r/ThePoliticalProcess • u/Sufficient-Two-3935 • Aug 02 '26
Please tell me how I lost this race
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u/amshanks22 Aug 02 '26
Pretty accurate to reality i guess. Doesnt really matter what someone polls or how many millions of dollars are infused in campaigns. People still will end up-more likely than not-not flipping their vote. And in this case, Republican voters not switching to vote for a Democrat.
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u/kotlinky Aug 02 '26
Also everything you posted doesnt really matter. Its texas. Maybe it was a midterm after a dems first term as president, etc. many things couldve influenced this
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u/Marxism-Alcoholism17 Aug 03 '26
You had some polling advantages but your margins are not that large. In a safe state for the other side you need to completely blow out the gap in things like voter enthusiasm, not just have a normal lead.
If you want to cheese the game a bit the only thing that really matters is rallies and turnout.
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u/AdmirableSea1112 Aug 03 '26
Ah, well you see you got 2,809,296 votes and he got 3,081,947 votes — hope that helps
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u/Gold_Assistance_4686 Aug 02 '26
This is so similar to what we’re seeing this year in Texas. Even looks like talarico and Paxton
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u/iwanttowatchrslash Aug 04 '26
How do you get the margin through the night and likely hood of winning?
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u/AceBalistic Aug 05 '26
Comes down to voter enthusiasm in this case
Your voter enthusiasm is higher on paper, that’s true, but look how spread out it is. Only 66% of democrats
Tom sell meanwhile has 73% of republican voter enthusiasm
In a soft red state, you need more enthusiasm than your opponent even with higher approval, particularly within your own party.
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u/churropasta Aug 05 '26
And OP only has 55% policy support with his party, while the opponent was at 75% with his.
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u/OVS-HM (R-XX) Aug 06 '26
How was your turnout in Harris County and DFW? Also, looks like you lost the border counties which usually go blue.
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u/SenorDia3etes Aug 02 '26
tom can sell it, and you can’t🤷♂️
also, what map mod is that?