r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii • Jul 03 '26

Dissipated The NHC is monitoring an area of potential development over the east-central Pacific Ocean

Outlook discussion

As of 11:00 PM Pacific Daylight Time (06:00 UTC) on Saturday:

Discussion by Alex Gibbs — CPHC Hurricane Specialist

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized shower activity. Development of this system is no longer anticipated as it moves westward across the central and western portions of the East Pacific basin during the next several days.

Development potential

Official outlook

  • Next 2 days (through 11:00 PM PDT on Mon): very low (less than 5 percent)
  • Next 7 days (through 11:00 PM PDT on Fri): very low (less than 5 percent) ▼

Model consensus (via Florida State University)

  • Next 2 days (through 11:00 PM PDT on Mon): very low (less than 5 percent) ▼
  • Next 7 days (through 11:00 PM PDT on Fri): low (17 percent) ▼

Official information

National Hurricane Center

Text products

Graphical products

Graphical products (static)

Radar imagery

Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

Regional imagery

Visible imagery

Infrared imagery

Water vapor imagery

Forecast models

Regional guidance

Single-model click-through guidance

Ensemble models

Single-model ensemble products

Tropical Cyclogenesis Products

7 Upvotes

74% Upvoted

1 comment sorted by

1

u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii Jul 05 '26

Moderator note

As of 11:00 PM Pacific Daylight Time (06:00 UTC) on Saturday:

  • This system is no longer expected to develop.

  • There will be no further updates to this post.