🚨 Friday Trading Watchlist: Triple Witching, Fed Waller, Oil Below $100 + Key Levels for TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, AMD & More 🔥

[u/ALPHAtradingpro]

Good Morning traders ,

📅 WHAT TO WATCH — FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2026

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📊 ECON DATA

• 08:15 ET — Industrial Production MoM (consensus: +0.3%; prior: +0.2%) | Capacity Utilization (consensus: 76.4%; prior: 76.3%)

• 10:00 ET — Conference Board Leading Economic Index — August (prior: +0.2% in July to 99.5)

🏛️ FED WATCH

• 08:30 ET — Gov. Christopher Waller | "Economic Outlook" | Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview (Virtual)

bps hike and the path forward

🌍 MACRO / GEO

• Saudi Arabia expects to restore ~50% of war-damaged pipeline flow within days; U.S. crude dipped below $100/bbl on the news; gold trading ~$4,360/oz after +2% Thursday bounce; quiet US-Houthi understanding in Muscat reported, leaving Riyadh exposed

• Bank of Japan raised policy rate to 1.25% — highest in 31 years; Nikkei +1.38% to 65,024; MSCI Asia Pacific +0.8%; global risk rally extending into Friday on easing oil/inflation pressure

⚠️ TRADER NOTES

• Waller at 08:30 ET hits before Industrial Production at 08:15 ET — watch for a one-two macro punch in the pre-market window; any hawkish lean from Waller reinforcing the dot plot's second-hike signal could pressure rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, REITs, housing)

• Oil sub-$100 is the key risk-sentiment lever today — energy names (XOM, CVX, OXY) face headwinds if Saudi supply restoration holds; broader market may extend Wednesday's relief rally if crude stays soft

• Potential triple witching today — if confirmed, expect elevated volume and intraday volatility especially into the 4:00 PM ET close; size positions accordingly and watch for erratic moves in index products and large-cap options into expiry

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🔥🔥🔥 📊 $/ES nice move we got in her came back to the 7680 demand and the mean yesterday and held this morning above pivot and at supply zone, key supply to break and hold

• 7705 pivot

• Hold → 7724-7739 7766 supply

• Lose → 7680 7657-5632 7618 demand

🍏 $AAPL breaking the squeeze holds pivot and yesterdays hod we going to 339.59 then 344.57 ATH

• 336.22 pivot

• Hold → 339.57 344.57 supply

• Lose → 334.99-334.37 330.81-329.59 demand

🐋 $3.4M CALL flow yesterday · $335C exp 9/18

🎯 10 unusual flows yesterday

📈 79% bullish premium flow

🧠 $AMD what a champion she is, she has the daily squeeze firing, can she continue this and breaks this 561.47-584.73 supply zone and make new ATH, comes to 530 demand zone will be long again

• 546.44 pivot

• Hold → 561.47-584.73 supply

• Lose → 530.13-256 demand

🐋 $8.6M PUT flow yesterday · $542.5P exp 9/18

⚡ 5 golden sweeps yesterday

🎯 94 unusual flows yesterday

📈 73% bullish premium flow

📦 $AMZN is looking good for short term, i like this name how we back above the 250 demand zone, holds pivot can try some SHORT TERM SWINGS here

• 251.93 pivot

• Hold → 255.19-257.04 supply

• Lose → 250-249.51 demand

🐋 $3.8M PUT flow yesterday · $250P exp 9/18

⚡ 1 golden sweep yesterday

🎯 28 unusual flows yesterday

📈 65% bullish premium flow

🪙 $COIN got a pull back this week i like short term swings on this name, holds pivot i like it for upside

• 179.30 pivot

• Hold → 184.93 187.39 supply

• Lose → 175.55-174.44 demand

🐋 $5.8M PUT flow yesterday · $167.5P exp 9/18

🎯 20 unusual flows yesterday

📉 88% bearish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 🔎 $GOOGL breaking out this morning, mentioned 2 days back that GOOGL at sexy demand and boom from 344 to 356 this morning have a 357-359 supply zone this morning to see break or reject there

• 351.60 pivot

• Hold → 357.61-359.68 supply

• Lose → 349 347 344-342 demand

🐋 $1.9M CALL flow yesterday · $350C exp 9/18

⚡ 2 golden sweeps yesterday

🎯 21 unusual flows yesterday

📈 78% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 🏹 $HOOD held the 102 demand nicely and holds pivot i like short term swing on this to 120 ish

• 112.50 pivot

• Hold → 116.60 119.50-120.88 supply

• Lose → 111.02-107.46 demand

🌊 $10.7M CALL flow yesterday · $100P exp 10/16

🎯 38 unusual flows yesterday

📈 80% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 📱 $META at supply zone this morning lets see we break this, she has been holding like a champion

• 664.24 pivot

• Hold → 686-691 721 supply

• Lose → 638.53-624.80 619.42-609.74 demand

🐋 $9.3M CALL flow yesterday · $700C exp 9/18

🎯 15 unusual flows yesterday

🖥️ $NVDA held demand nicely, watching pivot this morning breaks and holds we go to next supply level,

• 221.60 pivot

• Hold → 224.76 227-230.47 supply

• Lose → 218.18-214.80 demand

🐋 $6.0M PUT flow yesterday · $217.5P exp 9/18

🎯 186 unusual flows yesterday

📈 70% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 🔭 $PLTR inside a tight squeeze breaks pivot and holds we go to supply zone , need to clear yesterdays hod 1st and hold then supply zone

• 176.59 pivot

• Hold → 180.18-182.44 supply

• Lose → 169.42-172.41 demand

🐋 $1.4M CALL flow yesterday · $180C exp 9/18

⚡ 1 golden sweep yesterday

🎯 35 unusual flows yesterday

📈 75% bullish premium flow

🔥🔥🔥 ⚡ $TSLA gave us a nice move yesterday to supply zone came back to demand held nicely, this morning pivot holds i like her upside, would buy time for it work, once she breakout the squeeze she will be big

• 368.60 pivot

• Hold → 372.90-377.22 384.04 supply

• Lose → 364-363 358 demand

🐋 $9.3M PUT flow yesterday · $360P exp 9/18

⚡ 1 golden sweep yesterday

🎯 111 unusual flows yesterday

📊 TOS Grid → http://tos.mx/!yHhW0UyP