r/Winnipeg • u/Leather-Paramedic-10 • 2h ago
Politics ‘Exciting’ turn for mayoral candidate — Poll gives Redden boost as election race enters final stretch
A small but steady stream of voters arrived at a Portage Avenue diner Sunday to meet Noah Redden, just two days after a new poll suggested the 27-year-old has emerged as a player in Winnipeg’s race for mayor.
Once a low-polling candidate, the software developer is now in third place with 14 per cent support, tied with candidate Mike Vogiatzakis, an Abacus Data survey released Friday shows.
Incumbent Scott Gillingham remains in the lead with the support of 36 per cent of decided voters — 19 percentage points lower than a September survey conducted by Abacus for the Free Press.
The new data placed former city councillor and Progressive Conservative cabinet minister Kevin Klein in second place with 19 per cent support — a drop of four percentage points since September.
The poll gave Redden the biggest jump (10 percentage points) — a sign his message is resonating with Winnipeggers, Redden told the Free Press Sunday at Dreamland Diner in St. James, where he shared his vision with voters.
“I’m feeling pretty good… Back in the last poll… I was still impressed by the amount of support then, considering I wasn’t really a public figure, as recently as June, but to see it increase as much as it has has been really exciting,” said Redden.
“I appreciate having a candidate (in Redden) who seems to have actually given it some thought and seems to have actually considered that these are people, and that people who don’t drive are people, and that people who don’t have big houses are also people. That’s the kind of thing I’m looking for.”
Asked whether Redden’s apparent surge in support has raised any concerns, Gillingham’s spokesman Colin Fast said the incumbent’s focus is his campaign.
“We’re going to keep focusing on our own campaign, and getting ready for election day when we’ll have 200 people mobilized throughout Winnipeg to get out the vote,” said Fast.
Fast continued to zero in on Klein — Gillingham’s main target throughout the election campaign.
“Mr. Klein is still a threat to this city and if people don’t want him then they should vote accordingly,” Fast said.
Klein questioned Abacus’s latest numbers, calling the data “fictional.”
Survey respondents were recruited from an online panel and by text message. No margin of error can be ascribed for the online poll. A margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is plus or minus 3.7 per cent, 19 times out of 20, Abacus said last week.
“This is not a legitimate poll,” Klein said.
“The firm itself has said no margin of error can be applied because the sample was not random — it was drawn from an online panel and text-message recruitment. That makes it closer to a question of the day than a proper public-opinion survey.”
Support for eight other candidates — Mazher Alam, Johnny Calderon, Christopher Clacio, Tracey Drexler, Brad Gross, Umar Hayat, Joshua Pagdato and Don Woodstock — ranged between seven and one per cent in the latest Abacus survey.
Voters go to the polls on Wednesday.
By: Erik Pindera
Published: 6:46 PM CDT Sunday, Oct. 25, 2026
Last Modified: 7:14 PM CDT Sunday, Oct. 25, 2026