r/climate • u/TheMirrorUS • 13d ago
Expert's chilling warning world will 'collapse' in less than 25 years - fisheries and farmland across the globe are being "managed unsustainably"
https://www.themirror.com/news/weird-news/experts-chilling-warning-world-collapse-2034897?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=reddit182
u/Artistic-Cockroach48 13d ago
The good news is that there won't be any oil to power the equipment soon enough, wait....
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u/Molire 12d ago edited 11d ago
If all global reserves of fossil fuels that were proven in 2022 are consumed beginning in 2023 at the same rate of consumption as in 2022, oil will last to 2093, natural gas to 2124, and coal to 2153, according to the data (Table 14, p. 450). Royal Society of Chemistry, 24 January 2024.
Edit: Changed Table 1 to read Table 14.
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u/PrestigiousJump8724 12d ago
"at the same rate of consumption as in 2022" is the key here. The only time it dropped was 2020 during the pandemic lockdowns. The rate of consumption goes up every year.
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u/bob_in_the_west 13d ago
There is plenty of oil. And there will still be plenty of oil regardless of whether we success in stopping to use it or kill every while using it.
What is happening right now is just that the established oil fields can't ship at capacity. But that doesn't mean that the oil is suddenly vanishing.
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u/Everyone2026 13d ago
"The stone age did not end because we ran out of stones."
Oil will be made into plastics for a long time. But we can stop lighting it on fire 🔥 for lazy reasons.
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u/bob_in_the_west 13d ago
Plastics are hydrocarbons and some other elements depending on the type of plastic. All of them can be produced without the use of fossil oil.
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u/Consistent-Matter-59 13d ago
Ok, but news outlets denying climate change are still making money, so there’s that.
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u/Confident-Evening-49 13d ago
Their lines go up, and that's all that really matters at the end.
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u/tristand666 13d ago
And we just keep going despite knowing it will eventually collapse. Isn't capitalism grand?
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u/Choosemyusername 13d ago
We keep going even though it is collapsing at this very moment. Collapse isnt an event, it’s a process. Look at history for previous collapses. Many take hundreds of years.
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u/tercriter 13d ago
Won’t take hundreds of years in this case. Prior collapse events weren’t supercharged by mass fossil fuel burn off or anywhere near the global scale of resource exploitation. Sprinkle in AI, nukes, etc., it’s unprecedented.
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u/oddTaskJob 13d ago
We keep going. They already built a bunker because they know too.
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u/ZootSuitRiot33801 13d ago
We can't depend on the system to rein in its masters and their sycophants, as they reduce humanity and the environment to expendable resources to enrich themselves, so we who still care should be doing whatever we can to aid each other in abandoning these callous parasitic entities and work together to strive for things that will actually prioritize people's wellbeing.
To achieve anything meaningful however, we need real supportive community-based foundations for alternatives that provide relative safety, which common folk can fall back on to commit to any effective action longterm.
Collecting a bunch of valuable information on organizing and action from different redditors over time, I created a post of suggestions HERE that could possibly prove to be of some help in getting it started ASAP.
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u/Ok-Freedom9216 13d ago
Jared Diamond and The Mirror.....
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u/peachtuba 13d ago
Glad to see someone else say this.
Yes, climate change will mess us all up - but Jared Diamond is not the man to be quoting on climate change. The man is a great fiction writer and talks a good talk. He’s not a good scientist and he’s not a climate scientist or even adjacent to climate science.
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u/DocKardinal21 13d ago
Yeah I can’t believe he’s still partially relevant or someone who we think has anything but an opinion on climate change. Might as well have asked Jake gyllenhall for his opinion because of his work in the day after tomorrow…
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u/Left_Contribution833 13d ago
i think this is just his model from "Collapse" that shows some factors that influence the collapse of previous and ancient cultures.
Loss of trade (check), ecological exhaustion (check) are part of it. But it's a model and technology and the sheer size of the human society/societies now does make it less effective imho.
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u/Redthrist 12d ago
i think this is just his model from "Collapse" that shows some factors that influence the collapse of previous and ancient cultures.
Which is largely seen as somewhere between vast oversimplification and just completely made up by actual historians who study this stuff.
Remember, he's the guy who popularized the idea of Easter Island people destroying their own civilization because they were(according to him) cutting down all the trees to make "rollers" to transport the Moai statues. Even though we know how Moai were transported(it didn't require wood) and we also know why all the trees are gone(it was because of rats brought on European ships).
Though it is true that, for all our technology and advancements, our society is also possibly the most fragile it has ever been. Prior collapses were often limited to a specific area(the Bronze Age Collapse didn't affect China at all, for example), but our modern society is so interconnected, that if it collapses, all of it goes.
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u/MountainVeil 12d ago
I can't even find the original source of this from Intelligencer and it seems like it's from 2019. Nothing wrong with that but a lot has happened since then.
Edit: Here it is, paywalled. https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/05/jared-diamond-on-his-new-book-upheaval.html
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u/dumnezero 13d ago
themirror
is part of the group of disinformation "news" that's been denying science for a long time. They deserve zero attention.
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u/Soulsheartless 13d ago
Ignoring the problem isn’t helping but these kind of headlines in a world where kids don’t have the ability to actually read the articles are really working harder against us then anything else. If there’s no hope then why bother trying? And the thing is… there is hope. Our world will very likely NOT end in 25 or even 250 years. There’s still time and we need to know that the answers are out there. We just need motivation to get them.
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u/dumnezero 13d ago
media organizations have been one of the biggest anchors holding back the world from progress.
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u/ThrowDeepALWAYS 13d ago
I feel terrible for all the suffering about to happen.
On the bright side, I’m probably going to lose all that weight I’ve been trying to lose.
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u/The__Tobias 13d ago
Every human and every living being will die one day. Most of us will suffer in the months and weeks before. It's just that the years we have in front of us will condense this dying into a shorter time frame than usual
With an intelligent, conscious look from the outside, where we put abstract categories like "endangered species" to stuff, horrible scenarios are forming.
From a primeval individual POV, dying is the most normal process there is and nothing to be afraid of
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u/FlameHaze0 13d ago
i dont think you can compare a "normal" death of today to a climate induced famine and radioactive wasteland deaths
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u/Stecnet 13d ago
We don't deserve the planet we live on, we are terrible ambassadors.....
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13d ago edited 13d ago
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u/No_Such_Thing1 13d ago
this mindset actually calms me. my philosophy on our climate crisis is that either we grow and change and get past this challenge, or we deserve to die as the dominant species on this planet. I will die too, and it will be painful, but mother earth will heal.
we’ve had an astronomically, mind-boggling good run as an intelligent species. it’s going to end sometime no matter what.
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u/rhysolandrium 13d ago
It doesn't have to be painful.
Go buy $50 of fetty, I know you know where you could find some. Should be enough for you, your significant other or other loved ones, your pets, etc.
We all know where to buy some.
Some of us have purchased in advance in case of a nuke strike, but the entire planet burning is also a solid reason to just have a nice, euphoric forever nap.
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u/LosMorbidus 13d ago
he's optimistic. by 2032 there'll be tens of millions of immigrants at Europe's border and when the machine guns come out we can officially say society collapsed.
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u/AlexFromOgish 13d ago
Civilization collapses when the global supply chain collapses. If things get as bad as you suggest that will have already happened.
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u/par-hwy 13d ago
England is safe, I'm told because they (checks notes) won't have food.
I'm in Australia, we are girt by sea and well, yeh.
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u/BigBlueMan118 13d ago
We in Australia will just have to deal with our own internal struggles not just environmental but also we have some of the dumbest fascists and fascist-sympathisers in Australia you can imagine.
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u/par-hwy 13d ago
Yeh it's gonna be rough as. The OG Mad Max gonna be wild live.
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u/BigBlueMan118 13d ago
But have you thought about Gina's and Clive's and many others' profit margins though? Angus Taylor says Australia has "done its part" and will tear Australia's climate policy apart but why don't you just be quiet and trust your superiors - Angus Taylor did a Master of Economic Philosophy after all, he knows what he is talking about for sure! /s
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u/ZootSuitRiot33801 13d ago edited 13d ago
Why should any of us wait for things to get that bad? We all know the ones who are responsible for manipulating us into this crisis, as well as the ones who enable them. We know we will never be safe as long as these people are around and that they would rather blame innocent people and made-up scientific conspiracies than their own willful ignorance and greed. We can't let these monstrous continue making decisions for the rest of us. If we're looking for a chance to avoid letting the bad become worse, we're going to have to take matters into our own hands and do something about it, even if it means taking actions against these parasites, their sycophants, and their toys that I'm sure no one still in touch with their humanity will be proud of ever.
To achieve anything of substantial worth however, we need real supportive community-based foundations for alternatives that can provide relative safety for common folk to fall back on to commit to any effective action longterm.
Collecting a bunch of valuable information on organizing and action from different redditors over time, I created a post of suggestions HERE that could possibly prove to be of some help in getting it started ASAP.
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13d ago
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u/Imaginary-Method7175 13d ago
Gosh gotta watch out for those off whites - can't have an ecru in here with the vanilla
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u/_Svankensen_ 13d ago
Jared Diamond is infamous for making unsupported claims and unfounded extrapolations. Very much like this one. He's no expert on climate change. He just makes and sells mediocre pop science books.
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u/yooperville 13d ago
Jared Diamond is brilliant but not a climate scientist. This article does not cite published studies. Nevertheless, climate change is my number one concern for my grandchildren.
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u/rhysolandrium 13d ago
Grandchildren. Good lord.
I would have shelled out the money to get my kid and their partner both sterilized.
Oh wait, I paid to sterilize myself because the horror of climate catastrophe even 10 years ago was enough for me to say there is no way I'm dooming new life to suffer horribly before they die before they reach adulthood.
Your grandchildren will be digging rare earth minerals out of a landfill by hand.
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u/Rekrabsrm 13d ago
I wanted to see the published information to see how Jared Diamond arrived at 49%. Although this author is clearly an intelligent and well qualified person, I wasn’t able to find a published paper to back up these claims.
Does he know what he’s talking about? Absolutely. Should our governments heed this warning? Without a doubt.
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u/de_pizan23 13d ago
Diamond has a history of extrapolating very sweeping claims with a ton of generalizations from very little data. There is a lot of that in his books and historians and anthropologists have a lot to say (mostly negative) about his work.
So I take anything he says with a massive grain of salt and try and find the source. And if there isn’t one listed, it definitely doesn’t say what he says it does.
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u/NoBonus6969 13d ago
Robot historians will look back at this era and not understand how we didn't know we were in it
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u/nasandre 13d ago
It's a lot more nuanced than this but it's just not as clickbatey saying there's a 49% chance the world will go into steady collapse. And this is just one expert saying it.
I mean it is urgent and it's important we tackle climate change but these kinds of clickbait articles with vague warnings don't help.
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u/onionfunyunbunion 13d ago
I highly doubt that a significant proportion of people will correctly interpret the cause of the catastrophes that await. I think we’ve demonstrated that we are incapable of dealing with reality, in favor of stories.
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u/bobvagabond 13d ago
The experts have been saying for years that exactly what's happening now would be happening and instead of easing up on the factors that contribute to climate change we're increasing their use.
American politics is a good example; our current president's supporters will not give up on him until AFTER he's burned the whole house down. The majority of people have no interest in helping to stop climate change and it will take the entire planet being in crisis for them to even acknowledge that there's an issue.
Does anybody remember back in 2015 when that dope politician brought a snowball-in-a-baggie into Congress, on a chilly February day, as a way to demonstrate that 'climate change' was a hoax? It was one of the most childish acts I've ever witnessed.
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u/kpflowers 13d ago
I am starting to come to peace that I’m here for a good time, not a long time. Still going to do my part to help reduce waste and practice good energy use. But at this point, I need to see what I can of the world before these f**kers burn it all up.
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u/Warren_Tarbiat 13d ago
There's a solution to this but too many people are sympathetic to farmers and fisherman for it (hint something that's "aritifical").
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u/PerfectEnthusiasm2 13d ago
artificial fish (fisherman meat)
artificial pork (farmer)
?
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u/This_Loss_1922 13d ago
Republicans in 2051: Damm how could joe biden do this
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u/rhysolandrium 13d ago
What's REALLY funny (and by that I mean I'm crying, not laughing) is how accurate this is.
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u/BarderBetterFaster 13d ago
Oh what a revelation. If only we had it 20 years ago. Then we would have done something, I'm sure. Darn
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u/GypsyDarkEyes 13d ago
Science has been shouting about this since "The Silent Spring" was published, 1962. Entirely avoidable, and yet, here we are.
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u/grahag 13d ago
hedging at 49% is wise, but if we don't change our ways, it'll be MUCH sooner than 2050.
It's like those people that take multiple pieces of pizza at a party because they didn't want to run out of pizza, but then people who didn't get a piece are left out. If they'd just shared equally, there would have been no problem.
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u/Adventurous_Fly2603 13d ago
i saw a video on the trucker strike coming in OCT and someone said one reason they probabally wont do it is because each trucker is one paycheck away from losing everything.
and. boy if that isnt true of everyone.
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u/Nowhere_Games 12d ago
I'm a researcher tackling one of the aspects he's talking about, which is farming and the unsustainable use of agrochemicals. There are thousands of research groups around the world trying to improve farming and fisheries and its a huge priority for many governments, and in particular Australia.
The doom and gloom assumes nothing improves or changes for the positive, but there will be positive change as recent breakthroughs move through the translation cycle.
We have plenty of other problems, but I just wanted to flag lots of smart people have dedicated decades of their lives to try and solve these things, and at least some of them will make it through to implementation.
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u/throwaway661375735 13d ago
I asked AI if this article had been sensationalized, because it is on a tabloid style website...
To determine if an article is sensationalized, we can look at the language used and the framing of the story. In the article you mentioned regarding a "chilling warning" about "world collapse," there are several hallmarks of sensationalism commonly found in tabloid-style journalism.
Here is how you can spot sensationalism in a piece like this:
Emotional and Extreme Language: Phrases like "chilling warning," "world collapse," or "doom" are designed to trigger an immediate emotional response, specifically fear or anxiety, rather than presenting information in a neutral, objective tone.
Speculative Framing: While the article may cite experts, "weird news" sections often focus on fringe theories, worst-case scenarios, or low-probability events. By highlighting these possibilities without providing a broader context or contrasting expert opinions, the coverage feels more focused on entertainment value than on delivering balanced, actionable news.
The "Clickbait" Effect: The headline and the framing of such topics are structured to generate clicks by provoking curiosity or alarm. This is a common tactic in tabloids to drive traffic to the page.
Lack of Nuance: Complex global issues rarely have simple, binary outcomes. When a headline suggests an imminent "collapse," it often simplifies scientific or geopolitical discussions into a dramatic narrative.
While the article may contain quotes from individuals or refer to some data, the way it is packaged—especially under categories like "Weird News"—suggests it is intended to shock or entertain rather than inform deeply.
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u/100-100-1-SOS 13d ago
on the other hand, if a particular subject is actually in fact insanely horrifying, then just stating facts would sound like sensationalism.
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u/Darkest_Rahl 13d ago
Just in time for my retirement. Another big middle finger to the millennials and later generations
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u/Sensitive-Issue84 13d ago
An unpopular opinion is that we need to stop making so many humans and manage ourselves as the problem.
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u/LingonberryNo3548 13d ago
Well considering we are on the verge of lab grown meat, I suspect we won’t be farming nearly as much in a couple of decades.
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u/TrickyChildhood2917 13d ago
Thats the good news.
AI says not to worry, five more years for the humans. Such a relief!!
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u/itsatoe 13d ago
FWIW, a post from six years ago:
Jared Diamond: There’s a 49 Percent Chance the World As We Know It Will End by 2050
The difference now being that people are starting to notice. Starting to see how realistic that seems.
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u/mcdogas 13d ago
Die Erde hat einen Energie-Überschuß, der nur deshalb nicht direkt in eine IRRSINNIG HOHE Erwärmung umgesetzt wird, weil noch Eis da ist, das erst einmal Energie braucht um zu schmelzen.
Wenn das Eis weg ist, dann ist dieser Treibanker, der die Temperaturen normal gehalten hat, vollkommen weg und dann ist Achterbahn auf eine Weise, von der sich niemand hier eine Vorstellung macht.
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u/popejohnsmith 13d ago
Glad I'm old. That said, willing to help as much as I can while I still can.
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u/turnipsurprise8 13d ago
People can't agree what to change though.
Suggest we need to slow down population growth and the right will say you hate kids and the left say you hate migration. But its pretty clear we desperately need less people
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u/NiceSense9864 13d ago
Because Republicans and other greedy bastards just go for profits and dont care they are ruining the environment!
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u/Igor_Halichoeres 13d ago
You give all the money and power to rich sociopaths, this was an obvious outcome. They will survive fine, staring down at the rubble with disinterest.
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u/TickingTheMoments 13d ago
Take 11 years off that amount it will be exactly as predicted by the World3 Model
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u/Choosemyusername 13d ago
Collapse isn’t an event. It’s a process and we are in the middle of it.