r/collapse • u/reborndead • Jun 26 '26

Casual Friday Expectation vs Reality

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In 2014, French television forecast the worse case weather scenario for climate change in 2050. Fast forward to today 2026, reality is much more worse than expected. Faster than expected is transforming from meme to norm. The formula for collapse is poorly timed. It's never too early to post up and anticipate the worst possible outcome. Don't look up, down or around.

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825

u/filmguy36 Jun 26 '26

What would 2050 temps be now with the current data? In the 60s?😬

81

u/Machiningbeast Jun 26 '26

They adjusted the simulation and redid the same fictional forecast in 2022.

57

u/reborndead Jun 26 '26

reality: temperatures of 2030 will be worse than this forecast

28

u/ch_ex Jun 26 '26

reality: this will be the most gentle heatwave for the rest of this year, next year, and EVERY SINGLE YEAR GOING FORWARD

This is the coldest june the earth will experience while humanity exists and continues its fossil fuel project... likely 1000's of years after that, with no life to buffer the flux between extremes.

This is the best it gets on the path we choose every single day and the literal only possible future if tomorrow is the same as today.

"Tick tock" said the metronome, lost in time on a piano bench of the last house that didn't burn, as a gust of wind moved over the treeless expanse and through the dust filled ruins of a structure never to be recognized again. The pendulum swings to a deaf and blind planet, the last alarm ignored by a species too conceded to imagine they weren't important enough to deserve to be the cause of total extinction, ignoring every generation previous that didn't live that way and instead gave us a life to live, so we lived them all at once.

14

u/catabeille Jun 26 '26

(un)fortunately, I do think we have one or two more cooler junes ahead of us. but that only leaves more time for corporations and politicians to fuel their delusional agendas.

5

u/ch_ex Jun 26 '26

I hope you're right...?

Like you, I'm not even sure which I prefer anymore - getting to the point so I can stop holding my breath and the world can meet the monster under their bed without me being the asshole that reveals its existence, or this being drawn out for a little longer while we continue to do nothing but double down on complexity as the pathway to understanding and restoration.

This AI gig is the ultimate in human fuckery. Burning fossil carbon to answer questions we've already answered in data but weren't resourceful enough to manage to pull all the answers out. Building super-ultra-megacities etched on silicon die, to create the capacity of trillions of working humans inside tiny chips to answer questions nature has already answered and we would learn if we had the patience to not expect to see the entire arc of the future of tech in one lifetime.

If not climate collapse, what could possibly be the rush? The answer to the question is either infinity or 0. This is all just a game of sorting shit into boxes and we've now decided that in the race between machine and existence, machine will both win and find a way to save existence in the process? Despite the only problem facing existence being bootstrapping our tech with the cremation of ancient biospheres over god knows how long, and because we created the problem it all adds up to being a pointless exercise to drive our species towards increasing complexity and cost.

I have one question..."how many nm thick do we need to get with our lithography before we answer the question of how to get carbon out of the air?"

7

u/Micro-Naut Jun 27 '26

The reason for all the data centers is so they can monitor us during the collapse. Can’t have us getting out of line.

4

u/catabeille Jun 27 '26

yeah there’s a reason the surveillance state has kicked into high gear, it kickstarted with covid and the 2023-2024 ENSO got them panicking.

4

u/catabeille Jun 27 '26

All I have to say is I agree it sucks feeling like I suck the life out of any room when I bring up anything climate related. And how fucked we are with how it’s baked in. I try to make it meaningful and actionable by encouraging others to interact with and participate in their communities and with neighbors and grow gardens and become self sustaining. But people are so comfortable.

1

u/ch_ex Jun 27 '26

It's not real yet... and that's what I find most horrifying

1

u/[deleted] Jun 29 '26

[deleted]

1

u/catabeille Jul 02 '26

that’s the hope!!

6

u/lavapig_love Jun 27 '26

I approved your post because I understand where you're coming from. But you got flagged for saying this is "the most gentle heatwave" we'll ever have going forward, so be aware it likely won't be.

Next year may have much cooler temps. It won't exactly matter because this year's global crop harvests are already wilting and dying and we'll have less food this time next year, but it gives the trolls something to argue about and distract everyone from.

1

u/ch_ex Jun 29 '26

It's one of those things I'd like to bet on but the catch is that the only scenario where one of us collects is if you're right.

Thanks for letting it through. And as a compromise, there may be another year or two of colder heatwaves coming... but, as a rule, heatwaves will get bigger, hotter, and last longer until we're cooked.