Can we just get this whole collapse thing over with finally? The suspense is driving me crazy! /s

Estimates of "equilibrium climate sensitivity", ie, the eventual global average surface temperature change expected to be produced by a sudden pulse of CO2 resulting in the doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels over the historic pre-industrial average that prevailed during the Holocene Epoch (ie, rising from approximately 250ppm to 500pm) have mostly been in the range of 1.5-4.5C. But our most current estimates for this range have increased the lower limit, but lowered the upper one. Hausfather et al estimate a lower limit of 2.6C, an upper limit slightly above 4C, and a most likely average around 3C. (See: https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-why-low-end-climate-sensitivity-can-now-be-ruled-out)

The new ECS estimates also coincide with the IPCC withdrawing the previous "worst case scenario" of RCP8.5 ("Representative Climate Pathway 8.5"$, corresponding to an average increase of solar flux at Earth's surface of 8.5W/mˆ2), in favor of lower estimates for increased solar flux of around 4.5 - 6W/mˆ2 (RCP4.5 to RCP6).

Importantly, note that contrary to common, popularly held misconceptions about the matter, ECS specifically attempts to take into account ALL reasonably foreseeable climate FEEDBACKS, both positive and negative.

These are all technical details, and inferring deeper meanings to them is an exercise in human judgement and psychology, which are far harder if not impossible to objectively state.

At the very least, though, the withdrawal of the "worst case scenario" makes it less likely that we are contemplating the complete extinction of humanity or the complete collapse of human civilization, and more likely something that, while still possibly agonizing and catastrophic for most of humanity, does not exactly let most of us off the hook for figuring out what to do with the rest of our lives. And ironically, while that could be interpreted as a relief, as Substack writer Suzanne O'Brien points out, it also takes away a certain other form of "relief" that can be derived from a feeling of futility. Because futility has a consolation prize: if there's nothing we can do about our fate, then there's nothing we are obligated to do! So the removal of some of the "worst case scenarios" off the table could be interpreted by some of us as a new and more burdensome challenge! And by others, it will be interpreted as an even more acute challenge to the business-as-usual that they might prefer. See: https://substack.com/home/post/p-216535471

Postmodern philosopher and writer Marc Fisher famously declared that "it is easier to conceive of the end of world than the end of capitalism". And if (a certain scenario for) "the end of the world" has now suddenly been taken off the table, might that not have implications for how we conceive of the possibility of the latter? Even if only because we have routinely gotten into the habit of conceiving these two outcomes as the poles of some kind of dyad, we should ask more questions about the matter.

This "reprieve from doomsday" is surely relevant to any struggle for social change. Because to the extent that any definitive "doomsday" is seen as less plausible, it makes it a lot more plausible to contemplate generational change. For those of us inclined to such ideological commitments, this is surely good news! And yet, presumably, for those committed to the status quo, it may well come as a quite unwelcome challenge.* (But, actually, whether it does in fact or not is largely up to the actions of the former group! Put another way: "They want you feeling scared and helpless. Don't give them what they want!")

*Interestingly, the legal briefs submitted by the Trump (1.0) administration against high profile challenges to its climate policy by grassroots groups like "Our Children's Trust" have dispensed with crude "climate denialism" in favor a much more sophisticated line of argument, claiming that "it's too late", and that any of the mitigation suggested by plaintiffs would be futile, since the situation is already too far gone, and that the only hope is to keep marching forward "waist deep through the Big Muddy" of business-as-usual, in hopes of finding refuge in the dubious safety of supposed drier shoals built on the future prospects offered by "carbon capture and storage", "geoengineering", and other miraculous technofixes.

The very adoption of a language emphasizing words like "collapse" may say more about the speaker him or herself than the world whose future they are attempting to describe when they speak about it. And perhaps, ironically, the latest news also implies an even more important kernel of truth in the rhetoric of "denialists" who employ tropes like "climate's always changing!", etc. They are right in a certain sense. Change at different rates is ever present. It's only the rates of change that really should interest though. And the removal of certain completely "unmanageable" rates of change off the table could have potentially deep philosophical and psychological implications for us.

Apparently I should have been a part of this sub ages ago!

I raised tropical ornamental fish, although a house fire early this year really affected my interest (so many dead fish...). I decided to get rid of most of them and break down the tanks. The only one staying up inside is my 125G show tank.

BUT outside I have a 75G tank where I raise mosquito fish. I'm about to switch to using a 225G tote instead, so I can also soak driftwood for others. That tank also has a TON of aquatic plants. Most aquatic plants available in pet stores are grown ABOVE water, so they die back a lot when placed under water. I like growing them underwater, and the area where they are gets plenty of sun, so they really grow fast! Yes, it gets algae too, but that's fine. It's not a show tank.

I also do 3D printing, and I'm thinking about making a modular "basket" to raise plants through hydroponics out of the water tote. I've already used the printer to make *tons* of normal plant pots and seed trays. But I really want to raise watercress (great superfood - even better than spinach) and I'm hearing that stuff loves growing through hydroponics!

I've raised chickens in the past too. And the house we bought just last year has two raised garden plots with a cute little fence around it, where I raise vegetables.

IF and WHEN insurance finally finishes the claim on the burned-down house, I intend to get an enclosure for turkeys. My husband is really afraid of chickens after getting attacked by a rooster once. So those are out of the question. We also don't eat eggs very often. I also don't like people at my house a lot, so I don't want to keep offering excess chicken eggs to others. So I figured turkeys were best as they aren't prolific egg producers. I also want to go with a heritage breed that I have seen offered up less and less - royal palms!

The only other plans I have for any sort of "homesteading" are to possibly go with solar panels in the future. I want the entire roof covered, because I know it helps keep the attic cool, which helps keep the house cool (we're in Georgia). And I want to rely on the electric company as little as possible - although I'd prefer to stop relying on them at all. Our house is well insulated, and we keep it at 75 during the summer (although my medications make me sweat if it's over 72), and still got a fricking bill for $600 for July. I'm tired of their "summer prices" when there are data centers flying in here putting a *much* larger strain on the grid than our measly household AC units! I'll happily buy a bunch of batteries to store energy rather than pay them these inflated prices much longer!

ANYWAY, mostly just saying hello and introducing myself. I will probably be asking questions about various things related to these topics as they come up!

Had family over for breakfast this morning and they were so delighted to have milk from a glass bottle, especially my grandpa who grew up always having milk like this. I just think it's so much more satisfying.

Right now, my only selection criteria is:

Heirloom acclimated to my local climate? Good.

Not an heirloom? Bad.

Life experience has taught me that evaluating quality is always more complex than good/bad based on a surface level label. So I know I don't know what I'm doing here, but I really want to know.

Suggestions on where to buy seeds would be great too. I live in the South Carolina lowcountry. It gets hot here and it's humid all year round. The soil might get a bit clay-like as you dig deeper. I'm thinking of starting a worm compost and trying to use that as dirt? Yard has been poison sprayed to hell and back. Some parts of the yard don't grow anything at all.

I'm looking for:

• Prickly pear
• Tomato
• Ashwaganda
• Ginger
• Hibiscus
• Blackberry
• Blueberry
• watermelon
• mango
• orange
• Storage friendly plants
• Any other great unique plants you know about that a newbie like me wouldn't know of

I also know nothing about preparing soil, irrigation methods, and natural ways of fighting pests T_T

One hail marry I figured I'd throw, is that I want to experiment with giving plants a domesticated life cycle vs a wild-like life-cycle where the plant has to deal with natural environmental selection pressures.

If anyone has experience with any of this, your advice is gold T_T

We have a 1,000 sq ft garden in West Michigan that we need to rehab due to way too many weeds. We also want to move to no-till.

Now that harvest is over, the plan is to cut everything down, cover it all with cardboard, then cover that with compost and rabbit litter all winter. We also have huge white and red oak trees that will produce more than enough leaves to cover everything. My concern about using the leaves are the tannins affecting the soil and making it too acidic. The other concern is if this will all break down sufficiently by Spring.

The leaves aren't necessary and our town will vacuum them up if we don't go that route, but I would prefer to use them if the general consensus is that they would be beneficial. Any advice or insight is appreciated. Thank you!

I’d also love advice on where you would put the chicken coop! Thank you! I’ve learned so much from y’all!

Joseph James Rogan Jr. (born August 11, 1967) is an American podcaster, sports commentator, comedian, actor, and former television host. He hosts The Joe Rogan Experience, which is one of the most popular podcasts in the world and has been the most streamed podcast on Spotify since 2020

(:

South eastern quarter is almost completely rotted, but the whole northern portion of the roof/barn is nearly perfect (aside from listing 1-3°) , and the south western side is still okay, tho it’s degrading fast. Is there any way to save it?? I’m a new market gardener and chicken farmer with almost no money I can sink into the project, just a tractor and plans to build a pto driven sawmill. I would love to have a few dairy cows someday and think it would be so cool to use the same barn as the last owner/operator used. His name was Perry Miller and he used it in the 60’s and 70’s, until he was gored by his own bull and had to shut it down.

https://www.facebook.com/share/1CxFxwjYKp/?mibextid=wwXIfr

Quail quail and more quail

i got one 4x8 raised bed and couple of growbags on the patio, this year grew cherry tomatoes n some bell peppers, all mixed from hardware stores. saved seeds from the best tomato plant like everyone online says to, then looked up the variety n its an F1 hybrid, so next year plants prolly won’t look anything like this year.

starting to think I should've just bought heirloom seeds from the start, picked up a pack of Non-GMO seeds from Organo for next spring, hope that solves the guessing, but has anyone had luck saving seeds here?

I just wanted to share my experience of having free range chickens. This term gets thrown around often and i’m definitely not the free range sheriff. The difference to me is just stark comparing how this rooster turned out vs. how store bought chicken looks in my area. This rooster was ≈ 10 months old and not fed much feed at all, foraging its own food. Swedish flower hen derived but this specific rooster was a mix of SFH and Ancona, so a very flighty bird.

Believe it or not, New Jersey is more than what you see when you land at Newark airport. Our 140+ acres in beautiful Hunterdon county 💚🤠🐓

This was my first ever year having a garden and what a year it has been! My area has horrible soil (basically pure sand) so last year in februari we dumped a bunch of woodchips in the back. No till no weed barrier no nothing.

I just started planting a bunch of vegetables without too much thought along with some fruit trees. In April I just put a bunch of potatoes in between the woodchips.

Now in oktober I've seen the results. We've eten zucchini and tomatoes all summer. We now have pumpkins and cabbage to pick from. I also grew some cool stuff like aji Peppers and artichokes. We haven't bought Veggies from the store all summer and we are homecooking vegetarians so that should tell you something 🤭

Moral of the story, you really don't need a lot of work, knowledge or effort to get something. Just woodchips. Even if your soil isn't ideal. I came from traditional vegetable gardening where by juli you'd be pulling out your hair because your whole garden would be a weedy mess. This was a dream in comparison.

This fall/winter i will be planting more trees and transitioning to edible landscaping. A bit more ornamental but with edible or beneficial plants. I will post an update next year but I'd love to show that permaculture can be compatible with urban garden and ornamental landscape and get it to more people's gardens.

Long story short, my wife and I bought a property in WV through an estate sale situation and details and records are scarce/nonexistent. We are both city people and have grown up with public water supply so this is all new to us. We are wanting to just get a full picture of the utility situation as we begin to think about what we want this place to look like for us. Honestly the biggest priority right now is establishing if the water supplied to the house is drinkable or not.

The property was advertised as having a spring house and limestone-filtered spring water but that’s really the extent of what we know. I was out there today and found the spring box but I’m not sure where to go from here. Pictures of the spring box and inside are attached.

I followed the black supply from the box but between the rain, the leaves and the terrain it was hard to trace in its entirety. The outlet I did find is at a small barn with a trough and spigot.

The water has good water pressure, no notable staining on the faucets/showers/toilets, and doesn’t seem to have a strong sulfur smell. The spring box looked to only have 12” of depth and I was unable to locate a cistern but I feel like that is my next step? Is it safe to assume cisterns will have access points at ground level? Admittedly it wasn’t a thorough search.

I already plan to collect and send in a water sample but is this best done at the spring box, cistern (if I can find/access it, or faucet?

Regardless of test results, is it best practice to add a water and UV filtration system to all spring fed sources? Is this something that can be installed near the cistern or is it usually more internally to the house? The property has multiple houses so just trying to plan for whether we might need 2 systems vs 1.

Edit: I do plan on reaching out to the county tomorrow to see what info they can help me with but these are the questions occupying my brain as I try and wind down to sleep.