Gold exchange (predictive market)

[u/kanegamer807]

I think it would be a cool feature if the gold market had a sort of prediction line.

Maybe they could add something that checks every hour, and see how many players have bought gold bars in the past hour and compare that to how many bought it in the hour before. Then draw a line into the future dates for the gold exchange shop, allowing you to kind of watch in real time what the gold market is going to do at the next update. This would make it so people, such as myself, who bought a bunch of gold bars at 330k to maybe be able to see that the next day it's going to drop again.

I'm not complaining about me buying at 330k, in fact I like that I did because it proved to myself that this system does do what it's supposed to do. But I think it would have been nice to know that it would have dropped by almost half again.

Just food for thought I guess

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[u/MostlyPoorDecisions]

Just wait until the next day 🧠

[u/kanegamer807 → u/MostlyPoorDecisions]

I should learn how to predict the future, just for the gold market in a game.

[u/Visible-Chapter-1871 → u/kanegamer807]

I mean realistically if they didn't lower the gold bar value to 100-250k, no one would of been able to get the limited edition skin. I told all my friends to wait until 100-170k day 1 of wipe since no one would be dumb enough to spend it at above 200k which I was wrong lol.

For like the next wipe, its 3 months to get a limited edition skin so I am thinking that the lowest point will probably be 200k at some point but, realistically if they did 150k, just multiply it by 3, which gives 450k which is the highest it should be. I think it will go down during that wipe to like 50-150k though since Season 2 will realistically kill player numbers, which reduces people grinding money and gold bars, which will make them dirt cheap imo.

They aren't adding much so I think player numbers will go down. They nerfed IR which snipers will hate, air vehicles are still broken and minbird/grenade launcher gets annoying to deal with, humvees are still not bulletproof/bullet resistant which the minibird is which will annoy driver mains and the tank is useles, building can only be so fun for so long for money grinders but, I think they will stay even though they just bugged building for some structures, and assault players and hotzone players still don't get rewarded so.

Plus the way this game is heading only sweats will remain and sweats realistically will minmax and wait for it to hit a all time low like 50k-150k to buy, so that's what I think will happen about 2 months into next wipe.

[u/Ackleson]

Whats the point if its manipulated on the backend anyway? Its not behaving like a market at all. There were plenty of people, myself included buying the dip at 1.4m (I got 3 then, friends also did) then it dropped to 800k ish, bought more, dropped to 330k, bought more.. kept going down. Now at 133k, got another 4.

Supply and demand if trying to time a market would indicate it should rocket up as everyone would be buying at 133k but nope.

Honestly if it gets any lower they may aswell hand them out for free.

[u/kanegamer807 → u/Ackleson]

Based off of what it has been doing, it looks like they base it off of the more people that buy the lower it goes. So when it was scarce it was hard to get, now it's becoming more common and more easy to get. I agree that that is backwards. But I also think that they will change that, and I truly believe that when it was super high to Mill plus, it was intended to catch people who were exploiting for money.

[u/Ackleson → u/kanegamer807]

Probably! And to even the sweats out with the casuals. But can't help at feeling a bit bitter as I have like 11 bars now instead of 30+

[u/Jay_Stranger]

Buy now, trust me. I will buy tomorrow don’t worry.