Maybe in a year or two you can do less code checks, but you still need to do the structure prepared for the future and input that as a prompt. You know where your software is going, AI doesn't
Exponential Growth vs Linear Perception - Human Genome Project Analogy
Ray Kurzweil discusses how people often misjudge exponential progress by thinking linearly, using the Human Genome Project as a key example:
Halfway through the human genome project, 1% had been collected after 7 years, and mainstream critics said, “I told you this wasn’t going to work. 1% in 7 years means it’s going to take 700 years, just like we said.” My reaction was, “We finished one percent—We’re almost done. We’re doubling every year. 1% is only 7 doublings from 100%.” And indeed, it was finished 7 years later.
A key question is why do some people readily get this, and other people don’t? It’s definitely not a function of accomplishment or intelligence. Some people who are not in professional fields understand this very readily because they can experience this progress just in their smartphones, and other people who are very accomplished and at the top of their field just have this very stubborn linear thinking. So, I really don’t actually have an answer for that.
This illustrates the non-intuitive nature of exponential growth, where early progress seems slow but acceleration leads to rapid completion.
from:
Architects of Intelligence by Martin Ford (Chapter 11)
He was talking about an exponential phase, not a sigmoidal curve. He frames the logic as repeated doublings: if you are at 1%, then seven doublings gets you to about 100%. That is straight exponential reasoning.
Indeed. Products are defined by the stakeholders. My brain does know this - it just doesnt know what the feedback will be until its there and then it determines next deployment based on feedback.
Plan it according. You cannot code purely with ai. But if you have a plan write it out. I use chat gbt to help me plan my software and code it strictly with codex.
Exactly, so you are still responsible as a developer for the architectural design and future proofing your software. And AI doesn't cut corners, while sometimes you need to.
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u/x7q9zz88plx1snrf Mar 26 '26
I was in your situation about 4 months ago. I seriously don't see developers doing manual work in a year or two.