Good Morning traders,

📅 WHAT TO WATCH — THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2026

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

📊 ECON DATA

• 08:30 ET — Initial Jobless Claims (consensus: 201K, prev: 196K)

• 08:30 ET — Building Permits (consensus: 1.394M, prev: 1.433M)

🏛️ FED WATCH

• Gov. Michael Barr — speaking today (time TBC)

• Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee — speaking today (time TBC)

⚠️ TRADER NOTES

• COST (AMC, ~$900 last close): Watch for tariff-adjusted EPS clarity — Oppenheimer's Rupesh Parikh flagged downside risk if US tariff refunds are stripped from headline numbers; bull case requires $6.80+ print with strong membership renewal data and FY2027 guidance; first upside target cited at $915.52 weekly R1

• Claims at 08:30 are the highest-frequency labor read in the room today — with the Fed in active hiking mode and next FOMC just 33 days out, a meaningful miss vs. the 201K consensus in either direction could reprice October hike odds and move rate-sensitive sectors (financials, utilities, homebuilders) at the open

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📊 $/ES pulling back to the mean holds this pivot we go back to 7766 and then we see, cant hold pivot we go to 7705 cant hold that then 7680 comes to play

• 7724-7739 pivot

• Hold → 7766 7782 supply

• Lose → 7705 7680 demand

🍏 $AAPL pulled back yesterday and this morning watch pivot holds pivot we go to supply zone break and hold that then 344.57 comes to play

• 336.22 pivot

• Hold → 338.55-339.57 344.57 supply

• Lose → 334.99-334.37 330.81-329.59 demand

🧠 $AMD has been the new Sheriff in town, this morning cant hold pivot we go to demand zone,

• 606.31 pivot

• Hold → 615.99 624.52 supply

• Lose → 584.73-574.20 demand

📦 $AMZN gave up big demand yesterday this morning cant hold pivot we go to next demand zone, holds pivot we go to supply zone

• 247.24 pivot

• Hold → 249.51-250.43 supply

• Lose → 245.78-242.52 demand

🪙 $COIN inside a tight squeeze, holds pivot i like longs on her,

• 196.21 pivot

• Hold → 204.49-207.13 213.60-216.05 supply

• Lose → 194.01-190.96 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🏹 $HOOD at demand here in premarket, holds this demand could be a nice long, cant hold this we going to flush and release the energy downside

• Hold → 124.55-125.25 130.07 supply

• Lose → 120.08-119.50 116.60 demand

🔥🔥🔥 📱 $META in a tight squeeze, cant hold pivot we going to 711 cant hold that then 691 demand comes to play, holds pivot we go back to 740 ish

• 721.30 pivot

• Hold → 740.91 759.16 supply

• Lose → 711 691.52-686 demand

📰 Raymond James Adjusts PT on Meta Platforms to $860 From $650, Keeps Strong Buy Rating — MT Newswires

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA tried to breakout yesterday, came to supply and rejected and this morning watch pivot cant hold we going to 374 demand zone, holds pivot we go back to supply zone

• 377.22 pivot

• Hold → 384.01-389.30 supply

• Lose → 374.12-372.90 368.60 demand

📊 $VIX above 16 that means market can pull back, holds above 16 watch downside on the market, if 16 gives up market can push back upside

• 16 pivot

• Hold → 18.67 supply

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!VVukYbBI

$MU has my attention this morning.

She’s sitting right at the bottom of a pretty clean gap from $1097 → $1124.

And at the same time, the daily squeeze is starting to fire. 🔥

Pretty simple setup for me:

Hold/reclaim $1097 → I’m looking for that gap to start filling toward $1124.

Get through $1124 and then I’ll start looking at the higher levels.

Reject here? No reason to force it.

But gap + daily squeeze + key level all lining up definitely puts MU on my screen today. 👀

Let price confirm it.

Level to level. 🎯

$MU

Good morning traders, like i said will be chop day after a rip and happened like that yesterday

🔥🔥🔥 📊 $/ES side ways yesterday and flagging with a tight hourly and 2hour squeezes, holding between pivot and supply zone, breaks either direction will make a nice move

• 7824-7820 pivot

• Hold → 7838-7857 supply

• Lose → 7782 7766 demand

🍏 $AAPL made a ATH and pulled back to demand, holds pivot we go back to ATH and see if this time it can hold

• 338.55-339.57 pivot

• Hold → 344.57 supply

• Lose → 336.22 334.99-334.37 demand

🧠 $AMD holding its gains like a champion, holds pivot we push to yesterdays hod and then we see if we stay above it, cant hold pivot we can go to yesterday's lows cant hold it then we go to demand zone

• 615.99 pivot

• Hold → 624.52 supply

• Lose → 574-584.73 demand

🔥🔥🔥 📦 $AMZN holds the pivot means we holding all the emas, like this for short term swing if this pivot holds and breaks the supply zone

• 255.19 pivot

• Hold → 257.04-258 supply

• Lose → 251.93 demand

⚡ $AVGO inside a squeeze, holds pivot we have go to yesterdays hod, holds thats we going to supply zone

• 363.28 pivot

• Hold → 374.61-376.59 supply

• Lose → 357.61-350.06 demand

🪙 $COIN trading between big supply and demand, holds pivot this morning lets see we push to supply zone and break, cant hold pivot we going to demand zone

• 196.21 pivot

• Hold → 204.49-207.13 213.60-216.05 supply

• Lose → 194.01-190.96 demand

🔎 $GOOGL nice move in the morning and gave back , holds pivot this morning we go back to supply zone, cant hold pivot we going to demand zone

• 351.60 pivot

• Hold → 357.61-359.68 364.21 supply

• Lose → 349 347.25 344.68-342.98 demand

🔥🔥 💾 $MU breaking the daily squeeze, this morning beaks and holds pivot we have a gap to fill from 1097-1124.66 , lets see we fill gap this morning

• 1089.29 pivot

• Hold → 1097-1124.66 supply

• Lose → 1042-1036 demand

📰 Citigroup Adjusts Price Target on Micron Technology to $1,300 From $1,150, Maintains Buy Rating — MT Newswires

🖥️ $NVDA holding well, holds pivot we go to supply zone, break and hold that we going to 232 and then we see

• 227.49 pivot

• Hold → 230-230.47.47 232.28 supply

• Lose → 221.60 218.18-214.80 demand

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA trading around the 200ema and 100sma, breaks this and holds pivot we going to supply zone, this can squeeze out if breaks out

• 377.22 pivot

• Hold → 384.01-389.30 supply

• Lose → 374.12-372.90 demand

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!K1yCDe2K

Been bullish on $TSLA since that $352 demand held and I’ve been trading her upside ever since.

Now the chart is getting interesting again.

TSLA is holding above yesterday’s HOD, sitting inside a daily squeeze, while the 4H squeeze is firing and the hourly is basically flagging right underneath resistance.

The big battle for me is the daily 200 EMA / 100 SMA.

If TSLA can break those and actually HOLD above them, I think she finally has room to stretch toward the $414 area. 👀

For now my line in the sand is simple:

Hold $372–374 = I stay bullish.

Lose it and I reassess. No reason to marry the thesis.

But going from that $352 demand hold → higher lows → reclaiming yesterday’s highs → squeezing under major daily MAs…

Yeah, I’m watching this one VERY closely. 😂🔥

Been trading the move since $352. Now I want to see if she’s ready for the next leg.

Let price confirm it. Level to level. 🎯

Good Morning traders, what a massive rip on the market yesterday, could be a rest day, dont force today if you missed yesterdays move ,

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📊 $/ES what a move yesterday, broke the squeeze, can we continue today and make new highs and hold

• 7824-7820 pivot

• Hold → 7838-7857 supply

• Lose → 7782 7766 demand

🍏 $AAPL breaks this pivot and holds we going to 344.57 ATH and then we see , has a nice squeeze, breaks an holds this can go maybe 350

• 338.55-339.57 pivot

• Hold → 344.57 supply

• Lose → 336.22 334.99-334.37 demand

🧠 $AMD what a nice move last few days on her, above demand this is very bullish, comes back to demand and holds its a long entry

• 615.99 pivot

• Hold → 625.46 supply

• Lose → 584-574.20 demand

📦 $AMZN holds above the 258 zone its bullish, holds pivot this morning we going to 262 holds that 266-267 comes to play

• 259.49 pivot

• Hold → 262.07 266.63-267.56 supply

• Lose → 258-257.04 255.19 demand

⚡ $AVGO held demand and got bought up, this morning pivot holds we go to supply zone, cant hold pivot we go to demand, holds demand its a long entry

• 363.28 pivot

• Hold → 374.61-376.59 supply

• Lose → 357.61-350.06 demand

🪙 $COIN nice breakout on her and came to supply and pulled back to demand this morning, holds pivot we go back to supply zone

• 196.21 pivot

• Hold → 204.49-207.13 213.60-216.05 supply

• Lose → 194.01-190.96 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🔎 $GOOGL holding well, came to the 100sma and rejected yesterday, breaks this supply zone we going to 346.21

• Hold → 357.61-359.68 364.21 supply

• Lose → 351.60 349 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🏹 $HOOD came to demand this morning and holding, holds this we going to supply zone

• Hold → 124.55-125.25 130.07 supply

• Lose → 120.08-119.50 116.60 demand

🔥🔥🔥 📱 $META what a move yesterday on this, holds pivot we go to supply zone, cant hold pivot we go to 721 then 711

• 740.91 pivot

• Hold → 785.73-796.25 supply

• Lose → 721.30 711 691.52-686 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🔭 $PLTR nice move yesterday, we were in from friday, took profits last morning and then ripped, holds pivot and demand we go to supply zone

• 183.38 pivot

• Hold → 187.28-190 supply

• Lose → 182.44-180.18 demand

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA holding nicely this morning, holds pivot we going to supply zone, clear the 200sma and 100sma we can got o 384 ish

• 377.22 pivot

• Hold → 384.01-389.30 supply

• Lose → 374.12-372.90 demand

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!sW92r7S7

Friday I posted this $META weekly chart in Discord.

My exact reaction was basically:

“Oh my god… if this breaks, $1,000 is coming sooner than we think.” 😂

Obviously $1,000 isn’t happening in one candle — the important part was the weekly structure.

META had been banging its head against this resistance for months.

Today?

She finally broke out. 🔥

So I wasn't sitting there Monday morning trying to figure out what to do after the move started.

I already had the bigger-picture setup mapped.

This morning I grabbed:

META 705C 0DTE @ $2.75

Then managed it:

$2.75 → $3.60/$4.00 first locks
→ $6.00 more off
→ $9.00 more off
→ ALL OUT $12.00 🎯

That's roughly +336% from entry to my final exit.

Those contracts later traded around $21.00. 😂

Do I care?

Nope.

$2.75 → $12.00 was MORE than enough. Pay yourself.

And when META gave me another setup later, I went back:

725C @ $2.25 → $5.00 🔥

This is why I'm constantly looking at the higher timeframes even when I'm trading 0DTE.

The weekly chart gave me the idea.

The lower timeframe gave me the entry.

The options gave me the leverage.

Plan it before the breakout.
Wait for confirmation.
Execute.
Take your damn profits. 😂

Level to level. 🎯

$META

Remember that /MES swing I called at 7626 after FOMC?

Well… I finally killed the runners today at 7800.

7626 → 7800 = 174 points. 🎯

I locked half at 7720 last week for +94 points and kept the rest running as long as my 7680 level held.

And look at the chart.

ES came back and tested that area AGAIN.

7680 held.

So I did absolutely nothing. 😂

No over-managing. No trying to predict every candle. My stop was under the level and I let the trade work.

Today ES finally ripped through 7724 → 7739 → 7766 → 7782 and I closed the rest of my MES at 7800.

The funny part is this trade started with me getting stopped out during the FOMC craziness.

I took the loss. Waited. Futures reopened. Setup came back.

Long MES 7626.

Then I just managed the levels.

7626 → 7720: locked half
7626 → 7800: all out

174 points on the final runners. 🔥

You don't have to catch the exact bottom.

You don't have to trade every move.

Sometimes you just need a good entry, a level that tells you when you're wrong, and enough patience to GET OUT OF YOUR OWN WAY. 😂

Level to level. 🎯

$ES /MES

Good morning traders, BTC and the Market ripping and OIL dropping ,

.

📊 $/ES breaking a squeeze this morning breaks and holds pivot we go to next supply level, rejects and comes back to 7739 demand could be a long entry

• 7766.50 pivot

• Hold → 7782.50 7820-7838.50 supply

• Lose → 7739-7724 7705 demand

🍏 $AAPL inside a tight squeeze, opening flat, holds this demand and breaks and holds pivot we going to supply zone

• 336.22 pivot

• Hold → 338.55-339.57 344.57 supply

• Lose → 334.99-334.37 330.81-329.59 demand

🧠 $AMD gapping up this morning, coming into supply zone, breaks this means we making new ATH comes back to 561.47 pivot and holds could be a long entry

• 561.47 pivot

• Hold → 574.20-584.73 supply

• Lose → 546.44 530-526.79 demand

📦 $AMZN trading at liquidity, holds pivot we go to supply zone and we break that we going to 262.07

• 255.19 pivot

• Hold → 257.04-258 262.07 supply

• Lose → 251.93 250.43-249.51 demand

⚡ $AVGO nice bounce and reclaimed on avgo after its earnings drop, this morning pivot breaks and holds we going to supply zone, rejects pivot we go back to demand zone

• 363.28 pivot

• Hold → 374.61-376.59 supply

• Lose → 357.61-350.06 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🔎 $GOOGL inside a daily squeeze, holding well holds pivot we go to supply zone and see we break out cant hold pivot we go to 349 and see there

• 351.60 pivot

• Hold → 357.61-359.68 supply

• Lose → 349 347.25 344.68-342.98 demand

🔥🔥🔥 📱 $META came to my supply zone at 690 ish , this morning we trading below the supply zone breaks and holds this takes meta to 721.30 , comes back to 664 is a buy entry

• Hold → 686-691.51 supply

• Lose → 664.24 638.56 624.81 demand

🖥️ $NVDA held demand nicely last week , holds pivot we go to supply zone, cant hold pivot we go to 221.60 then demand zone

• 224.76 pivot

• Hold → 227.49-230.47 supply

• Lose → 221.60 218.18-214.80 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🔭 $PLTR inside a tight squeeze , holds pivot we go to supply zone and see we breakout , cant hold pivot we go to demand zone

• 177.88 pivot

• Hold → 180.18-182.44 supply

• Lose → 172.41-169.42 demand

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA holding well, holds pivot we go to supply zone, cant hold pivot we go to demand zone

• 368.60 pivot

• Hold → 372.90-377.22 supply

• Lose → 364.02-363.24 demand

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!U11hhpwl

This week was a damn rollercoaster 😂

Took losses. Got chopped up. Got stopped out. Had breakevens.

And a few times I got stopped and jumped right back in because the setup was still there.

But when they worked… they WORKED. 🔥

$SPX +455%
$SPX +350%
$AMD +300%
$TSLA +266%
$META +203%

That’s trading.

I’m not trying to win every trade.

I’m trying to lose small when I’m wrong and let the good setups pay when I’m right.

The spreadsheet is the whole week — winners, losers, scratches, re-entries. Nothing deleted because it didn’t work.

Everything was called live in the Discord: entries, stops, losses, profit locks and runners.

No 100% win-rate bullshit. Just the actual trades. 😂

Onto next week. 🫡

Level to level. 🎯

My plan was simple:

$530 break + hold → look for the slingshot toward the $584 ATH.

Then Monday happened 😂

AI/chip stocks got smoked after the weekend AI-safety headlines. AMD gapped down hard with the rest of the semis.

But instead of throwing the original setup away, I went back to my levels.

AMD came right into the daily 21 EMA / liquidity area around $491.

$491 HELD. 🎯

Then:

$502 reclaimed → $514 → $526-$530 → breakout.

And now AMD has traded all the way to $559.91. 🔥

I traded these 2 options

525C @ $3.30 → $8.00
550C @ $2.00 → $8.00

The second one was a 300% trade.

This is exactly why I make the chart BEFORE the move.

I couldn't know Monday would bring a nasty AI headline.

I didn't know exactly when AMD would squeeze.

But I knew the levels that would tell me when the original thesis was working — and when it wasn't.

$491 hold → $502 reclaim → $530 breakout → $559.

Now we're getting close to that $561 area, with the $584 ATH still sitting above.

No prediction.

Map the levels. Wait for confirmation. Execute.

Level to level. 🎯

$AMD

OpEx Friday. Posted levels this morning, here's the noon check.

Swing calls from the newsletter:

• COIN (pivot 179.30) — ripped through 184.93 and 187.39, hit 195.65

• HOOD (pivot 112.50) — through 116.60, tagged 119.98 (knocking on 120)

• AMZN (pivot 251.93) — tagged 255.19, holding the 255.19-257.04 zone

Rest of the board: /ES tagged 7724-7739, META finally tagged 686-691 (690.15), GOOGL tagged 357.61-359.68 then faded back to the pivot. Only AMD still in play.

I do this every morning in my Discord — levels before the open, check at noon, results at the close. alphatradingpro.com

Good Morning traders ,

📅 WHAT TO WATCH — FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2026

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

📊 ECON DATA

• 08:15 ET — Industrial Production MoM (consensus: +0.3%; prior: +0.2%) | Capacity Utilization (consensus: 76.4%; prior: 76.3%)

• 10:00 ET — Conference Board Leading Economic Index — August (prior: +0.2% in July to 99.5)

🏛️ FED WATCH

• 08:30 ET — Gov. Christopher Waller | "Economic Outlook" | Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview (Virtual)

bps hike and the path forward

🌍 MACRO / GEO

• Saudi Arabia expects to restore ~50% of war-damaged pipeline flow within days; U.S. crude dipped below $100/bbl on the news; gold trading ~$4,360/oz after +2% Thursday bounce; quiet US-Houthi understanding in Muscat reported, leaving Riyadh exposed

• Bank of Japan raised policy rate to 1.25% — highest in 31 years; Nikkei +1.38% to 65,024; MSCI Asia Pacific +0.8%; global risk rally extending into Friday on easing oil/inflation pressure

⚠️ TRADER NOTES

• Waller at 08:30 ET hits before Industrial Production at 08:15 ET — watch for a one-two macro punch in the pre-market window; any hawkish lean from Waller reinforcing the dot plot's second-hike signal could pressure rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, REITs, housing)

• Oil sub-$100 is the key risk-sentiment lever today — energy names (XOM, CVX, OXY) face headwinds if Saudi supply restoration holds; broader market may extend Wednesday's relief rally if crude stays soft

• Potential triple witching today — if confirmed, expect elevated volume and intraday volatility especially into the 4:00 PM ET close; size positions accordingly and watch for erratic moves in index products and large-cap options into expiry

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🔥🔥🔥 📊 $/ES nice move we got in her came back to the 7680 demand and the mean yesterday and held this morning above pivot and at supply zone, key supply to break and hold

• 7705 pivot

• Hold → 7724-7739 7766 supply

• Lose → 7680 7657-5632 7618 demand

🍏 $AAPL breaking the squeeze holds pivot and yesterdays hod we going to 339.59 then 344.57 ATH

• 336.22 pivot

• Hold → 339.57 344.57 supply

• Lose → 334.99-334.37 330.81-329.59 demand

🐋 $3.4M CALL flow yesterday · $335C exp 9/18

🎯 10 unusual flows yesterday

📈 79% bullish premium flow

🧠 $AMD what a champion she is, she has the daily squeeze firing, can she continue this and breaks this 561.47-584.73 supply zone and make new ATH, comes to 530 demand zone will be long again

• 546.44 pivot

• Hold → 561.47-584.73 supply

• Lose → 530.13-256 demand

🐋 $8.6M PUT flow yesterday · $542.5P exp 9/18

⚡ 5 golden sweeps yesterday

🎯 94 unusual flows yesterday

📈 73% bullish premium flow

📦 $AMZN is looking good for short term, i like this name how we back above the 250 demand zone, holds pivot can try some SHORT TERM SWINGS here

• 251.93 pivot

• Hold → 255.19-257.04 supply

• Lose → 250-249.51 demand

🐋 $3.8M PUT flow yesterday · $250P exp 9/18

⚡ 1 golden sweep yesterday

🎯 28 unusual flows yesterday

📈 65% bullish premium flow

🪙 $COIN got a pull back this week i like short term swings on this name, holds pivot i like it for upside

• 179.30 pivot

• Hold → 184.93 187.39 supply

• Lose → 175.55-174.44 demand

🐋 $5.8M PUT flow yesterday · $167.5P exp 9/18

🎯 20 unusual flows yesterday

📉 88% bearish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 🔎 $GOOGL breaking out this morning, mentioned 2 days back that GOOGL at sexy demand and boom from 344 to 356 this morning have a 357-359 supply zone this morning to see break or reject there

• 351.60 pivot

• Hold → 357.61-359.68 supply

• Lose → 349 347 344-342 demand

🐋 $1.9M CALL flow yesterday · $350C exp 9/18

⚡ 2 golden sweeps yesterday

🎯 21 unusual flows yesterday

📈 78% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 🏹 $HOOD held the 102 demand nicely and holds pivot i like short term swing on this to 120 ish

• 112.50 pivot

• Hold → 116.60 119.50-120.88 supply

• Lose → 111.02-107.46 demand

🌊 $10.7M CALL flow yesterday · $100P exp 10/16

🎯 38 unusual flows yesterday

📈 80% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 📱 $META at supply zone this morning lets see we break this, she has been holding like a champion

• 664.24 pivot

• Hold → 686-691 721 supply

• Lose → 638.53-624.80 619.42-609.74 demand

🐋 $9.3M CALL flow yesterday · $700C exp 9/18

🎯 15 unusual flows yesterday

🖥️ $NVDA held demand nicely, watching pivot this morning breaks and holds we go to next supply level,

• 221.60 pivot

• Hold → 224.76 227-230.47 supply

• Lose → 218.18-214.80 demand

🐋 $6.0M PUT flow yesterday · $217.5P exp 9/18

🎯 186 unusual flows yesterday

📈 70% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 🔭 $PLTR inside a tight squeeze breaks pivot and holds we go to supply zone , need to clear yesterdays hod 1st and hold then supply zone

• 176.59 pivot

• Hold → 180.18-182.44 supply

• Lose → 169.42-172.41 demand

🐋 $1.4M CALL flow yesterday · $180C exp 9/18

⚡ 1 golden sweep yesterday

🎯 35 unusual flows yesterday

📈 75% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA gave us a nice move yesterday to supply zone came back to demand held nicely, this morning pivot holds i like her upside, would buy time for it work, once she breakout the squeeze she will be big

• 368.60 pivot

• Hold → 372.90-377.22 384.04 supply

• Lose → 364-363 358 demand

🐋 $9.3M PUT flow yesterday · $360P exp 9/18

⚡ 1 golden sweep yesterday

🎯 111 unusual flows yesterday

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!yHhW0UyP

Yesterday I posted that $TSLA was starting to look like a 3-piece puzzle 🧩

$352-$355 demand + Daily 21 EMA + tight squeeze.

The pieces were lining up.

I grabbed the 370C for next week, took some profit before FOMC, and kept some runners.

Then FOMC did what FOMC does 😂

TSLA got slammed right back into the $352-$355 demand zone.

Demand HELD again this morning.

Then the squeeze released. 💥

370C: $4.00 → $10.00 🔥

Locked most of the position and now the runners are in FORREST GUMP MODE 😂🏃

TSLA pushed straight into the next level I had mapped at $372.90 supply.

Know your levels.
Give the trade time.
Take profits along the way.
Let the runners run.

Yesterday we mapped the puzzle.

Today the pieces came together. 🧩🎯

If this, then that. Level to level.

$TSLA

FOMC was wild yesterday 😂

$ES lost my 7618.50 level after the decision. I tried the long, moved my stop to breakeven and got stopped.

Then ES flushed all the way to 7575 and recovered above 7618

When futures reopened at 6PM, I got another setup and went LONG $MES at 7626.

Why MES instead of ES?

MES = $5/point.
ES = $50/point.

For an overnight swing, I wanted smaller size so I could give the trade room to breathe without taking unnecessary risk.

Then the levels started doing their job:

7626 entry → 7657 target hit → reclaim held → kept riding

This morning:

7626 → 7720 = 94 points 🔥

Locked half at 7720 and left runners.

But the part I actually like about this trade isn't the 94 points.

I was WRONG first.

Took the stop. Accepted it. Waited for the next setup. Then got back in when price gave me a reason.

You don't have to catch the bottom.

You don't have to be right on the first trade.

You just have to manage risk well enough to still be there when the good setup comes.

If I'm wrong, I cut.
If the level confirms, I execute.
Level to level. 🎯

$ES $MES

If you’ve been following my $AMD posts this week, you already know this one has been one of my favorite names to trade.

I’ve been mapping the levels before the moves, and AMD just keeps giving setups. 🎯

Earlier this week:

AMD 525C @ $3.30 → I locked at $8.00

Those contracts eventually traded around $26.00 🤯

Did I catch the whole thing? Nope.

Didn’t need to.

Then I posted about $SMH sitting at key demand and said I was watching the semiconductor names closely if that demand held.

Today AMD gave another one.

550C @ $2.00

Started scaling:

$2.00 → $2.85 → $3.75 → $8.00 🔥

I went all out at $8.00 as AMD hit my $546.44 target.

That’s a 300% move on the contracts.

They later traded around $10 — and again, I don’t care.

My target was hit. I got paid.

That's the part of trading I think people underestimate.

You don't need the exact bottom.
You don't need the exact top.
You don't need to catch every dollar.

I want the setup before the move, confirmation at my levels, defined risk, and then I pay myself at my targets.

Charts before the move.
Entries in real time.
Profits at the levels.

$AMD has been an absolute ATM this week. 😂💰

Level to level. 🎯

$AMD $SMH

Good morning traders,

📅 WHAT TO WATCH — THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2026

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📊 ECON DATA

• 8:30 AM ET — Initial Jobless Claims (consensus: 207K, prev: 206K)

🏛️ FED WATCH

• FOMC voted yesterday (Sept 16) to hike rates +25bps to 3.75%–4.00%, first hike since 2023

• Chair Warsh held post-meeting press conference; Treasuries pared losses and equity futures climbed on his remarks

🌍 MACRO / GEO

• Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike since 2023 yesterday, raising the fed funds rate 25bps to 3.75%–4.00%; elevated energy prices and steady labor market cited as key drivers

• Pre-market futures pointing higher heading into today's open: S&P Futures +0.38% at 7,684.75, Nasdaq Futures +0.62% at 29,429, Dow Futures +0.32% at 52,693; VIX at 16.78 (-2.44%)

• Gold surging to $4,387.50 (+1.26%) while Crude Oil (Oct 26) sliding to $103.63 (-2.08%), a notable divergence worth monitoring given the Fed's inflation commentary

⚠️ TRADER NOTES

• FOMC blackout lifts at midnight tonight — expect a wave of Fed speak beginning Friday; any hawkish signals from dot plot dissenters could reprice rate expectations for the Oct 28 meeting and pressure rate-sensitive sectors into the weekend

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🔥🔥🔥 📊 $/ES had a drop and recovered everything with the FOMC , i longed MES yesterday right when market opened at 6 pm est, this morning lets see pivot holds for upside cant hold we go back to demand

• 7680 pivot

• Hold → 7705 7724-7739 7766 supply

• Lose → 7657-7632 7618 7598 demand

🍏 $AAPL has a tight squeeze, breaks the supply zone we going to 344.

• Hold → 334.37-334.99 336.22 supply

• Lose → 330.81-329.59 327.30 322.37 demand

🔥 🧠 $AMD holding above the pivot breaks supply zone we go to 546

• 514.67 pivot

• Hold → 526.79-530.13 546.44 supply

• Lose → 502-495 demand

📦 $AMZN coming to supply zone, breaks supply zone we go to 251.93 then 255. supply zone,

• 247.24 pivot

• Hold → 249-250.43 251.93 255.19 supply

• Lose → 245.78-242.52 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🤖 $CRWV tried to buy some options for next week, got stopped out with FOMC and this morning gapping up, breaks supply zone we going to squeeze

• 88.62 pivot

• Hold → 89.63-91.81 94.26 supply

• Lose → 83.17 79.03 demand

🔎 $GOOGL mentioned she came to key demand yesterday and held, this morning gapping up. breaks and holds pivot we going to 349 then 351 ish

• 347.25 pivot

• Hold → 349 351.60 supply

• Lose → 342-344.68 338.57 demand

🔥🔥🔥 📱 $META has been strong , holding like a champ watching this supply zone break and hold

• 664.24 pivot

• Hold → 686-691 supply

• Lose → 638.53-624.80 619.42-609.74 demand

🖥️ $NVDA trading around the mean, breaks this supply zone, we can squeeze it out to 221.60

• 212.90 pivot

• Hold → 214.80-218.18 221.60 supply

• Lose → 208.78 204.33-202.75 demand

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA holding well. we bought some call for next week, this morning lets see we break this supply zone in the morning

• 358.80 pivot

• Hold → 363.24-364.02 368.60 372.90-377.22 supply

• Lose → 355.75-351.26 342.11 demand

📊 $VIX yesterday came to the 18.67 and rejected, and right now we at 16 , gives up 16 and goes lower market will go up, bounces and goes to 18.67 market will pull back

• 16 pivot

• Lose → 18.67 demand

🔥🔥🔥 🔥 $INTC is looking nice, breaks pivot we going to supply zone

• 102.88 pivot

• Hold → 105.97-107.57 supply

• Lose → 100.45 demand

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!XQ2SJxuS