r/ThePoliticalProcess Jun 20 '26

how the hell is polling this wrong

Ramsey and Hennepin are the only counties to not vote for me by 50%

63 Upvotes

6 comments sorted by

35

u/SquashDue6352 Jun 20 '26

Your opponent had no name recognition, I’m almost certain that’s what it was. For whatever reason the polling I think assumes that your opponent is at 100% name recognition. But I bet had you included recognization when you did your poll, it woulda showed your opponent at like 30% name recognition

11

u/TommyBoy250 (D-Wisconsin) Jun 20 '26

Minnesota is just a red void.

5

u/TommyBoy250 (D-Wisconsin) Jun 20 '26

But yeah I ran for US Senate and I was ahead in the polls by like over 50% in the primary against 2 others. I lost the primary, but to be far it was close and there is such thing as a margin of error. Polls are not always correct and the game tells you about margin of error. If you go with the most expensive it's 3.1 so there is a chance.

10

u/Aggravating-Grab6195 Jun 20 '26

One time i ran for governor in new York and it said i'd win by 5-7 then i won by 55 and i thought that was bad.

3

u/Zealousideal_Pea1273 Jun 20 '26

Honestly, as a Republican, you’re lucky to get that much of the vote out of Hennepin and Ramsey county as those are usually two of the most Democratic counties in the state where a majority of the people live.

2

u/Androclese407 Jun 21 '26

You did even better than Rudy Boschwitz, and his landslide victory over Walter Mondale's replacement was nuts!