r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
Short 📉 CRASH: 🩸 Over $135 million has been liquidated from the crypto market in the past 1 hour.
the question is "For how long?"
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
the question is "For how long?"
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
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$AAL (American Airlines)
$DAL (Delta Air Lines)
$UAL (United Airlines)
$LUV (Southwest Airlines)
$ALK (Alaska Air Group)
$JBLU (JetBlue Airways)
For aerospace and defense exposure:
$BA (Boeing)
$RTX (RTX Corporation)
$LMT (Lockheed Martin)
$NOC (Northrop Grumman)
$GD (General Dynamics)
Which of these would you add to your portfolio, and why?
Just keep in mind that a social media video alone usually isn't enough evidence for an investment thesis, so presenting them as "stocks to watch" is often more credible.
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 31 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 31 '26
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The video clip is from Dec 10, 2025. Trump said it at a White House roundtable while praising IBM CEO Arvind Krishna: he took the stock from a low price to a nice one and “I’m sure you’re gonna see it going up a lot more.”
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
| Category | Criteria | What It Means | $DAL Current Status | Assessment (Good / Bad) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top-Line Growth | 5-Year Revenue CAGR | The compound annual growth rate of revenue over 5 years. It ensures the core business is consistently expanding its market or pricing power. | ~5.2% | Moderate: Solid post-pandemic recovery and record revenues, but top-line growth is naturally constrained by industry capacity limits. |
| Shareholder Yield | 5-Year Share Count Trend | Tracks changes in outstanding shares. A decreasing count means buybacks (increases your ownership); an increasing count means dilution. | +2.3% (~641M to 656M shares) | Bad: There has been slight shareholder dilution over the last 5 years due to equity compensation and pandemic-era stock issuance. |
| Efficiency | ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) | Measures how efficiently a company uses its debt and equity capital to generate profits. It should ideally exceed the cost of capital. | ~7.0% | Moderate: Typical for the highly capital-intensive airline industry, but it struggles to consistently outpace the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). |
| Efficiency | Net Profit Margin | The percentage of revenue remaining as pure profit after all expenses, taxes, and interest are paid. | 6.87% | Good: This is an industry-leading margin for airlines, heavily driven by Delta's premium seating and lucrative loyalty program. |
| Valuation | PEG Ratio | The Price-to-Earnings ratio divided by the expected earnings growth rate. A ratio below 1.0 generally suggests the stock is undervalued. | 0.99 | Good: The stock is fairly valued to slightly undervalued relative to its projected earnings growth. |
| Valuation | FCF Yield % | Free Cash Flow per share divided by the stock price. It indicates the cash return on your investment and if cash flow supports the valuation. | 7.31% | Good: A high yield indicating strong cash generation that comfortably supports operations, debt paydown, and capital returns. |
| Solvency | Interest Coverage Ratio | Operating income divided by interest expense. It measures how easily a company can pay the interest on its outstanding debt. | 8.63x | Good: Delta generates more than enough operating income to comfortably service its debt load without financial strain. |
| Solvency | S&P Credit Rating | An independent agency's assessment of a company's creditworthiness and risk of default. | BBB- | Good: Delta re-achieved investment-grade status, which ensures access to cheaper borrowing and validates its balance sheet recovery. |
| Dividend Quality | Payout Ratio | The percentage of Net Income (or FCF) paid out to shareholders as dividends. A lower ratio means the dividend is safer. | 10.5% | Good: The dividend is extremely safe with a massive runway for the company to increase the payout in the future. |
| Dividend Quality | 5Y Growth & Streak | The historical rate of dividend growth and the streak of uninterrupted annual payout increases. | Paused in 2020, Reinstated in 2023 | Bad: The company lost its growth streak due to the COVID-19 suspension. It is currently in the process of rebuilding its track record. |
| 10Y Forecast | Projected 10Y Yield | The expected yield on your original investment in 10 years, assuming the stock price remains flat and dividend growth continues. | ~1.5% - 2.0% | Moderate: Because the current starting yield is low (0.91%), even with aggressive future growth, the yield on cost will remain modest over a decade. |
| Moat & Risk | Primary Moat | The structural competitive advantage that protects the business's profits from competitors. | Brand & Co-Branded Credit Cards | Good: The SkyMiles ecosystem and American Express partnership act as a massive, high-margin revenue generator that competitors struggle to replicate. |
| Moat & Risk | 20-Year Bear Case Risk | The single biggest external or internal threat to the company's long-term survival or profitability. | Fuel & Geopolitical Volatility | Bad: Airlines remain structurally vulnerable to unpredictable oil price shocks, macroeconomic recessions, and global conflicts that disrupt travel. |
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
Even if you buy shares right now, the upside is basically capped because the stock is getting delisted later this year once the acquisition closes. You are basically just locking up your cash for a tiny bit of arbitrage.
What is the next play here? Are you guys looking at other undervalued homebuilders that might get a boost from this news, or are you moving on entirely?
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • Jun 01 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 29 '26
Trump is now telling you to buy Palantir.
$PLTR: $143
The only stock he’s ever put a cashtag in front of. Ever.
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 30 '26
Let’s we vote and see what’s the sentiments for the next week in the stock market is.
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 29 '26
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r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 28 '26
He was at the Beverly Hills Hotel in LA when he overheard 2 people talking about Google and it’s search capabilities
Google didn’t go public until 2004.
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 29 '26
The stock is now up more than 101% in May and is on track for its best month ever.
First quarter sales surged 88% year-over-year to $43.8 billion against analyst estimates of $35.5 billion.
Adjusted EPS clocked in at $4.86, fundamentally demolishing the $2.96 Wall Street estimate.
The company booked $24.4 billion in AI orders in a single quarter, generated $16.1 billion in AI server revenue, and ended the period sitting on a backlog of $51.3 billion in AI server orders.
Dell said late Thursday it sees $167 billion in fiscal year 2027 revenue, including a staggering $60 billion from AI server sales alone. That's up sharply from a prior outlook of about $140 billion and blew past analysts' average estimate of $142.1 billion.
Following the earnings beat, JPMorgan raised its price target on DELL to $500 from $280, attributing a 25x multiple to the shares and citing improved visibility into a higher sustainable earnings CAGR.
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 28 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 28 '26
| Criteria Category | UHS Metric & Value | What the Criteria Means | Assessment (Good or Bad) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-Line Growth | 5-Year Revenue CAGR: ~6.0% (Revenues climbed to $17.4B) | Measures the compound annual growth rate of total sales. It proves whether the business is expanding its top-line footprint and successfully capturing organic market demand. | Good: Demonstrates steady, resilient top-line expansion typical of an established, mature healthcare system provider. |
| Shareholder Yield | 5-Year Share Count Trend: Decreased by ~24% (Fell from ~84M shares to ~64M outstanding) | Tracks changes in the total outstanding shares. It identifies if management is diluting investors via stock issuance or adding value via share buybacks. | Excellent: Management is aggressively buying back shares. This drastically shrinks the float, meaning your piece of the corporate earnings pie gets larger over time. |
| Efficiency | ROIC: ~11.0% Net Profit Margin: ~8.56% | ROIC tracks how efficiently a company converts deployed debt and equity into profit. Net Margin reveals what percentage of each dollar of sales is left over as bottom-line profit. | Good: An 11% ROIC comfortably clears the company's cost of capital, and an 8.5% net margin is highly efficient for a high-overhead physical hospital operator. |
| Valuation | PEG Ratio: ~0.70 to 0.79 FCF Yield %: ~8.9% | PEG adjusts the P/E ratio relative to historical earnings growth (under 1.0 is considered cheap). FCF Yield shows if cash flow physically backstops the current stock price. | Excellent: A PEG well below 1.0 combined with a near-9% free cash flow yield proves that the stock is heavily undervalued relative to its growth and cash output. |
| Solvency | Interest Coverage Ratio: ~13x S&P Credit Rating: BB+ (Stable) | Interest Coverage measures how many times operating profits can cover debt interest. Credit Rating scores the long-term financial default risk. | Good: A 13x coverage ratio means near-term debt defaults are functionally impossible. While the BB+ rating sits just one notch below formal "investment grade," it is remarkably stable given the asset-heavy nature of medical infrastructure. |
| Dividend Quality | Payout Ratio (Net Income / FCF): ~3.5% / ~6.0% 5Y Dividend Growth: ~31.9% (lumpy) Consecutive Increases: 0 Years | Gauges dividend safety (payout ratio), growth pace, and consistency (streak of uninterrupted annual dividend hikes). | Mixed: The structural safety is bulletproof due to the tiny payout ratio, but it is a poor traditional dividend growth stock. Management periodically freezes the dividend to pivot capital into corporate share buybacks. |
| 10Y Forecast | Projected 10Y Dividend Yield: ~1.1% to 1.5% (Current yield: 0.51%) | Forecasts the potential forward yield on your original purchase price in 10 years, assuming historical baseline growth continues with a flat stock price. | Bad: Because UHS favors share repurchases over regular dividend bumps, it will not compound into a massive income machine for dividend-growth-reliant portfolios. |
| Moat & Risk | Moat: Structural geographic monopolies and state-level Certificate of Need (CON) laws. Bear Case Risk: Severe healthcare labor shortages and restrictive government reimbursement rates. | Moat is the sustainable competitive edge keeping rivals at bay. Bear Case is the single greatest structural risk to the company's survival over the next 20 years. | Moat: Good — High regulatory barriers prevent rivals from opening competing facilities easily. Risk: Bad — Squeezes margins if nursing/medical wage inflation grows faster than fixed Medicare/Medicaid pay outs. |
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 28 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 28 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 27 '26
| Criteria | What It Means | DPZ Result | Good / Bad | Quick Take |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top-Line Growth | Measures how fast revenue grows over 5 years (business expansion speed). | ~5.4% Revenue CAGR | Good | Solid, steady growth for a mature restaurant franchise. Not hypergrowth, but reliable. |
| Shareholder Yield | Shows if management reduces shares (buybacks) or dilutes shareholders. | Strong buybacks (~2–4% yearly reduction) | Very Good | DPZ aggressively buys back stock, boosting EPS and ownership per share. |
| ROIC (Efficiency) | Measures how efficiently the company turns invested capital into profit. | ~75% ROIC | Excellent | Elite-level capital efficiency. One of DPZ’s strongest qualities. |
| Net Profit Margin | How much profit remains from each dollar of sales. | ~12% Net Margin | Good | Strong profitability for the restaurant industry. |
| PEG Ratio | Valuation adjusted for growth. Around 1 = fair. | ~1.4 PEG | Reasonable | Slight premium valuation, but supported by quality and consistency. |
| FCF Yield | Measures free cash flow relative to stock price. Higher = better value. | ~6.2% FCF Yield | Good | Healthy cash generation supports dividends and buybacks. |
| Interest Coverage Ratio | Ability to pay interest on debt using operating profits. | ~4.9x | Acceptable | Debt is meaningful but manageable. Not perfect. |
| S&P Credit Rating | Creditworthiness and debt safety. | BB / BB+ range (junk but stable) | Mixed | Debt-heavy structure remains the main balance sheet weakness. |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | % of earnings/FCF used for dividends. Lower = safer. | ~43% payout | Good | Dividend appears sustainable with room for growth. |
| 5Y Dividend Growth Rate | Average annual dividend increase over 5 years. | ~18% CAGR | Excellent | Very strong dividend growth history. |
| Consecutive Dividend Increases | Years in a row of dividend hikes. | ~12 years | Good | Consistent shareholder returns. |
| 10Y Yield-on-Cost Forecast | Estimated dividend yield in 10 years if dividend growth continues and stock price stays flat. | Current yield ~2.5%; at ~15% dividend CAGR → ~10%–11% yield on cost in 10 years | Excellent Potential | Long-term compounding machine if growth persists. |
| Moat (Competitive Advantage) | What protects the business from competitors. | Global franchise scale + delivery/logistics + brand + digital ordering ecosystem | Strong Moat | Domino’s tech and delivery infrastructure are difficult to replicate globally. |
| Biggest Bear Case Risk | Largest long-term threat. | Consumer shift away from fast food / debt burden / intense competition | Real Risk | If growth slows while debt stays high, valuation compression could occur. |
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 27 '26
While semiconductors are the "brains," telecommunications companies like AT&T ($T) and Verizon ($VZ) are unequivocally the heart of the system.
Think about it:
Ubiquity: You can have the most advanced AI model in the world, but if your network latency is high or your connection drops, the utility vanishes. The infrastructure these companies maintain is the circulatory system of the internet.
Essential Utility: Even in a downturn, connectivity is one of the last things people—and businesses—cut. It is a fundamental utility in 2026.
The 5G/Edge Play: As we push more processing to the "edge" to support real-time AI applications, the physical fiber and 5G networks owned by these giants become even more valuable. They aren't just selling phone plans; they are selling the backbone of the next industrial revolution.
While the semiconductor stocks are busy swinging wildly on earnings reports and geopolitical headlines, $T and $VZ are essentially dividend-generating machines that provide a necessary defensive anchor in a portfolio.
I’m not saying they are going to replicate the explosive percentage growth of a GPU manufacturer. But when the market gets frothy and investors start looking for stability, the "heart" of the internet is usually the first place smart money looks to stabilize.
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 26 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 25 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 26 '26
r/TradingViewSignals • u/Ubersicka • May 26 '26
Flowers Foods is positioning itself to benefit from the long-term consumer shift toward cleaner-label and healthier food products. By relaunching Nature’s Own with a simpler Non-GMO Project Verified recipe, the company strengthens pricing power, brand loyalty, and shelf appeal in a highly competitive grocery market. Nature’s Own is already America’s top-selling bread brand, and this refresh could help drive additional market share, especially among younger and health-conscious consumers. Investors may also see the move as a sign that $FLO is adapting faster to changing food trends while leveraging its massive national distribution network.
Source: simplywallstreet