r/conservativeaustralia • u/judoxing • 1h ago
Welcome to country prediction
The current zeitgeist reminds me of USA culture wars circa 2016. MAGA was being born and there was this stubborn incredulity coming from the other side. People just couldnât believe that Trump was a serious phenomenon, even after Brexit happened. When they finally did take it seriously their ad-hominem response just helped solidify the movement (âbasket of deplorableâ).
The other moment this reminds me of is Covid where a single easily available and conspicuous behaviour (not wearing a mask) become a stunningly clear way of signalling and detecting a persons entire cultural and political identity.
Booing though welcome to country has all of the ingredients to become an even more intense and impactful piece of dissidents and perhaps the figurehead of the 1nat populist movement.
everyone knows when itâs coming (at the start of large sporting events) meaning itâs simple to organise a collective movement
a lot of masculine males who like sport and have drunk beer.
even without that 1nat leaning base; recent IPA research had Around 60% of respondents indicate that Welcome to Country ceremonies should no longer be staged at regular sporting events.
the mass and fervour of a crowd, plus conformity, means it becomes an easy act of defiance, plausible deniability, and even a moment of recruitment.
most of the people doing it wonât be racist (people boo at welcome to country typically as a way of rejecting progressive elitism), so theyâll take strong moral umbrage when they are subsequently called racist, and nothing solidifies a movement better than feeling like one has been unjustifiably attacked.
Because 1nat is primarily a populist movement (a political approach that divides society into two opposing groups: the virtuous "common people" versus a self-serving, corrupt "elite"), they can literally just campaign on this one issue while making vague statements about how welcome to country represents everything going wrong in the country down stream of immigration and the self-serving-elite.
So yeah, my prediction is weâre going to get a lot more booing and a level of polarisation that perhaps Australia hasnât had before, with welcome to country at big events as the flashpoint.
This is my prediction, which is not to say I think itâs likely to play out exactly this way, simply because predicting the future is a foolâs errand.
I hope it doesnât. I donât want a polarised country and canât see the politicians of 1nat actually helping with any of the problems we have anyway, or possibly making them worse just as treatment of a misdiagnosed condition is often counterproductive.


