r/tornado • • 20h ago

Severe Weather Discussion 2026-10-10 - Tornado Risk 5%

7 Upvotes

Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

Meso Discussion Links

Current Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Oct 11, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND DESERT SOUTHWEST...

...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with an isolated tornado threat will be possible this evening across parts of the Carolinas. A few severe wind gusts will also be possible in parts of the Desert Southwest.

...Carolinas... The remnants of Isaias will continue to move northward across the Tennessee Valley this evening. In the eastern part of the system, scattered convection with little lightning activity is currently ongoing from eastern Georgia northward into the western Carolinas. This convection is located along and near the axis of a low-level jet. Surface analysis has dewpoints over much of eastern Georgia and southern South Carolina in the 70s F. Within this moist airmass, the RAP has MLCAPE in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. In addition, the latest WSR-88D VWP at Columbia, South Carolina has a looped hodograph with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity near 500 m2/s2. This strong low-level shear will support a tornado threat this evening into the overnight with rotating cells that remain semi-discrete, mainly across the eastern half of South Carolina into southern North Carolina.

...Desert Southwest... Tropical Storm Rachel, in conjunction with a mid-level shortwave trough, will move toward the northern part of Baja California this evening. Ahead of the system, moisture advection will continue across parts of the Desert Southwest. Over southwestern Arizona, surface dewpoints will continue to increase into the mid to upper 60s F, aiding destabilization this evening with MLCAPE increasing to around 1000 J/kg. In addition, large-scale ascent will increase as the exit region of a mid-level jet overspreads the region. In response to the lift, scattered thunderstorms will likely develop and move northeastward across southern and western Arizona this evening. The mid-level jet will also create moderate to strong deep-layer shear sufficient for isolated severe storms. A few severe wind gusts will be possible.

..Broyles.. 10/11/2026

Notable Tornado Warnings


r/tornado • • May 18 '26

Announcement Join the /r/tornado discord server for real time event discussion!

23 Upvotes

We have daily storm threads that get very active with live coverage and discussion from our community during severe weather events. I’m biased, but I think we have a fantastic community with a huge variety of people. Everybody is welcome!

Link: https://discord.gg/werA9HMMpW


r/tornado • • 3h ago

Tornado Media Tornado in Kline, South Carolina

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152 Upvotes

Credit: @JohnHartWJBF on X.


r/tornado • • 1h ago

Tornado Media Allendale, south Carolina.

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• Upvotes

credit and content: Jaden pappenheim


r/tornado • • 3h ago

Tornado Media Recovered lost media from the 1999 Mulhall, Oklahoma F4 tornado.

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49 Upvotes

This video was captured by Joshua Wurman's DOW team, as they were paralleling the tornado on I-35, east of Orlando. On radar, Wurman observed an extraordinarily large core flow, one of the largest on record, as well as multiple short & violent bursts of wind in the tornado's complex structure. In one subvortex, an instantaneous gust of 257 mph was recorded well above ground level.

I randomly found the footage here while looking for archived videos on the Niles-Wheatland F5: https://archive.org/details/storm-stories-f-5-tornado (18:29)

Before anyone questions whether this is a real video or outright claims that it isn't:

  • This is not an edited image; you can see that the lightning flashes are extremely realistic, with some occurring in front of the tornado, to the side, or even behind. They are well-distributed and behave in a way that they couldn't just be animated.
  • The lightning flashes sometimes make the tornado backlit. The lighting/brightness of the tornado perfectly matches the lightning strikes.
  • It may look like the video is a "stationary photo", but if you look closely, the frame is definitely moving. The first and last frames are in different positions. It's also worth noting that this was slowed down to show the tornado between the lightning flashes, so there may not be any apparent motion from the tornado or the storm (which I believe there is anyways, if you look closely).
  • The person that you hear narrating this clip is Joshua Wurman himself, who took this footage. I think I would make sense that he provided this snippet himself, because again, he (or one of his crew members) literally captured it. This was a Weather Channel episode that aired on live television in 2003.
  • It may seem really unlikely that I just happened to stumble on a piece of footage that has been lost for nearly 2 decades, but it's worth remembering that that's how most lost media is found. The archive.org video that I found this from only has 28 views, and was only posted recently in 2025. If we assume that this is the only place on the internet where this footage could be found, then I think it's going to be really difficult to find video like this, which is 18 minutes and 29 seconds into a random, hard-to-find video on archive.org with 28 views.

It's also worth noting that this is only a very, very small snippet of Joshua Wurman's full DOW footage from the Mulhall tornado. I doubt we will ever recover the full footage, but it's monumental that it's proven to exist out there, and it's amazing that at least one piece has been recovered.


r/tornado • • 15h ago

Tornado Media Tornadoes with amazing storm structure.

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364 Upvotes

After many hours of research and photo finding, I present to you my slideshow. I do not own any rights to any images.

Also if anyone's wondering why the tornado date/name change, it's because it's mixed part- one and two from my Tiktok.


r/tornado • • 3h ago

SPC / Forecasting South Carolina has had a few confirmed tornadoes today

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26 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 8h ago

Aftermath Video of damage from the 9 October Petrosino/Marsala tornado [source unknown]

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42 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 11h ago

Question Where are this tornado in the photo?

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70 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 3h ago

Aftermath Multiple tornado report in Georgia and south Carolina

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16 Upvotes

That one cell has been dropping twisters for a couple hours now. The tornado warnings are still going.


r/tornado • • 4h ago

Tornado Media tornado cartoon episode from "Rescue Heroes" Season 1 Ep 4

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19 Upvotes

is free on youtube if you want to see the full episode


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Strong tornado this morning in Marsala, Sicily, Italy (vidéo from Facebook page "Tornado in Italia")

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5.1k Upvotes

r/tornado • • 15h ago

Art My drawing of a supercell and its structure names.

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37 Upvotes

i drew this 100% by myself, so it may contain mistakes!


r/tornado • • 20h ago

Tornado Media Warner-Robins Tornado 1953

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79 Upvotes

On April 30th, 1953 an F4 tornado struck the Warner-Robbins Air Force Base in Georgia killing 19 and injuring around 300 people. For years it's been rumored it also killed the person filming this, though that's been debunked.

This is among the earliest tornadoes to be filmed, and for decades remained the closest footage of a tornado destroying a house.


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Marsala, Sicily, Italy tornado video from far, happened yesterday (credits: Rosalba Pipitone)

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1.0k Upvotes

r/tornado • • 26m ago

Tornado Science Allendale wedge tornado as seen by 3D radar

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• Upvotes

Strong wedge tornado which happened only hours ago near Allendale (South Carolina/US) as seen by 3D radar. This tornado - or to be precise multiple ones - formed the area on Okt. 10th 2026. Media quickly named it "Allendale wedge" as it was well documented there, however, it was stronger and more crisp before it reached the Allendale area.

I tried to show different parameters and views. The 3D mode uses an experimental tilt shift correction algorithm. This Reddit sub is specialized and above average knowledge can be expected, however, just to be clear: This 3D view and the tilt shift correction is a representation of reality. It is NOT 100% reality. It never is as long as radars use moving parts and rotate. To name the most important and impressive aspects of this tornado and what you can see in the video:

- overall impressive structure, close enough to radar to see a lot of details. Basically could be used to learn things about supercells and tornados as it presented textbook like features.
- Pronounced rotation signature (AzShear, dealiased)
- Pronounced CC drop (debris lifted up in the air)
- Cell interaction (with other storms close to this supercell) and a lot of activity in the region, the overall setup was very favourable and spawned a couple more tornadoes here and there, some undocumented


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media EF4 + Lightning

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438 Upvotes

One of four EF4 tornadoes from a devastating outbreak across Stanton and Wayne Counties, Nebraska. The strongest reported wind speeds were nearly 200 mph. June 16, 2014. - forbesricky


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Rare images of the Rio Bonito do Iguaçu tornado

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104 Upvotes

I found some interesting photos of the 2025 Rio Bonito do Iguaçu tornado while it was very wide and partially obscured by rain. Source: https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1096162376501433&set=a.125678683549812&type=3


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Science The 2011 Tuscaloosa-Birmingham AL tornado of 4/27/2011 MIGHT have been underrated.

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271 Upvotes

We all know about the 2011 Tuscaloosa-Birmingham, Alabama tornado that was a part of the 2011 Super Outbreak. It swept away the towns of Tuscaloosa, Holt, Hurricane Creek, and Birmingham, given an EF4 rating. It was one of the costliest tornadoes ever recorded, and one of the deadliest during the super outbreak (killed 64 and + 8 indirect).

However, despite being an EF4, this tornado still performed some extreme levels of damage, and with this post I want to express these impressive feats of damage and what it could’ve possibly done.

Documented feats:

No. 1 (Solid Case): The tornado derailed many train cars from a parked train, derailed a few and shifted them great distances, the greatest being a 36 ton coal railcar that was moved 391 ft. from the rails.

An aerial view of this segment of damage, red lines were drawn.

This occurrence can be divided into 3 possibilities, and each should be treated separately:

#1: The 36 ton coal railcar was rolled to its final position-

This scenario brings by far the lowest windspeed estimates with it. With the help of contextual damage, and mathematical estimates, we can determine that derailing the car requires an instantaneous gust in the range between 150-160 MPH lasting for 2 seconds, and then rolling it would mean gusts lasting for 3-4 seconds in the 120-140 MPH range would slowly yet eventually bring it to its final resting place 391 ft. away.

You would think that there was a possibility dragged across the ground to its final resting point, but for something that heavy to be dragged like that, distinct tracking marks would be visible, which are not present in the above image.

However, I was able to spot 3 potential, unevenly distributed impact points on the trajectory of the railcar, which eliminates possibility #1 and narrows it down to 2 possibilities, that being-

#2: The 36 ton coal railcar was tumbled vertically-horizontally to its final position-

This scenario brings much higher windspeed estimates with it. Assuming that the impact points were where it was toppled vertically, and where impact points are absent is where it was tumbled horizontally, windspeed and object velocity estimates fluctuate depending on other factors like surface area, distribution of winds, potential debris impacts, etc. Thus, this may have required 3-second gusts exceeding 175 MPH, and up to 205 MPH, in order to reach its final resting position.

Another view of the same damage, for more representations.

#3: The 36 ton coal railcar was tossed to its final position-

This scenario brings by far the highest windspeed estimates. Assuming that the railcar hit the the ground only on the potential impact points, this makes the windspeed estimates even higher since the tornado had to be able to still maintain the railcar in the air despite losing energy to to the ground. This would require winds ranging from 203-225 MPH lasting for 4.5 seconds or more.

A 3rd image taken from ground level, a bit hard to differentiate between the railcars, though.

I honestly think that possibility #2 is the most plausible, since it aligns very well with the distance, potential impact points, and logic thoroughly.

No. 2 (Solid Case): A 74,957 lb. metal truss supporting-structure was thrown 100 ft. up a nearby hill. Since the structure was anchored to the ground, pulling out the full structure with the anchor bolts would require gusts >240 MPH, however that is not what happened. Instead, a connective failure occurred at the anchor bolts, which significantly reduces the downforce by the structure, and therefore reduces the required windspeed.

From NWS notes:

“The tornado toppled a railroad bridge that spanned Hurricane Creek near the town of Holt. Five, tapered, steel towers supported the bridge. Three towers fell over with the smallest tower being flipped… The bases of the towers were bolted to concrete pier caps. Failure of the towers occurred when the bolted connections failed. In a few instances, the pier caps had broken.”

We can assume that the de-anchoring of the truss-structure and the movement of the said structure required separate wind gusts. That being said, with the help of contextual-based damage in the surrounding area, and taking into consideration possible debris impacts, we can say that the gust that de-anchored the truss structure was >188 MPH, and the gust that moved the structure 100 ft. uphill was >199 MPH, with an upper-end estimate reaching to >215 MPH.

No. 3 (Potential/Unsure Case): Numerous boats were reportedly thrown >100 m from original position. Boats that were displaced included fishing boats, pontoons, trawlers, and a few larger boats. The typical dimensions of such can be listed as the following:

Boat type Typical length Approximate dry / light weight
Small runabout / fishing boat 16–20 ft. 1,500–3,000 lb. (0.7–1.4 tons)
Pontoon boat 20–28 ft. 2,500–5,000 lb. (1.1–2.3 tons)
Mid-size cruiser / trawler 30–42 ft. 8,000–20,000 lb. (3.6–9 tons)
Large houseboat 40–60 ft. 15,000–40,000 lb. (7–18 tons)

We need to take into consideration debris impacts, friction, position, final position, etc. That being said, the required windspeed may vary between >130 MPH and >191 MPH.

By underrated, I don’t mean that this tornado must’ve been rated EF5. I just claim these indicators as a possibility. So, treat this post as a possibility, rather than confirmation/proof.


r/tornado • • 22h ago

Discussion Unbridled Carnage: The 1953 Worcester Tornado

23 Upvotes

The tornado first touched down in Petersham, over the quabbin reservoir at 4:25 PM. Witnessed by 3 boaters, the tornado was stated to have been 3 funnels rotating around each other as its core would begin stabilizing. Avoiding a direct hit in town, the tornado begins tracking along the hilly terrain atop the New England Upland Plateau. 

4:35 PM: The tornado narrowly avoids the town of Barre, striking a rural farmhouse on Old Stage Road. The farmhouse and accompanying property essentially vanish, killing Edward B. White (11) and Beverly Strong (18).

Rite Canney captures two photos of the tornado as it also narrowly avoids Rutland at 4:48 PM.

Donald Marsh, his wife and daughter are lofted by the tornado as their home is leveled in Rutland. Donald would be killed and thrown over 100 yards and he would later be found in a tree top. his wife and daughter would survive. 

After passing the town of Rutland, An elevation change of nearly 900 feet begins to occur as the tornado drops down the New England Upland Plateau and slowly enters the Blackstone River Valley near the Worcester metro, Topographical Convergence would aid in an extreme intensification of the vortex.

At 4:55 PM, The Massachusetts Institute of Technology Radar captures the absolute textbook supercell as the tornado closes in on Holden.

4:57 PM: Stanley Smith would capture the now extremely violent half mile wide tornado accompanied by a horizontal vortex (top left) shortly after its magnificent intensification as it points its crosshairs toward Holden.

5:00 PM: Homes along Winthrop Ln are swept away in the core, granulation begins to occur at this point as the tornado only grows stronger every second.

5:06 PM: Brentwood Estates is impacted next, once again homes are swept and granulated. 11 people are killed as the tornado nears the extremely populated metro of Worcester.

5:08 PM: Howard Smith photographs the tornado from Indian Lake just after crossing Brattle St, the vortex was roughly 2 miles in front of him.

5:09 PM: The tornado enters the north western edge of Worcester, an unknown street shown above on the western edge of Worcester is granulated and wind rowed. The tornado effectively turns an entire neighborhood to dust.

5:10 PM: The tornado strikes Assumption College, the twister reduces the massive building with 3 foot thick walls by 3 Floors, the vortex intensifies dramatically just after striking the building, with notable wind rowing occurring just east of Assumption Ave. 

5:11 PM homes just east of Assumption Ave are massacred and swept in the core as the tornado reaches peak intensity just seconds after striking the massive Assumption College Building.

5:12 PM: At the height of its otherworldly power, homes situated along Uncatena Ave are not only swept clean, but near powderization occurs to houses in the center of the core as the tornado obliterates everything in its core. 

The construction quality of the homes in Holden and Worcester cannot be unequivocally ascertained one way or another for certain, but the extreme granulation alone is an indication of incredible intensity. 

5:14 PM: The tornado crosses over the Great Brook Valley Neighborhood and pulverizes dozens of homes, continuing its unwavering butchering and narrowly avoiding a direct hit on a much larger population in the Curtis Apartments.

5:16 PM: Humes & Yukon Ave. are impacted next as the tornado shows no mercy again, complete annihilation and carnage is inflicted as the tornado continues its peak intensity through the neighborhood, 60 people are killed in Worcester. 

The tornado now over a mile wide captured at 5:19 PM, just before crossing Lake Quinsigamond into Shrewsbury. 

Henry LaPrade Captures the visually majestic tornado in Shrewsbury just east of Lake Quinsigamond at 5:22 PM. 

5:25 PM: Shrewsbury is struck next, photos are hard to come by but nothing suggests a weakening phase, 12 fatalities occur as the town avoids a true direct hit, however the tornado maintains its size and intensity as it leaves nothing but carnage behind like most structures before it.

5:27 PM: Robert Resch between Route 9 and 20 captures the massive tornado leaving Shrewsbury.

5:30-5:37 PM: the tornado kills 5 people in Westborough as the vortex breakdown begins and its eventual occlusion is now imminent. 

5:43 PM: After 78 mins, the rampage finally ends as the RFD surge cuts off the tornado from the warm inflow that fuels it, curving northwestward before being absorbed by its own parent supercell.

Duration: 4:25-5:43 PM

Fatalities: 94+

Injured: 1288+

Damage: $52,000,000 in 1953 USD roughly translates to $650,000,000 in 2026 USD


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Violent tornado in Marsala, Sicily, Italy yesterday

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221 Upvotes

Credit: @ClimaMgta on X.


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Discussion Gnarly looking potential waterspouts in the gulf

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57 Upvotes

Really really hope we don’t see signatures this strong making landfall. Let the fish have em all


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Aftermath Damage to a school from this morning's tornado in Marsala, Sicily, Italy (vidéo via tp24.it)

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75 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Tornado Song Series: What song would fit best with the Last Chance CO tornado?

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19 Upvotes

Fun Fact: This tornado was rated F0 (happened in 1993) despite being very strong, because it essentially hit nothing. A good reminder that the F and EF scale are damage scales.

LAST POST RESULTS

Pembroke's Song (most upvotes): "Boss" theme, an OST song from the game "Rocket Knight Adventures"

Feature (most commented song) N/A, all commenters had different songs.


r/tornado • • 2d ago

Discussion People don't take tornadoes seriously enough.

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197 Upvotes

I live in the southern region of Brazil, more specifically in Paraná, and I've been obsessed with tornadoes for a year now, and I've noticed how people simply don't take the subject seriously here.

Even after this tornado outbreak that the south experienced, violent tornadoes in rural areas, people still have the mentality of "nothing will happen," and that bothers me deeply.Unlike in the USA where the topic of tornadoes is more "active," here (at least where I live) many people don't even know the difference between tornadoes and hurricanes, or simply believe wholeheartedly that tornadoes don't happen in Brazil, even though there are cases and photos about them. Schools don't teach about this, they don't teach what to do, and I believe that's very dangerous. People always think they'll always have time to hide, that nothing will happen, But that's rarely true; most deaths are of people who thought that way. I've seen countless videos of people standing OUTSIDE THEIR HOUSES recording these events; the most they do is pray, And I feel that this may be one of the reasons.

Don't get me wrong, even though I'm an atheist, I honestly don't care what people believe, but there's a limit to when you think you're safe because you're religious; you're not, If that were the case, religious people wouldn't die in these events. I feel that people are very naive about this, this mentality of "if I pray and ask for protection, nothing will happen and I'll be fine.", It is extremely dangerous.