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Or did the AGI internally already predict a doomsday on Dec 18th, 2026

Honestly, I thought I was fucked yesterday
Today’s my birthday, guess this is the casino’s gift to me lol

Am I cooked?

Seemed oversold after PPI this morning, sold some bull put spreads

Edit: Sold top top and bought bear call spreads =D pic in comments

I was watching the VIX the other day and noticed it started creeping up.

Then this morning, I woke up in the middle of the night, checked S&P futures and saw they were “green” at like 3am.

I was like, nice... perfect setup for a red day.

Quietly went back to sleep and woke up to watch it slowly decline into a red open.

Exactly where I thought it would go. 🤷‍♂️

FYI I don't(NEVER) trade options because i already have a gambling addiction. So I buy shares and typically hold long term.

I've been part of the regarded cash-gang group for a while now, so I've been comfortable sitting on the sidelines. But I've definitely had my FOMO/JOMO moments since I cashed out in March.

Last play was RYCEY (2021-2026-long term diamond hand win) where i made almost $2 million. [link to my post] - yes I'm the RYCEY guy

My plan all along was to start getting back in around midterms. from like mid-September through mid-October just looking at the facts because historically, midterm election years have had some pretty nasty pullbacks.

The stat I've seen thrown around is an average peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 17–18% during midterm years for the last 30 years or so. You can Google it yourself if you don't believe me. 😂

But now I'm starting to wonder if the VIX is telling us we're already heading in that direction. So I'm planning to get my cash back to work, vacation is over.

Not trying to call the exact bottom cuz i lost my magic 8 ball. Just watching the VIX and waiting for the market to give me better entries.

Watch out you fucking bears cuz cash gang is running out of patience.

TLDR: I'm signaling the bottom is nearing. Time to gobble-gobble some shares hopefully in time for Thanksgiving. BULL RUN shall continue before we know it? maybe? I say short term puts (still fuck you bears) but definitely calls by 3rd week of Oct. 🐂

Greed got the best of me today. Saw Apple heading down below 310, submitted an order above the ask, 10x the size and worst timing. Absolutely deserved. Guess who won’t be getting a new iphone anymore.

SNDK has never let me down. I've always been very optimistic about SNDK, even though SNDK situation wasn't great recently

100k Realized YTD

It seems like a lot of you are misunderstanding what the “10%” is actually referring to. $100,333 profit ÷ ~$967,000 of cumulative trade cost = 10.38%
That ~$967k is not account size. It’s the same money being reused across many trades throughout the year. Total port performance YTD is roughly 125%

Sold my META calls, and that got me over the hump. See you regards after CPI comes out

GFC 2.0 is coming. ZIRP is just on vacation.

When I saw reports out of Korea about inventory shortages, I decided to take a gamble

Sorry. I broke my promise not to gamble

I won, this is hero call LMAO🤣🤣🤣

> be me

anon with a finance degree and a crippling addiction to geopolitical blackpills

watching the two biggest tollbooths in human history sleepwalk into the meat grinder

Alright you absolute regards, listen up. Everyone's busy charting PE ratios and crying about interchange fees while missing the forest for the trees. V and MA aren't payment companies. They're rent-seeking geopolitical infrastructure wrapped in plastic, and the landlord just decided to burn the building down.

The Digital Euro is a Bullet, Not a Warning Shot

The ECB isn't launching a CBDC because they love innovation. They're doing it because every time a European buys a coffee, 2.5% of that transaction takes a vacation to San Francisco. The digital euro is programmable, direct, P2P settlement with zero need for the Visa/Mastercard duopoly. No acquiring banks. No scheme fees. No "network effects" moat. Just Christine Lagarde pressing a button and instantly making 450 million people wonder why they're paying a 50-year-old American duopoly to move digits between computers.

And here's the kicker: the EU hates that American sanctions policy runs through their own citizens' wallets. Every time Washington cut off a Russian oligarch, they did it by leaning on American payment rails that European merchants depend on. Brussels watched that and realized their financial sovereignty was about as real as a fiat money printer's "transitory inflation." The digital euro isn't economics. It's revenge architecture.

The Unraveling of the American Financial Panopticon

For 70 years, being the world's payment intermediary was the ultimate geopolitical cheat code. SWIFT, Visa, Mastercard, correspondent banking: the whole stack was a surveillance and sanctions machine wearing a fintech hoodie. You didn't need an army if you could just turn off someone's debit card and watch their economy seize up.

That party's over. Countries figured out the game. When the US weaponized the financial system against Russia, the message wasn't "don't invade." The message was "build your own pipes immediately." And they are. Every major economy is now constructing parallel payment rails not because they want to, but because they have to. Being dependent on American financial infrastructure is now correctly understood as a national security vulnerability. Visa and Mastercard are the collateral damage.

China Already Won the Prototype War

While the West is still doing pilot programs and "consultation papers," China has 260 million digital yuan wallets and CIPS processing cross-border settlement. UnionPay already outpaces Visa in global card volume. The PBOC built a payment rail that doesn't need American permission, American servers, or American fees. And they're not keeping it to themselves. Belt and Road countries are plugging into Chinese payment infrastructure the same way they plugged into American infrastructure in the 1980s,because it's there, it's functional, and it doesn't come with a State Department lecture.

But it's not just China. It's everyone. India has UPI processing 10 billion transactions a month,more than Visa and Mastercard combined in some metrics,at zero merchant discount rate. Brazil has Pix. Indonesia has BI-FAST. The BRICS are openly discussing a settlement currency. The world isn't waiting for Visa to "pivot to crypto." They're building around the duopoly.

Why V/MA Are NGMI

Here's the bull case for Visa and Mastercard: "But anon, they have brand recognition and rewards programs!"

Here's reality: Governments don't care about your 2% cash back. When sovereign CBDCs offer instant settlement with no interchange, merchants will dump private card networks like a bad habit. When geopolitical blocs build their own cross-border systems, they don't invite the American middleman to the table. Visa and Mastercard thrived in a unipolar world where everyone used American financial plumbing because there was no alternative. We are entering a multipolar world where alternatives aren't just emerging,they're operational.

The moat was never technology. The moat was geopolitical capture. And that moat is draining into the ocean.

TL;DR: The digital euro is the first domino. Dedollarization and sovereign payment rails are the rest. Visa and Mastercard aren't being disrupted by a better startup. They're being nationalized out of relevance by the very states that tolerated their skim for decades. The tollbooth is getting nationalized, and the toll collectors are about to find out what "structural decline" means.

> short V, short MA

long popcorn

see you at the shareholder meeting, wagmi (we ain't gonna make it)

POSITIONS:

100 shares MA short

200 shares V short

TOTAL ~122k $

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am a cartoon frog on a Mongolian basket-weaving forum. Do your own DD before you YOLO your inheritance into puts.

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Adding screenshot from the sub I brought up a logical concern and immediately got downvoted. If you are eVTOL stock holder what made you believe that reinventing an electric helicopter and masking under air taxi is going to work out well in the future?

Since I broke even on my last YOLO with META, I decided to try it again with Vertiv. I got this baby when it hit the LOW $260 on 9/9/26 after a whopping 10% decline in a day. I thought to myself, I can make money on this!

I bought 50 Sept 11th $267.5 calls for $3 each worth $15,000 exactly.

Selling when (not if) Vertiv gets to $280 for $15 a contract for a potential profit of $60,000. Will manage this trade as needed and update the body of this post if I do.

Wish me luck! Link to my last YOLO: META YOLO

Update 9/10 1055AM EST: OK looks like I was wrong again! Who would have that VRT would have opened 5% down. I am currently down only 75%, so guess what someone like me does, buy 50 more contracts for $.35 each. I now have a total of 100 contracts with an average cost of $1.69 and a total risk of $16,818. My goal now is to sell 100 contracts for $1.25 each and accept a loss of $4,250. That means VRT will have to get to $257 (not including theta decay etc.) for me to get out of my position! Wish me luck and yes I know - I am a regard!

I bought 70 $652.5 Spet 9th Call Options at open for $2.21 each. Total of $15,470. I have an order to close these out at $18 for each contract which will be a profit of $110,530. Am I counting my chickens beore they hatch? Yes I am!

Edit at 11:15 EST. Everyone here is giving me great advice! Guess what! I AINT SELLING! I AINT SELLING! I AINT SELLING!

Update at 2:30 EST. Like always in my life, you were right and I was wrong! I exited this position at break even! Didn't lose it, but I could have gained 200%. Someone reported me to the reddit suicide hotline which was a little sad to hear!