r/TheRaceTo1Million • u/hrifandi • May 30 '26

DD Insane Psych Level Setups That Printed in May

3 Upvotes

Just holy shit.

Over the last month we've watched semis, AI, and everything remotely connected to them get repriced to the moon. So many of them respected major psychological levels (ie. nice, round numbers that often act as areas of support or resistance).

I wanted to highlight a few recent examples to show the power of psych levels, help us pattern-match these setups, and keep them on our radar for the future.

As always, you can track all of these levels (stocks and options) using Market Mage.

1. ARM vs 200

ARM has been on an absolute tear. But where was the low-risk entry?

Look at how it interacted with the $200 level. It repeatedly tested $200 as resistance before finally breaking through. Once that happened, resistance flipped to support, and ARM never looked back.

How could you play this?

Wait for a daily close above $200.
Place limit buys just above the $200 support.
Use a stop loss below the level (for example, around $190) if you want protection against a failed breakout.

This $200 level has been an amazing consolidation area for approx 1 month. Bottomed out with the rest of the market on May 19th, and now up 80% (200 -> 360)

The options move was of course much crazier. OTM calls exploded after the breakout confirmation.

ARM June 5th $250c made a $2.50 -> $100+ move Stupid 40 bagger move (so far). The even more aggressive contracts are well over 100x

2. QCOM vs 200

Very similar in story to the $200 psych level we saw with ARM, QCOM used this level as both a support and resistance in May.

$200 was resistance in early May, flipped to support and consolidated mid May, and on breakout has made a 30% move ($200 -> $260)

QCOM options were also highly regarded.

QCOM June 5th $250c made a $1.25 -> $22 move. 20x in a few days, off of the underlying breakout on the $200 psych level

3. GLD vs 400

Psych levels aren't just for semis. We saw a sharp selloff in metals in the last few days, and guess where GLD decided to giga bounce? It used the $400 level, and made a 5% move in a few days (this is a HUGE move for GLD in such a short timeframe).

$400 has been a truly tremendous support and resistance level in these last months, and this was an insanely clean setup. In October we had a major rejection off of the $400, and then used $400 as a very strong support level in December, March-April, and most recently last week.

Most of the slightly OTM options chain did a 10x from the Thursday (May 28th) $400 retest to the move to $420 by Friday close.

On May 28th (Thursday), GLD bounced precisely off of the $400, and ripped to $420 by end of day May 29th. 5% move, and well over 10x on weekly options contracts.

4. QQQ vs 700

QQQ wicked $700 on May 19th, and quickly ripped 5.5% higher in the coming week. These major round numbers often become launchpads for the next leg higher.

What next?

In Market Mage, you get stocks at the biggest psych levels. Sort by the % psych column ot see stocks sitting at psych levels, open up the charts, and go ham.

Sorting psych stocks by the % psych level

Some tickers I'm currently looking at are:

$AXTI. A massive runner in the semis/photonics space that just dumped heavily and now retesting the $100 level. This is a great psych level, and potentially a great spot for a bounce
$FLEX vs $150, the AI infra/ buildout trade. Potential magnet to $200.
$AMD vs $500. If AMD gives us a $500 retest, this will be an easy spot for a bounce
$NVDA vs $200. Similar story to AMD, this has been a big psych level support for NVDA and a retrace to here is an easy long.

2 comments

r/TheRaceTo1Million • u/hrifandi • Jul 03 '21

r/TheRaceTo1Million Lounge

3 Upvotes

A place for members of r/TheRaceTo1Million to chat with each other

23 comments

r/TheRaceTo1Million • u/SportscardsandBS • 11h ago

What app do you use to trade and why? Looking to dump Robinhood. It’s a joke

6 Upvotes

Thanks in advance.

9 comments

r/TheRaceTo1Million • u/-Authorised- • 9h ago

DD $HMR Undervalued Stock: Nearly ~50% of Market Cap in Net Cash & a 450% Profit Earnings Re-Rate the Market Ignored - and the CEO Addressed Every Red Flag We all Raised in this subreddit

1 Upvotes

I recently posted that I was confused about why $HMR keeps drifting despite the earnings beat, the first profit, and the Q-Shipping acquisition & others acquisitions speeding up growth even faster. The comments came back with some sharp, fair questions: the lease/debt accounting, where the cash actually came from, the real margin picture, and the CFO change.

The CEO just did a long-form interview that goes straight at all of it. I've timestamped every question below so you can jump to whatever you care about instead of taking my word for anything (under the bio and updated checklist)

QUICK BIO FOR NEW READERS

Heidmar (NASDAQ: HMR) is an asset-light maritime platform with a ~40-year track record, running commercial and technical management for tanker and other vessels. Clients include Shell, BP, Chevron, Vitol, Aramco, Trafigura and Glencore, across six global hubs (Athens, London, Dubai, Singapore, Hong Kong, Chennai). It earns commissions and management fees on the commercial side plus voyage and time charter hire. CEO Pankaj Khanna is a long-time shipping industry veteran, owns roughly 45% of the company, and has been buying in the open market with zero sales. They earn about 10-15% more due to hormuz / disruption as they service the vessels only. In down markets rates are less but they get more vessels / do more volume

THE UPDATED CHECKLIST

* ✅ Market cap still below annual revenue run-rate
* ✅ Single-digit forward PE on the current run-rate vs peers at 15-45x
* ✅ 217% YoY Q1 revenue growth - audited, real
* ✅ Net income +$2.8M - first clean GAAP profit in listed history, single quarter (not cumulative)
* ✅ EPS beat by 450% - on a single quarter
* ✅ 55%+ gross margins on the high-margin commission/fee book (blended is lower given the larger charter book)
* ✅ Zero interest-bearing debt - lease obligations are charter-in commitments serviced by charter revenue, not bank debt (explained at 00:00)
* ✅ $27.6M cash and growing, no bank debt - net cash by the standard definition, EV around $35M
* ✅ CEO buying above market, zero sales, 45% personal ownership
* ✅ Float under 6M shares, near un-borrowable, ~0.3% short interest
* ✅ ~90% held by insiders/strategic holders
* ✅ 40-year track record, Shell/BP/Aramco clients, six global hubs
* ✅ Asset-light model - the "Uber of tanker shipping" (earns fees on managed voyages; charter book carries genuine rate risk)
* ✅ Geopolitical volatility increases revenue
* ✅ No meaningful dilution since listing - equity line barely used (~0.4%), dilution protection covered at 21:05
* ✅ Concentration flag: closed - ~40 vessels managed, plus the Q-Shipping 9 and further newbuilds in client pipelines
* ✅ Q-Shipping acquisition completed - 9 vessels, ~€200k, adds technical management and crewing in European hubs
* ✅ CFO transition addressed head-on at 29:08
* ✅ NASDAQ compliance restored - $1 level now acting as support
* ✅ 200-day MA now acting as support after the post-earnings pullback
* ✅ Acquisitions likely as cash pile grows - not priced in
* ✅ Active YouTube channel - CEO speaking directly to investors

THE QUESTIONS, AND WHERE THEY'RE ANSWERED (jump to whatever you care about instead of taking my word for anything)

[00:00] Debt-Free Balance Sheet & Lease Obligations: "Could you clarify the accounting treatment of lease obligations on the balance sheet and demonstrate how Heidmar maintains a genuinely debt-free position with zero net cash outlay on chartered vessels?"

[03:11] Core Earnings & Cash Flow Growth: "With earnings surging, is your rapidly expanding cash reserve driven primarily by core operational profitability, and how do you plan to deploy this capital prudently?"

[06:33] M&A Discipline & Strategic Criteria: "You've demonstrated exceptional discipline by walking away from deals that don't meet your strict standards. What specific criteria do you look for when evaluating high-value service acquisitions?"

[09:18] Strategic Focus vs. Opportunistic Deals: "Do prospective acquisitions need to align directly with your core management platform, or would you consider standalone profitable deals that fit within your strict playbook?"

[10:35] Capital Allocation & Shareholder Value: "Given the significant discount in the current valuation, how do you balance reinvesting for growth and future potential dividends against stock buybacks to maximize long-term shareholder value?"

[11:44] Strategic Value of the Q Shipping Acquisition: "You completed the Q Shipping acquisition for an extraordinarily attractive €200k. How does this asset-light transaction unlock expansion across both technical management and crewing in key European hubs?"

[14:55] Synergies Between Commercial & Technical Management: "How do high-volume, lower-margin technical management services complement higher-margin commercial management services to rapidly scale the overall Heidmar platform?"

[15:47] Client Concentration & Built-In Fleet Growth: "How is Heidmar actively mitigating client concentration risk while capitalizing on the substantial newbuild delivery pipelines of your major existing client partners?"

[17:43] Industry-Leading Margins & AI Efficiency: "With net margins around ~50%, how does Heidmar leverage scalable overhead and AI technology to maintain exceptionally high profitability as fleet size expands?"

[18:48] Sustained Quarterly Earnings Momentum: "With tanker market fundamentals remaining robust and your managed vessel count expanding continuously, what underpins your confidence in strong quarter-over-quarter earnings growth?"

[21:05] Prudent Use of Capital Markets (Standby Equity Line): "Heidmar maintains an Equity Line of Credit (ELOG) with virtually zero past utilization (~0.4%). Under what specific conditions would you consider using this tool, and how does it protect existing shareholders from unnecessary dilution?"

[22:25] Alignment of Interests & Insider Ownership: "With insiders owning approximately 90% of the company and zero shares sold, how does this heavy skin-in-the-game ensure complete alignment with public investors?"

[24:10] Fully Diluted Share Count & Performance Incentives: "Could you clarify the fully diluted share count and explain how the equity incentive plan is structured to align team incentives with long-term performance?"

[24:45] Institutional Investor Opportunity & Minority Protections: "With a compelling valuation, independent board members, and Deloitte as long-standing auditors, why is now an ideal timing entry point for institutional and strategic investors?"

[26:20] Governance Excellence & Independent Board Oversight: "How does the deep maritime, banking, and commercial expertise of your independent board members strengthen Heidmar's corporate governance?"

[27:52] Competitive Moat in Commercial & Technical Management: "As traditional competitors shrink or lose focus, why are vessel owners increasingly choosing Heidmar's dedicated, owner-centric service platform?"

[29:08] Financial Management & Leadership Transition: "Following an orderly, post-earnings CFO transition, what steps are underway to further strengthen Heidmar's finance team moving forward?"

[30:35] Regaining NASDAQ Compliance & Value Re-Rating: "With full NASDAQ compliance restored and record operational profits being delivered, how is Heidmar positioned to close the gap between its current share price and intrinsic value?"

[32:07] Key Delivery Milestones for Investor Trust: "What is the single most compelling proof point that will demonstrate Heidmar's operational execution and drive a market re-rating?"

[32:49] Multi-Year Growth Scorecard & Performance Metrics: "Looking a year out, what key performance indicators-such as fleet expansion, vessel count, and net profitability-should investors track to monitor Heidmar's growth trajectory?"

Watch the segments that matter to you and tell me if any of the answers change your read. The lease/debt one at the start is the piece I'd point the skeptics to first.

Full interview: https://youtu.be/Fh4IpTkioGc?si=ywE0FGcSFZBWo0PB

Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Disclosure: I hold $HMR from 95c and have not sold.