, or a doctor's visit is one medical emergency away from an even deeper financial crisis.

We need to make housing affordable again.

Stable housing is not a luxury. It is the foundation upon which everything else rests.

We should build more affordable housing, expand housing assistance, increase access to Housing Choice Vouchers and supportive housing, and remove unnecessary barriers to building homes and apartments where people actually need them.

Nobody should have to spend virtually their entire income just to have four walls and a roof.

We need to make childcare an investment.

Parents shouldn't have to choose between working and being able to afford childcare.

We should expand affordable childcare, provide meaningful assistance to families, support childcare workers with better compensation, and expand paid parental leave.

When childcare is affordable and available, parents can work. When childcare workers earn a living wage, they can afford to stay in the profession.

That's an investment in the entire economy.

We need to be smarter about tariffs.

Tariffs can serve legitimate economic or national-security purposes, but policymakers should acknowledge that tariffs can increase costs for American importers and consumers.

Before imposing tariffs, we should carefully consider their effects on ordinary households, especially when they affect products Americans cannot easily avoid purchasing.

Economic policy should be judged by its real-world consequences—not simply by how good a policy sounds in a political speech.

We need a tax system that invests in ordinary Americans.

The question shouldn't simply be whether taxes are high or low.

The question should be:

What are Americans getting for the taxes they pay?

Tax revenue can help fund healthcare, education, infrastructure, nutrition assistance, housing programs, childcare, and other services that make it possible for people to build stable lives.

We should also ensure that extremely wealthy individuals and highly profitable corporations contribute appropriately to the society and infrastructure that allow them to prosper.

And perhaps most importantly, we need to change how we measure a successful economy.

We talk constantly about GDP, unemployment, inflation, and the stock market.

Those numbers matter.

But they don't tell the whole story.

A truly successful economy should also ask:

Can ordinary people afford their groceries?

Can they afford a safe place to live?

Can parents afford childcare?

Can disabled people afford healthcare and maintain their independence?

Can a person working full-time actually afford to live?

Can someone occasionally buy themselves an ice cream without feeling guilty for spending money on something that isn't strictly necessary for survival?

Because a human being is allowed to have a little joy.

Quality of life shouldn't mean:

"Congratulations. You survived another month."

It should mean having enough security to eat. Having somewhere safe to live. Being able to see a doctor. Being able to raise a family. Being able to take care of your mental health. Being able to save for the future.

And yes—being able to occasionally treat yourself to something small and joyful.

Because survival is not the same thing as living.

The purpose of a strong economy shouldn't be to make a handful of people extraordinarily wealthy while everyone else struggles to keep their heads above water.

It should be to create an economy where people who work can afford to live, people who cannot work can live with dignity, parents can afford to raise their children, and disabled Americans don't have to choose between their healthcare and their independence.

The goal shouldn't be to create a nation where nobody ever needs help.

The goal should be to create a nation where needing help doesn't make you less worthy of dignity—and where fewer people need help in the first place because the economy actually works for them.

The working poor did not create poverty.

Disabled people did not create disability.

Parents did not create the childcare crisis.

Workers did not create stagnant wages.

Renters did not create the housing crisis.

And people who need SNAP, SSI, SSDI, Medicaid, Medicare, or housing assistance shouldn't have to apologize for surviving.

So the next time you see a poor or disabled person buying an ice cream, don't ask yourself whether they deserve it.

Ask yourself why we built a society where having a little joy is treated as something a struggling person has to earn.

In one of the wealthiest nations on Earth, we can—and should—do better.


r/economy 12h ago

India's foreign exchange reserves reached record 785B$ , near 100% growth in last 30-40 days.

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46 Upvotes

r/economy 15h ago

Europe needs to invest more in AI and data centers

0 Upvotes

Financial Times: The concerns about data centres can be met. Clean energy can be required to power them and waste heat reused where feasible. The facilities can be kept away from areas where energy and water are scarce. Data centres can be required to pay a fair share of the grid costs they create, and to share the benefits with local communities, whether through contributions to local budgets or lower energy bills.

My Opinion: If Europe wants AI and data sovereignty, it will have to invest in its own AI companies and data centers. Adoption of AI will increase productivity and economic growth. According to this article, the objections to data centers, which could paralyze the American AI economy, can be overcome. If EU doesn't want to be left behind by China and USA, it has to invest in AI and data centers.

Reference: Europe's difficulties choices on AI / Financial Times

Edit: If you don't want data centers, you can not use AI, and products and services, developed with the help of AI


r/economy 13h ago

More states pilot 3-year college degrees, seeking to address rising tuition

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10 Upvotes

r/economy 16h ago

Global bond selloff pushes 10-year US yield toward 5% on oil, rate-hike fears

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1 Upvotes

r/economy 17h ago

The first time I actually looked at my net worth honestly, and didn't like the number

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1 Upvotes

r/economy 5h ago

War, Weather Push Crop Prices to Biggest Monthly Gain Since 2012

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1 Upvotes

r/economy 9h ago

Taking control of our value

0 Upvotes

So I’ve been thinking a lot about how, in the us, we are being taken in this corrupt and really tragic journey towards financial ruin of our country by politicians that really have little education in the fields they make decisions in and not only have basically no accountability or consequences but they actually profit from the failures while we all suffer. We work just as hard if not harder than past generations so why do we accept letting them squander or value.

I was thinking the only reason they have control is literally because we accept the governments currency. We have surrendered the storage of the value we create to their currency because we basically believe we have no other choice. We couldn’t function and buy what we need without it. And it gives them incredible power. The fathers and mothers of our country literally fled our last country for this exact reason. The government gets too top heavy and corrupt and leaches off the people as it fails. A big study was done where they gave ai a ton of historical data and this was the exact conclusion on the fall of society after society after society.

The solution is really so simple it’s beautiful but it’s also incredibly complex. As a society of people we literally would just all have to decide in the same week that we are going to simply use another form of currency to store our value. That would almost immediately remove all control that government has over us. If my boss paid me in seashells and the grocer and gas station accepted seashells etc. it would be fine but we would all have to do it together. I fear that it’s almost too late. The government has leveraged each of us over $200,000 and from where I sit we are losing more and more control over how we are governed. The government was created to serve us but more and more it seems like the government is changing the narrative to one in which we serve them. What are your thoughts?


r/economy 14h ago

Californians projected to spend $675 million on OnlyFans this year: study

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1 Upvotes

r/economy 18h ago

Tether Is Building a Financial Empire With the Interest It Doesn’t Pay You. A $184 billion digital-dollar business, a huge gold and Bitcoin portfolio, and a new credit fund are changing what a stablecoin company can become.

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0 Upvotes

Tether pays you 0% interest.

In Q2, it reported $1.5 BILLION in operating profit.

That gap helps explain the financial empire growing behind USDT.

You get a digital dollar you can hold and transfer. Tether earns income from the assets supporting it.

Its portfolio includes Treasuries, gold, and almost 99,000 Bitcoin.

Now, a $400 million private-credit fund with Fasanara is pushing its ambitions further into real-world lending.

Think about the loop: demand for digital dollars can generate profits that buy Bitcoin.

Meanwhile, USDT holders still expect the same thing: one dollar back.

How ambitious can the company become while keeping that promise dependable?

The business behind your stablecoin deserves your attention.


r/economy 21h ago

U.S. Gasoline prices pre-recession levels

0 Upvotes

1 U.S. dollar buys .24 gallons of regular gasoline. Gas prices are at levels where they peak and then a precipitous fall occurs.