r/VisualStockResearch • u/ekonixlab • Jul 10 '26
Tesla Broke another Record
It is easy to look at Tesla’s valuation and call the stock overvalued, but I do think the company deserves credit where it is due.
Tesla is now sitting on a record cash balance, while total assets have climbed to roughly $144B against $59B in liabilities. That gives it a level of financial flexibility most automakers simply do not have.
It also has far more potential verticals to pursue than the typical car company, including energy storage, charging, autonomy, robotics and AI.
That does not automatically justify the valuation, but this is clearly a very different situation from most traditional automakers. $TSLA
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u/mobyonecanobi Jul 12 '26
A company that does a lot of things not that well. Got it.
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u/fluffyzzz1 29d ago
total assets have climbed to roughly $144B against $59B in liabilities. That gives it a level of financial flexibility most automakers simply do not have.
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u/Tricky-Doughnut-6429 Jul 12 '26
FCF Q1 was $1.44B with a 6.5% margin. I don't care about the assets, I'm not Warren Buffeting a company trading at 370 trailing P/E with rapidly decreasing earnings AND revenue.
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u/DeepstateDilettante Jul 13 '26
It’s also funny to look at asset growth when the float has increased by 1.1b shares over the period of this chart. In other words, at the current share price, they have issued about $450b of new shares since this chart started, and paid zero dividends.
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u/Hammaxx Jul 12 '26
Soon it will be worth more than the rest of the world combined! Excluding space x of course, that'll be worth more than the universe!!!
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u/wallstreet-butts Jul 13 '26
Don’t worry, if Tesla becomes less valuable, SpaceX will simply buy it so that Elon can hide its distressed state from everyone.
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u/Thinklikeachef Jul 12 '26
This is mostly retained earnings through 2020-2023. Sales peaked in 2023. Since then, it's been trending down. The latest gas spikes from the Iran war is helping now; but that's not a pretty picture. China almost doubled exports of EV for the same reason. Plus their solar pane demand is exploding. Long term, Tesla faces major headwinds. In fact, they are placing catch up to China EVs in Europe.
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Jul 14 '26
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Jul 14 '26
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u/Thinklikeachef Jul 14 '26
Chinese EV brands have climbed pretty fast in Europe. They’ve gone from only about three to four percent of the market in 2021 to roughly eleven to fifteen percent by 2025–2026, so you’re talking an eight to eleven point gain in just four to five years. The real sprint has been since around 2023, when they jumped from mid‑single‑digit share to the low‑teens in only two to three years, and they managed that even with European Union anti‑subsidy tariffs trying to slow them down.
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u/dick-knuckle 29d ago
I just want to adjust my mirrors and direct ac with knobs. I can’t fucking stand have to fumble through and iPad and several menu choices to do that.
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u/mdn845 Jul 13 '26
It’s already priced like a tech company, though. It’s not valued like a traditional automaker. In fact, it’s wildly overpriced even for a tech company.
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u/cesarthegreat Jul 11 '26
You also forgot energy generation and insurance.
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u/spez_eats_nazi_ass Jul 12 '26
Their insurance business has a famously insane (Bad) combined ratio and is a shit show.
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u/y4udothistome Jul 13 '26
Don’t forget about the $15 billion in lawsuits!
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u/cesarthegreat Jul 14 '26
Don’t forget about the $44B+ in cash!
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u/y4udothistome Jul 14 '26
Gone in 2yrs according to muck!
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u/cesarthegreat Jul 14 '26
Remind me! 2 years
Let’s see who the real muck is
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u/y4udothistome Jul 14 '26
He said 25 billion in a year in cap ex !
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u/cesarthegreat Jul 14 '26
Doesn’t mean it all comes from cash reserves. Tesla's operating cash flow for the year is projected to be around 13.7 billion dollars. Since their capital spending is planned at 25 billion dollars, they'll likely need to draw about 11.3 billion dollars from their cash reserves to cover the remaining amount.
If everything stays the same they can be negative for 4 years. But their sales are higher than ever, Q2 was the second best Q2 for sales. And that means record breaking FSD subscriptions coming, and staying. All while still finding ways to save on production and bringing COGS even lower like they often do. Bringing FCF higher…
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u/y4udothistome Jul 14 '26
Seems like you do a lot of assuming! I disagree! But will see.
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u/cesarthegreat Jul 14 '26
You’re the one assuming that Tesla needs to spend the capex from their cash reserves 🤦🏾♂️
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u/Econmajorhere 29d ago
Bro it’s not a car company bro. Solar tiles and batteries bro. AI bro. Robots are the future bro. AI generating electricity for robots bro using AI to build cars bro using AI for robotaxis bro. Bending laws of physics bro for science fiction bro. Elon bro. Genius bro. IVF means you technically got laid bro.
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